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Related papers: A kinetic model for epidemic spread

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We investigate an epidemic model based on Bailey's continuous differential system. In the continuous time domain, we extend the classical model to time-dependent coefficients and present an alternative solution method to Gleissner's…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Martin Bohner , Sabrina Streipert , Delfim F. M. Torres

The viral load is known to be a chief predictor of the risk of transmission of infectious diseases. In this work, we investigate the role of the individuals' viral load in the disease transmission by proposing a new…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-03-29 Rossella Della Marca , Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

We study the spread of stochastic SIR (Susceptible $\to$ Infectious $\to$ Recovered) epidemics in two types of structured populations, both consisting of schools and households. In each of the types, every individual is part of one school…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-23 Tanneke Ouboter , Ronald Meester , Pieter Trapman

A nonlinear cross-diffusion epidemic with a time-dependent Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Died system is proposed in this paper. This system is derived from kinetic theory model by multiscale approach, which leads to an equivalent system…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-01 Mohamed Zagour

Throughout the course of an epidemic, the rate at which disease spreads varies with behavioral changes, the emergence of new disease variants, and the introduction of mitigation policies. Estimating such changes in transmission rates can…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Jenny Huang , Raphaël Morsomme , David Dunson , Jason Xu

We present a mathematical study for the development of Multiple Sclerosis in which a spatio-temporal kinetic { theory} model describes, at the mesoscopic level, the dynamics of a high number of interacting agents. We consider both…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Romina Travaglini , João Miguel Oliveira

This paper develops an individual-based stochastic network SIR model for the empirical analysis of the Covid-19 pandemic. It derives moment conditions for the number of infected and active cases for single as well as multigroup epidemic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-05 M. Hashem Pesaran , Cynthia Fan Yang

Starting from a particle model describing self-propelled particles interacting through nematic alignment, we derive a macroscopic model for the particle density and mean direction of motion. We first propose a mean-field kinetic model of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-10-08 Pierre Degond , Sara Merino-Aceituno

Many models of virus propagation in Computer Networks inspired by {\bf SIS,SIR,}\\ {\bf SEIR}, etc. epidemic disease propagation mathematical models that can be found in the epidemiology field have been proposed in the last two decades. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Carlos Rodriguez Lucatero

The last decade saw the advent of increasingly realistic epidemic models that leverage on the availability of highly detailed census and human mobility data. Data-driven models aim at a granularity down to the level of households or single…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-08-10 Nicola Perra , Duygu Balcan , Bruno Gonçalves , Alessandro Vespignani

We study dynamics of spread of epidemics of SIR type in a realistic spatially-explicit geographical region, Southern and Central Ontario, using census data obtained from Statistics Canada, and examine the role of population mixing in…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2009-11-11 Henryk Fuks' , Anna T. Lawniczak , Ryan Duchesne

In this paper, we present a critical collection of essential mathematical tools and techniques for the analysis of Boltzmann-type kinetic equations, which in recent years have established themselves as a flexible and powerful paradigm to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-03-17 Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

It is recognized that social heterogeneities in terms of the contact distribution have a strong influence on the spread of infectious diseases. Nevertheless, few data are available on the group composition of social contacts, and their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-09 Jonathan Franceschi , Andrea Medaglia , Mattia Zanella

We study the problem of optimal control of the stochastic SIR model. Models of this type are used in mathematical epidemiology to capture the time evolution of highly infectious diseases such as COVID-19. Our approach relies on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-04 Andrew Lesniewski

In this paper, we show how to modify a compartmental epidemic model, without changing the dimension, such that separable static heterogeneity is taken into account. The derivation is based on the Kermack-McKendrick renewal equation.

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-24 Odo Diekmann , Hisashi Inaba

This paper introduces a microscopic approach to model epidemics, which can explicitly consider the consequences of individual's decisions on the spread of the disease. We first formulate a microscopic multi-agent epidemic model where every…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Changliu Liu

The outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020 has led to a surge in the interest in the mathematical modeling of infectious diseases. Disease transmission may be modeled as compartmental models, in which the population under study is divided into…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-27 Malú Grave , Alvaro L. G. A. Coutinho

In this paper, we introduce a general framework for co-infection as cooperative SIR dynamics. We first solve analytically CGCG model [1] and then the generalized model in symmetric scenarios. We calculate transition points, order parameter,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-24 Fatemeh Zarei , Saman Moghimi-Araghi , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad

This paper is concerned with the well-posedness of a diffusion-reaction system for a Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) mathematical model. This model is written in terms of four nonlinear partial differential equations with…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-07-26 Ferdinando Auricchio , Pierluigi Colli , Gianni Gilardi , Alessandro Reali , Elisabetta Rocca

During pandemic events, strategies such as social distancing can be fundamental to curb viral spreading. Such actions can reduce the number of simultaneous infections and mitigate the disease spreading, which is relevant to the risk of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-24 Marco A. Amaral , Marcelo M. de Oliveira , Marco A. Javarone
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