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Given the increasing prevalence of wildland fires in the Western US, there is a critical need to develop tools to understand and accurately predict burn severity. We develop a machine learning model to predict post-fire burn severity using…

Exposure assessment is fundamental to air pollution cohort studies. The objective is to predict air pollution exposures for study subjects at locations without data in order to optimize our ability to learn about health effects of air…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-05 Si Cheng , Magali N. Blanco , Lianne Sheppard , Ali Shojaie , Adam Szpiro

Savannas are characterized by a discontinuous tree layer superimposed on a continuous layer of grass. Identifying the mechanisms that facilitate this tree-grass coexistence has remained a persistent challenge in ecology and is known as the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-30 Flora S. Bacelar , Justin M. Calabrese , Emílio Hernández-García

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have proven instrumental across various computer science domains, enabling advancements in object detection, classification, and anomaly detection. This paper explores the application of CNNs to analyze…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Spiros Maggioros , Nikos Tsalkitzis

Due to recent climate changes, we have seen more frequent and severe wildfires in the United States. Predicting wildfires is critical for natural disaster prevention and mitigation. Advances in technologies in data processing and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Hyung-Jin Yoon , Petros Voulgaris

Smoldering combustion plays an important role in forest and wildland fires. Fires from smoldering combustion can last for long periods of time, emit more pollutants, and be difficult to extinguish. This makes the study of smoldering in…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-01-25 Tejas Chandrashekhar Mulky , Kyle E. Niemeyer

Each year, wildfires destroy larger areas of Spain, threatening numerous ecosystems. Humans cause 90% of them (negligence or provoked) and the behaviour of individuals is unpredictable. However, atmospheric and environmental variables…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Helena Liz-López , Javier Huertas-Tato , Jorge Pérez-Aracil , Carlos Casanova-Mateo , Julia Sanz-Justo , David Camacho

Forecasting bushfire spread is an important element in fire prevention and response efforts. Empirical observations of bushfire spread can be used to estimate fire response under certain conditions. These observations form rate-of-spread…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-24 Andrew Bolt , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Chimney fires constitute one of the most commonly occurring fire types. Precise prediction and prompt prevention are crucial in reducing the harm they cause. In this paper, we develop a combined machine learning and statistical modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-15 C. Lu , M. N. M. van Lieshout , M. de Graaf , P. Visscher

Wildfire risk prediction remains a critical yet challenging task due to the complex interactions among fuel conditions, meteorology, topography, and human activity. Despite growing interest in data-driven approaches, publicly available…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Zhengsen Xu , Sibo Cheng , Lanying Wang , Hongjie He , Wentao Sun , Jonathan Li , Lincoln Linlin Xu

Increasing wildfire occurrence has spurred growing interest in wildfire spread prediction. However, even the most complex wildfire models diverge from observed progression during multi-day simulations, motivating need for data assimilation.…

We live in a time where climate models predict future increases in environmental variability and biological invasions are becoming increasingly frequent. A key to developing effective responses to biological invasions in increasingly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-16 Sebastian J. Schreiber , Maureen E. Ryan

Investigating the health impacts of wildfire smoke requires data on people's exposure to fine particulate matter (PM$_{2.5}$) across space and time. In recent years, it has become common to use machine learning models to fill gaps in…

Accurate spatiotemporal modeling of conditions leading to moderate and large wildfires provides better understanding of mechanisms driving fire-prone ecosystems and improves risk management. We here develop a joint model for the occurrence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Jonathan Koh , François Pimont , Jean-Luc Dupuy , Thomas Opitz

In this paper we present the results of a feature importance analysis of a chemical sulphonation process. The task consists of predicting the neutralization number (NT), which is a metric that characterizes the product quality of active…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Enrique Garcia-Ceja , Åsmund Hugo , Brice Morin , Per-Olav Hansen , Espen Martinsen , An Ngoc Lam , Øystein Haugen

Wildfire propagation is a highly stochastic process where small changes in environmental conditions (such as wind speed and direction) can lead to large changes in observed behaviour. A traditional approach to quantify uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Andrew Bolt , Conrad Sanderson , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

The availability of wildland fire propagation models with parameters estimated in an accurate way starting from measurements of fire fronts is crucial to predict the evolution of fire and allocate resources for firefighting. Thus, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Angelo Alessandri , Patrizia Bagnerini , Mauro Gaggero , Luca Mantelli

Road accidents have significant economic and societal costs, with a small number of severe accidents accounting for a large portion of these costs. Predicting accident severity can help in the proactive approach to road safety by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Adekunle Adefabi , Somtobe Olisah , Callistus Obunadike , Oluwatosin Oyetubo , Esther Taiwo , Edward Tella

This paper presents a novel approach in wildfire prediction through the integration of multisource spatiotemporal data, including satellite data, and the application of deep learning techniques. Specifically, we utilize an ensemble model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Ayoub Jadouli , Chaker El Amrani

Forest fire prediction involves estimating the likelihood of fire ignition or related risk levels in a specific area over a defined time period. With climate change intensifying fire behavior and frequency, accurate prediction has become…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Nicolas Caron , Christophe Guyeux , Hassan Noura , Benjamin Aynes