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Demand forecasting in supply chain management (SCM) is critical for optimizing inventory, reducing waste, and improving customer satisfaction. Conventional approaches frequently neglect external influences like weather, festivities, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Anees Fatima , Mohammad Abdus Salam

This paper introduces an approach to reference class selection in distributional forecasting with an application to corporate sales growth rates using several co-variates as reference variables, that are implicit predictors. The method can…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-07 Etienne Theising

The fashion industry is one of the most active and competitive markets in the world, manufacturing millions of products and reaching large audiences every year. A plethora of business processes are involved in this large-scale industry, but…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-10 Geri Skenderi , Christian Joppi , Matteo Denitto , Marco Cristani

DemandLens demonstrates an innovative Prophet based forecasting model for the mattress-in-a-box industry, incorporating COVID-19 metrics and SKU-specific hyperparameter optimization. This industry has seen significant growth of E-commerce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Srijesh Pillai , M. I. Jawid Nazir

Predicting future consumer behaviour is one of the most challenging problems for large scale retail firms. Accurate prediction of consumer purchase pattern enables better inventory planning and efficient personalized marketing strategies.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Ankur Verma

Distribution forecast can quantify forecast uncertainty and provide various forecast scenarios with their corresponding estimated probabilities. Accurate distribution forecast is crucial for planning - for example when making production…

This study describes an investigation into the modelling of citywide water consumption in London, Canada. Multiple modelling techniques were evaluated for the task of univariate time series forecasting with water consumption, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Blake VanBerlo , Matthew A. S. Ross , Daniel Hsia

This paper presents a novel approach to predicting buying intent and product demand in e-commerce settings, leveraging a Deep Q-Network (DQN) inspired architecture. In the rapidly evolving landscape of online retail, accurate prediction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Aditi Madhusudan Jain

The features in many prediction models naturally take the form of a hierarchy. The lower levels represent individuals or events. These units group naturally into locations and intervals or other aggregates, often at multiple levels. Levels…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-03 John Mark Agosta , Mario Inchiosa

In markets where algorithmic data processing is increasingly prevalent, recommendation algorithms can substantially affect trade and welfare. We consider a setting in which an algorithm recommends a product based on its value to the buyer…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-06-17 Shota Ichihashi , Alex Smolin

Probabilistic forecasting, i.e. estimating the probability distribution of a time series' future given its past, is a key enabler for optimizing business processes. In retail businesses, for example, forecasting demand is crucial for having…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-25 David Salinas , Valentin Flunkert , Jan Gasthaus

Data-driven methods -- such as machine learning and time series forecasting -- are widely used for sales forecasting in the food retail domain. However, for newly introduced products insufficient training data is available to train accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Tristan Karb , Niklas Kühl , Robin Hirt , Varvara Glivici-Cotruta

Growing competitiveness and increasing availability of data is generating tremendous interest in data-driven analytics across industries. In the retail sector, stores need targeted guidance to improve both the efficiency and effectiveness…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-15 Haidar Almohri , Ratna Babu Chinnam , Mark Colosimo

We study a problem of an online retailer who observes the unit sales of a product, and dynamically changes the retail price, in order to maximize the expected revenue. Assuming the demand of the product is price sensitive, we are interested…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-17 Chengcheng Liu , Mátyás A. Sustik

Based on the success of recommender systems in e-commerce, there is growing interest in their use in matching markets (e.g., labor). While this holds potential for improving market fluidity and fairness, we show in this paper that naively…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Yi Su , Magd Bayoumi , Thorsten Joachims

We propose a framework for general probabilistic multi-step time series regression. Specifically, we exploit the expressiveness and temporal nature of Sequence-to-Sequence Neural Networks (e.g. recurrent and convolutional structures), the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Ruofeng Wen , Kari Torkkola , Balakrishnan Narayanaswamy , Dhruv Madeka

Financial market forecasting remains a formidable challenge despite the surge in computational capabilities and machine learning advancements. While numerous studies have underscored the precision of computer-generated market predictions,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-16 Reza Yarbakhsh , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah , Hamidreza Karimaghaie

Supply and demand are two fundamental concepts of sellers and customers. Predicting demand accurately is critical for organizations in order to be able to make plans. In this paper, we propose a new approach for demand prediction on an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Resul Tugay , Sule Gunduz Oguducu

Accurate demand forecasting is one of the key aspects for successfully managing restaurants and staff canteens. In particular, properly predicting future sales of menu items allows a precise ordering of food stock. From an environmental…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-14 Konstantin Posch , Christian Truden , Philipp Hungerländer , Jürgen Pilz

In the manufacturing industry, it is very important to keep machines and processes running smoothly and without unexpected problems. One of the most common tools used to check if everything is working properly is called Statistical Process…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Mohammad Iqbal Rasul Seeam