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Estimating the lengths-of-stay (LoS) of hospitalised COVID-19 patients is key for predicting the hospital beds' demand and planning mitigation strategies, as overwhelming the healthcare systems has critical consequences for disease…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Ana López-Cheda , M. Amalia Jácome , Ricardo Cao , Pablo M. De Salazar

Medical image classification and segmentation based on deep learning (DL) are emergency research topics for diagnosing variant viruses of the current COVID-19 situation. In COVID-19 computed tomography (CT) images of the lungs, ground glass…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-08 Shiyi Wang , Guang Yang

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic radically impacts our lives, while the transmission/infection and recovery dynamics of COVID-19 remain obscure. A time-dependent Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, and Recovered (SEIR) model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-01 Yong Zhang , Xiangnan Yu , HongGuang Sun , Geoffrey R. Tick , Wei Wei , Bin Jin

In this paper, we propose a new Bayesian Poisson network autoregression mixture model (PNARM). Our model combines ideas from the models of Dahl 2008, Ren et al. 2024 and Armillotta and Fokianos 2024, as it is motivated by the following…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Elly Hung , Anastasia Mantziou , Gesine Reinert

Common compartmental modeling for COVID-19 is based on a priori knowledge and numerous assumptions. Additionally, they do not systematically incorporate asymptomatic cases. Our study aimed at providing a framework for data-driven…

We propose, implement, and evaluate a method to estimate the daily number of new symptomatic COVID-19 infections, at the level of individual U.S. counties, by deconvolving daily reported COVID-19 case counts using an estimated…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-01 Maria Jahja , Andrew Chin , Ryan J. Tibshirani

In the last decade, deep learning (DL) has outperformed model-based and statistical approaches in predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of machinery in the context of condition-based maintenance. One of the major drawbacks of DL is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Luca Della Libera

In this work, we adapt the epidemiological SIR model to study the evolution of the dissemination of COVID-19 in Germany and Brazil (nationally, in the State of Paraiba, and in the City of Campina Grande). We prove the well posedness and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-20 Adriano A. Batista , Severino Horácio da Silva

To capture the death rates and strong weekly, biweekly and probably monthly patterns in the Canada COVID-19, we utilize the generalized additive models in the absence of direct statistically based measurement of infection rates. By…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-04 Farzali Izadi

We believe that a wide range of physical processes conspire to shape the observed galaxy population but we remain unsure of their detailed interactions. The semi-analytic model (SAM) of galaxy formation uses multi-dimensional…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-11-07 Yu Lu , H. J. Mo , Martin D. Weinberg , Neal Katz

Can one learn to diagnose COVID-19 under extreme minimal supervision? Since the outbreak of the novel COVID-19 there has been a rush for developing Artificial Intelligence techniques for expert-level disease identification on Chest X-ray…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Angelica I Aviles-Rivero , Philip Sellars , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb , Nicolas Papadakis

We present an empirical algorithm to forecast the evolution of the number of COVID-19 symptomatic patients in the early stages of the pandemic spread and after strict social distancing interventions. The algorithm is based on a low…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-20 Luis Alvarez

Epidemiological models with constant parameters may not capture satisfactory infection patterns in the presence of pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical mitigation measures during a pandemic, since infectiousness is a function of time. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-16 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati

Forecasting the effect of COVID-19 is essential to design policies that may prepare us to handle the pandemic. Many methods have already been proposed, particularly, to forecast reported cases and deaths at country-level and state-level.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-14 Ajitesh Srivastava , Tianjian Xu , Viktor K. Prasanna

The real-time motion prediction of a floating offshore platform refers to forecasting its motions in the following one- or two-wave cycles, which helps improve the performance of a motion compensation system and provides useful early…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Xiaoxian Guo , Xiantao Zhang , Xinliang Tian , Wenyue Lu , Xin Li

This paper introduces an innovative framework designed for progressive (granular in time to onset) prediction of seizures through the utilization of a Deep Learning (DL) methodology based on non-invasive multi-modal sensor networks.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-05 Ali Saeizadeh , Douglas Schonholtz , Joseph S. Neimat , Pedram Johari , Tommaso Melodia

The accurate prediction of B-cell epitopes is critical for guiding vaccine development against infectious diseases, including SARS and COVID-19. This study explores the use of a deep neural network (DNN) model to predict B-cell epitopes for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Xinyu Shi , Yixin Tao , Shih-Chi Lin

To model the evolution of diseases with extended latency periods and the presence of asymptomatic patients like COVID-19, we define a simple discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model. We include both latent periods as well as the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-14 Xavier Bardina , Marco Ferrante , Carles Rovira

In this work we present a spatial-temporal convolutional neural network for predicting future COVID-19 related symptoms severity among a population, per region, given its past reported symptoms. This can help approximate the number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Ravid Shwartz-Ziv , Itamar Ben Ari , Amitai Armon

We consider the problem of inference for the states and parameters of a continuous-time multitype branching process from partially observed time series data. Exact inference for this class of models, typically using sequential Monte Carlo,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Angus Lewis , Antonio Parrella , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black