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Post-wildfire mudflows are increasingly hazardous due to the prevalence of wildfires, including those on the wildland-urban interface. Upon burning, soil on the surface or immediately beneath becomes hydrophobic, a phenomenon that occurs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Mahta Movasat , Ingrid Tomac

Wildfire activity has increased dramatically in the western United States (US) over the last three decades, having a significant impact on air quality and human health. However, quantifying the drivers of trends in wildfires and subsequent…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-06 Xu Feng , Loretta J. Mickley , Jed O. Kaplan , Makoto Kelp , Yang Li , Tianjia Liu

This paper presents a data-driven approach to mitigate the effects of air pollution from industrial plants on nearby cities by linking operational decisions with weather conditions. Our method combines predictive and prescriptive machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-23 Dimitris Bertsimas , Leonard Boussioux , Cynthia Zeng

Using artificial neural network for the prediction of heat demand has attracted more and more attention. Weather conditions, such as ambient temperature, wind speed and direct solar irradiance, have been identified as key input parameters.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Jiyang Xie , Zhanyu Ma , Jun Guo

Chikungunya is an emerging threat for health security all over the world which is spreading very fast. Researches for proper forecasting of the incidence rate of chikungunya has been going on in many places in which DARPA has done a very…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Sayed Erfan Arefin , Tasnia Ashrafi Heya , Dr Moinul Zaber

Forest-savanna bistability - the hypothesis that forests and savannas exist as alternative stable states in the tropics - and its implications are key challenges for mathematical modelers and ecologists in the context of ongoing climate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-05 Kimberly Shen , Simon Levin , Denis D. Patterson

Wildfires are among the most severe disturbances affecting forest ecosystems, with over 50,000 hectares burned in Patagonia, Argentina, during 2025 alone. This study implements a Reaction-Diffusion-Convection (RDC) model to simulate…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-05-04 Lucas Becerra , Monica Malen Denham , Alejandro B. Kolton , Karina Laneri

Even though laboratory and epidemiological studies have demonstrated the effects of ambient temperature on the transmission and survival of coronaviruses, not much has been done on the effects of weather on the spread of COVID-19. This…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-04 Wahab Abdul Iddrisu , Peter Appiahene , Justice A. Kessie

Mediterranean rangelands should be conceived as socio-ecological landscapes (SEL) because of the close interaction and coevolution between socio-economic and natural systems. A significant threat to these Mediterranean rangelands is related…

We present results on a stochastic forest fire model, where the influence of the neighbour trees is treated in a more realistic way than usual and the definition of neighbourhood can be tuned by an additional parameter. This model exhibits…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2015-05-13 Klaus Lichtenegger , Wilhelm Schappacher

Engineered timber is pivotal to low-carbon construction, but moisture uptake during its service life can compromise structural reliability and impede reuse within a circular economy model. Despite growing interest, quantitative standards…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-16 Yiping Meng , Chulin Jiang , Courtney Jayne Scurr , Farzad Pour Rahimian , David Hughes

Remote sensing techniques have been used effectively for measuring the overall loss of terrestrial ecosystem production and biodiversity due to the forest fire. The current research focuses on assessing the impact of forest fire severity on…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-05 Srikanta Sannigrahi , Sandeep Bhatt , Shahid Rahmat , Virendra Rana , Suman Chakraborti

The Burning Index (BI) produced daily by the United States government's National Fire Danger Rating System is commonly used in forecasting the hazard of wildfire activity in the United States. However, recent evaluations have shown the BI…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-04 Haiyong Xu , Frederic Paik Schoenberg

Predicting future states in uncertain environments, such as wildfire spread, medical diagnosis, or autonomous driving, requires models that can consider multiple plausible outcomes. While diffusion models can effectively learn such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Sebastian Gerard , Josephine Sullivan

As the climate changes, the severity of wildland fires is expected to worsen. Models that accurately capture fire propagation dynamics greatly help efforts for understanding, responding to and mitigating the damages caused by these fires.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-12 John Burge , Matthew Bonanni , Matthias Ihme , Lily Hu

Due to severe societal and environmental impacts, wildfire prediction using multi-modal sensing data has become a highly sought-after data-analytical tool by various stakeholders (such as state governments and power utility companies) to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-12 Chen Xu , Yao Xie , Daniel A. Zuniga Vazquez , Rui Yao , Feng Qiu

Fine particulate matter, PM$_{2.5}$, has been documented to have adverse health effects and wildland fires are a major contributor to PM$_{2.5}$ air pollution in the US. Forecasters use numerical models to predict PM$_{2.5}$ concentrations…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-30 Suman Majumder , Yawen Guan , Brian J. Reich , Susan O'Neill , Ana G. Rappold

Energy demand prediction is critical for grid operators, industrial energy consumers, and service providers. Energy demand is influenced by multiple factors, including weather conditions (e.g. temperature, humidity, wind speed, solar…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Chutian Ma , Grigorii Pomazkin , Giacinto Paolo Saggese , Paul Smith

Wildfires propagate through intricate interactions between wind, fuel, and terrain, resulting in complex behaviors that pose challenges for accurate predictions. This study investigates the interaction between wind velocity topology and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-23 Siva Viknesh , Ali Tohidi , Fatemeh Afghah , Rob Stoll , Amirhossein Arzani

With their continued increase in coverage and quality, data collected from personal air quality monitors has become an increasingly valuable tool to complement existing public health monitoring systems over urban areas. However, the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-01 Matthew Bonas , Stefano Castruccio