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Climate change has resulted in a year over year increase in adverse weather and weather conditions which contribute to increasingly severe fire seasons. Without effective mitigation, these fires pose a threat to life, property, ecology,…

Forest fires pose a significant threat to the environment, human life, and property. Early detection and response are crucial to mitigating the impact of these disasters. However, traditional forest fire detection methods are often hindered…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Hari Prabhat Gupta , Rahul Mishra

We assess empirical models in climate econometrics using modern statistical learning techniques. Existing approaches are prone to outliers, ignore sample dependencies, and lack principled model selection. To address these issues, we…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-26 Christof Schötz , Jan Hassel , Christian Otto

Understanding the environmental drivers of forest transpiration is critical for improving global predictions of water availability and ecosystem health. Due to many competing controls on plant water stress and ecosystem transpiration,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-22 Morgan Thornwell , David Yang , Cheng-Wei Huang , Peyman Abbaszadeh , Samantha Hartzell

Wind energy significantly contributes to the global shift towards renewable energy, yet operational challenges, such as Leading-Edge Erosion on wind turbine blades, notably reduce energy output. This study introduces an advanced, scalable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-17 Emil Marcus Buchberg , Kent Vugs Nielsen

The role of forest heterogeneity in the long-term, large-scale dynamics of forest fires is investigated by means of a cellular automata model and mean field approximation. Heterogeneity was conceived as trees (or acres of forest) with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-08-04 G. Camelo-Neto , S. Coutinho

The increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events is significantly affecting the power grid, causing large-scale outages and impacting power system resilience. Yet limited work has been done on systematically modeling the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-06 Apsara Adhikari , Charlotte Wertz , Anamika Dubey , Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

The integration of renewable resources has increased in power generation as a means to reduce the fossil fuel usage and mitigate its adverse effects on the environment. However, renewables like solar energy are stochastic in nature due to…

Smoldering combustion plays a key role in wildfires in forests, grasslands, and peatlands due to its common occurrence in porous fuels like peat and duff. As a consequence, understanding smoldering behavior in these fuels is crucial. Such…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-06-09 W. Jayani Jayasuriya , Tejas Chandrashekhar Mulky , Kyle E. Niemeyer

We describe two recent additions to WRF coupled with a fire spread model. Fire propagation is strongly dependent on fuel moisture, which in turn depends on the history of the atmosphere. We have implemented a equilibrium time-lag model of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-08-28 Adam K. Kochanski , Jonathan D. Beezley , Jan Mandel , Minjeong Kim

Energy conservation in buildings is a paramount concern to combat greenhouse gas emissions and combat climate change. The efficient management of room occupancy, involving actions like lighting control and climate adjustment, is a pivotal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Siqi Mao , Yaping Yuan , Yinpu Li , Ziren Wang , Yuanxin Yao , Yixin Kang

We propose a Bayesian stochastic cellular automata modeling approach to model the spread of wildfires with uncertainty quantification. The model considers a dynamic neighborhood structure that allows neighbor states to inform transition…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-07 Nicholas Grieshop , Christopher K. Wikle

Tree-grass coexistence in savanna ecosystems depends strongly on environmental disturbances out of which crucial is fire. Most modeling attempts in the literature lack stochastic approach to fire occurrences which is essential to reflect…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Paweł Klimasara , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

Climate change has intensified the frequency and severity of wildfires, making rapid and accurate prediction of fire spread essential for effective mitigation and response. Physics-based simulators such as FARSITE offer high-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Taehoon Kang , Taeyong Kim

Atmospheric pollution regulations have emerged as a dominant obstacle to prescribed burns. Thus, forecasting the pollution caused by wildland fires has acquired high importance. WRF and SFIRE model wildland fire spread in a two-way…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-11-05 Adam K. Kochanski , Jonathan D. Beezley , Jan Mandel , Craig B. Clements

In face of climate change and increasing urbanization, the predictive mosquito-borne diseases (MBD) transmission models require constant updates. Thus, is urgent to comprehend the driving forces of this non stationary behavior, observed…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-22 Marcio Maciel Bastos , Luiz Max Carvalho , Eduardo Correa Araujo , Flávio Codeço Coelho

We propose a predictive model of the turbulent burning velocity over a wide range of conditions. The model consists of sub models of the stretch factor and the turbulent flame area. The stretch factor characterizes the flame response of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-25 Zhen Lu , Yue Yang

Understanding the key factors shaping environmental hazard exposures and their associated environmental injustice issues is vital for formulating equitable policy measures. Traditional perspectives on environmental injustice have primarily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Yu-Hsuan Ho , Zhewei Liu , Cheng-Chun Lee , Ali Mostafavi

Seasonal variation in environmental variables, and in rates of contact among individuals, are fundamental drivers of infectious disease dynamics. Unlike most periodically-forced physical systems, for which the precise pattern of forcing is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-09 Irena Papst , David J. D. Earn

In recent environmental studies extreme events have a great impact. The yearly and monthly maxima of environment related indices can be analysed by the tools of extreme value theory. For instance, the monthly maxima of the fire weather…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-20 László Németh , Zuzana Hübnerová , András Zempléni