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Wildfire significantly disturb ecosystems by altering forest structure, vegetation ecophysiology, and soil properties. Understanding the complex interactions between topographic and climatic conditions in post-wildfire recovery is crucial.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-29 Faria Tuz Zahura , Gautam Bisht , Zhi Li , Sarah McKnight , Xingyuan Chen

Climate change is intensifying wildfire risks globally, making reliable forecasting critical for adaptation strategies. While machine learning shows promise for wildfire prediction from Earth observation data, current approaches lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Aditya Chakravarty

This study presents a probabilistic surrogate model for localized wildfire spread based on a conditional flow matching algorithm. The approach models fire progression as a stochastic process by learning the conditional distribution of fire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Bryan Shaddy , Haitong Qin , Brianna Binder , James Haley , Riya Duddalwar , Kyle Hilburn , Assad Oberai

This study investigates the multifaceted factors influencing wildfire risk in Iran, focusing on the interplay between climatic conditions and human activities. Utilizing advanced remote sensing, geospatial information system (GIS)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Ehsan Masoudian , Ali Mirzaei , Hossein Bagheri

Due to climate change, the extreme wildfire has become one of the most dangerous natural hazards to human civilization. Even though, some wildfires may be initially caused by human activity, but the spread of wildfires is mainly determined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Qijun Chen , Shaofan Li

Wildfire is an important system process of the earth that occurs across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. A variety of methods have been used to predict wildfire phenomena during the past century to better our understanding of…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-24 S. W. Taylor , Douglas G. Woolford , C. B. Dean , David L. Martell

Extreme wildfires are a significant cause of human death and biodiversity destruction within countries that encompass the Mediterranean Basin. Recent worrying trends in wildfire activity (i.e., occurrence and spread) suggest that wildfires…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-06 Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser , Emanuele Bevacqua , Jakob Zscheischler

The present work is aimed to examine the potential of advanced machine learning strategies to predict the monthly rainfall (precipitation) for the Indus Basin, using climatological variables such as air temperature, geo-potential height,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-27 Hamidreza Ghasemi Damavandi , Reepal Shah

In recent years, the increasing threat of devastating wildfires has underscored the need for effective prescribed fire management. Process-based computer simulations have traditionally been employed to plan prescribed fires for wildfire…

The increasing size and severity of wildfires across the western United States have generated dangerous levels of PM$_{2.5}$ concentrations in recent years. In a changing climate, expanding the use of prescribed fires is widely considered…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-27 Kyleen Liao , Jatan Buch , Kara Lamb , Pierre Gentine

Prescribed burns are currently the most effective method of reducing the risk of widespread wildfires, but a largely missing component in forest management is knowing which fuels one can safely burn to minimize exposure to toxic smoke. Here…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-09 Lorenzo Tomaselli , Coty Jen , Ann B. Lee

The objective of the present study is twofold. First, the last developments and validation results of a hybrid model designed to simulate fire patterns in heterogeneous landscapes are presented. The model combines the features of a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-02-08 Mohamed Drissi

Fires and rainfall are major mechanisms that regulate woody and grassy biomasses in savanna ecosystems. Conditions of long-lasting coexistence of trees and grasses have been mainly studied using continuous-time modelling of tree-grass…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-28 V. Yatat , P. Couteron , J. J. Tewa , S. Bowong , Y. Dumont

Fuel moisture content (FMC) is a key predictor for wildfire rate of spread (ROS). Machine learning models of FMC are being used more in recent years, augmenting or replacing traditional physics-based approaches. Wildfire rate of spread…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-22 Jonathon Hirschi

In recent years, advances in computational power and spatial data analysis (GIS, remote sensing, etc) have led to an increase in attempts to model the spread and behaviour of wildland fires across the landscape. This series of review papers…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-07-28 A. L. Sullivan

In recent decades, the intensification of wildfire activity in western Canada has resulted in substantial socio-economic and environmental losses. Accurate wildfire risk prediction is hindered by the intrinsic stochasticity of ignition and…

This paper examines the use of risk models to predict the timing and location of wildfires caused by electricity infrastructure. Our data include historical ignition and wire-down points triggered by grid infrastructure collected between…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-28 Mengqi Yao , Meghana Bharadwaj , Zheng Zhang , Baihong Jin , Duncan S. Callaway

Forest fires pose a natural threat with devastating social, environmental, and economic implications. The rapid and highly uncertain rate of spread of wildfires necessitates a trustworthy digital tool capable of providing real-time…

Accurate prediction of wildfire spread is crucial for effective risk management, emergency response, and strategic resource allocation. In this study, we present a deep learning (DL)-based framework for forecasting the final extent of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Nikolaos Anastasiou , Spyros Kondylatos , Ioannis Papoutsis

Wildfire forecasting problems usually rely on complex grid-based mathematical models, mostly involving Computational fluid dynamics(CFD) and Celluar Automata, but these methods have always been computationally expensive and difficult to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Hansong Xiao
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