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Since early 2020, the world has been dealing with a raging pandemic outbreak: COVID-19. A year later, vaccines have become accessible, but in limited quantities, so that governments needed to devise a strategy to decide which part of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-13 Sander Tonkens , Paul de Klaver , Mauro Salazar

To combat the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the world has vaccination, plasma therapy, herd immunity, and epidemiological interventions as few possible options. The COVID-19 vaccine development is underway and it may take a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Hanuman Verma , Akshansh Gupta , Utkarsh Niranjan

For the description of a pandemic mathematical models could be interesting. Both for physicians and politicians as a base for decisions to treat the disease. The responsible estimation of parameters is a main issue of mathematical pandemic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-15 Günter Bärwolff

We adapt a SEIRD differential model with asymptomatic population and Covid deaths, which we call SEAIRD, to simulate the evolution of COVID-19, and add a control function affecting both the diffusion of the virus and GDP, featuring all…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-02 Andrea Aspri , Elena Beretta , Alberto Gandolfi , Etienne Wasmer

As observed during the COVID-19 pandemic, high-income countries, such as the U.S., may exhibit vaccine nationalism during a pandemic: stockpiling doses of vaccine for their own citizens and being reluctant to distribute doses of the vaccine…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-21 Abraham Holleran , Susan E. Martonosi , Michael Veatch

COVID-19 pandemic is severely impacting the lives of billions across the globe. Even after taking massive protective measures like nation-wide lockdowns, discontinuation of international flight services, rigorous testing etc., the infection…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-28 Sayantari Ghosh , Saumik Bhattacharya

We present a data-driven optimal control approach which integrates the reported partial data with the epidemic dynamics for COVID-19. We use a basic Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model, the model parameters are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Hailiang Liu , Xuping Tian

In late 2019, COVID-19, a severe respiratory disease, emerged, and since then, the world has been facing a deadly pandemic caused by it. This ongoing pandemic has had a significant effect on different aspects of societies. The uncertainty…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mahdi Rahbar , Samaneh Yazdani

The COVID-19 crisis highlighted the importance of non-medical interventions, such as testing and isolation of infected individuals, in the control of epidemics. Here, we show how to minimize testing needs while maintaining the number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-04 D. Acemoglu , A. Fallah , A. Giometto , D. Huttenlocher , A. Ozdaglar , F. Parise , S. Pattathil

We present a new mathematical model to explicitly capture the effects that the three restriction measures: the lockdown date and duration, social distancing and masks, and, schools and border closing, have in controlling the spread of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-25 Liam Dowling Jones , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Laura Mersini-Houghton , Steven Meshnick

During the COVID-19 pandemic of 2019/2020, authorities have used temporary ad-hoc policy measures, such as lockdowns and mass quarantines, to slow its transmission. However, the consequences of widespread use of these unprecedented measures…

The COVID-19 pandemic left its unique mark on the 21st century as one of the most significant disasters in history, triggering governments all over the world to respond with a wide range of interventions. However, these restrictions come…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Assem Zhunis , Tung-Duong Mai , Sundong Kim

Since the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, governments have applied restrictions in order to slow down its spreading. However, creating such policies is hard, especially because the government needs to trade-off the spreading of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-03 Leonardo Lucio Custode , Giovanni Iacca

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has overwhelmingly demonstrated the need to accurately evaluate the effects of implementing new or altering existing nonpharmaceutical interventions. Since these interventions applied at the societal level…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-27 Daniel K. Sewell , Aaron Miller

Epidemiological models with constant parameters may not capture satisfactory infection patterns in the presence of pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical mitigation measures during a pandemic, since infectiousness is a function of time. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-16 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati

We have established a novel mathematical model that considers various aspects of the spreading of the virus, including, the transmission based on being in the latent period, environment to human transmission, governmental decisions, and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-31 Kamran Soltani , Ghader Rezazadeh

Pandemic(epidemic) modeling, aiming at disease spreading analysis, has always been a popular research topic especially following the outbreak of COVID-19 in 2019. Some representative models including SIR-based deep learning prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Danfeng Guo , Zijie Huang , Junheng Hao , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang , Demetri Terzopoulos

Strategies adopted globally to mitigate the threat of COVID-19 have primarily involved lockdown measures with substantial economic and social costs with varying degrees of success. Morbidity patterns of COVID-19 variants have a strong…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-19 Fatima-Zahra Jaouimaa , Daniel Dempsey , Suzanne van Osch , Stephen Kinsella , Kevin Burke , Jason Wyse , James Sweeney

As the COVID19 spreads across the world, prevention measures are becoming the essential weapons to combat the pandemic in the period of crisis. The lockdown measure is the most controversial one as it imposes an overwhelming impact on our…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-12 Yuting Fu , Haitao Xiang , Hanqing Jin , Ning Wang

Since the outbreak of COVID-19, an astronomical number of publications on the pandemic dynamics appeared in the literature, of which many use the susceptible infected removed (SIR) and susceptible exposed infected removed (SEIR) models, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Hua-Liang Wei , S. A. Billings