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Doubly-stochastic point processes model the occurrence of events over a spatial domain as an inhomogeneous Poisson process conditioned on the realization of a random intensity function. They are flexible tools for capturing spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Si Cheng , Jon Wakefield , Ali Shojaie

We obtain quenched hitting distributions to be compound Poissonian for a certain class of random dynamical systems. The theory is general and designed to accommodate non-uniformly expanding behavior and targets that do not overlap much with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Lucas Amorim , Nicolai Haydn , Sandro Vaienti

In many problems, the measured variables (e.g., image pixels) are just mathematical functions of the latent causal variables (e.g., the underlying concepts or objects). For the purpose of making predictions in changing environments or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Kun Zhang , Shaoan Xie , Ignavier Ng , Yujia Zheng

Continuously-observed event occurrences, often exhibit self- and mutually-exciting effects, which can be well modeled using temporal point processes. Beyond that, these event dynamics may also change over time, with certain periodic trends.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Sikun Yang , Hongyuan Zha

Real-world signals typically span across multiple dimensions, that is, they naturally reside on multi-way data structures referred to as tensors. In contrast to standard ``flat-view'' multivariate matrix models which are agnostic to data…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-04 Bruno Scalzo Dees , Anh-Huy Phan , Danilo P. Mandic

A generator of spatio-temporal pseudo-random Gaussian fields that satisfy the "proportionality of scales" property (Tsyroulnikov, 2001) is presented. The generator is based on a third-order in time stochastic differential equation with a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-15 Michael Tsyrulnikov , Dmitry Gayfulin

In the realm of large-scale spatiotemporal data, abrupt changes are commonly occurring across both spatial and temporal domains. This study aims to address the concurrent challenges of detecting change points and identifying spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Zerui Zhang , Xin Wang , Xin Zhang , Jing Zhang

Relative survival represents the preferred framework for the analysis of population cancer survival data. The aim is to model the survival probability associated to cancer in the absence of information about the cause of death. Recent data…

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data have seen many developments in recent years. Though spatial joint models are still rare and the traditional proportional hazards formulation of the time-to-event part of the model is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Anja Rappl , Thomas Kneib , Stefan Lang , Elisabeth Bergherr

With a rapid increase in volume and complexity of data sets, there is a need for methods that can extract useful information, for example the relationship between two data sets measured for the same persons. The Partial Least Squares (PLS)…

Performance monitoring, anomaly detection, and root-cause analysis in complex cyber-physical systems (CPSs) are often highly intractable due to widely diverse operational modes, disparate data types, and complex fault propagation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-01 Chao Liu , Kin Gwn Lore , Zhanhong Jiang , Soumik Sarkar

We propose the Temporal Point Cloud Networks (TPCN), a novel and flexible framework with joint spatial and temporal learning for trajectory prediction. Unlike existing approaches that rasterize agents and map information as 2D images or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Maosheng Ye , Tongyi Cao , Qifeng Chen

The COVID-19 pandemic provided many modeling challenges to investigate the evolution of an epidemic process over areal units. A suitable encompassing model must describe the spatio-temporal variations of the disease infection rate of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-20 Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro , Dankmar Boehning , Sujit Sahu

The coronavirus pandemic has rapidly evolved into an unprecedented crisis. The susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) model and its variants have been used for modeling the pandemic. However, time-independent parameters in the classical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-09 Hyokyoung G. Hong , Yi Li

This paper proposes a novel Machine Learning-based approach to solve a Poisson problem with mixed boundary conditions. Leveraging Graph Neural Networks, we develop a model able to process unstructured grids with the advantage of enforcing…

Anomaly detection in high-dimensional time series data is pivotal for numerous industrial applications. Recent advances in multivariate time series anomaly detection (TSAD) have increasingly leveraged graph structures to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Jiazhen Chen , Mingbin Feng , Tony S. Wirjanto

To realize Quantitative MRI (QMRI) with clinically acceptable scan time, acceleration factors achieved by conventional parallel imaging techniques are often inadequate. Further acceleration is possible using model-based reconstruction. We…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-23 Riwaj Byanju , Stefan Klein , Alexandra Cristobal-Huerta , J. A. Hernandez-Tamames , Dirk H. J. Poot

Estimating causal effects in quasi-experiments with spatio-temporal panel data often requires adjusting for unmeasured confounding that varies across space and time. Gaussian Processes (GPs) offer a flexible, nonparametric modeling approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Sofia L. Vega , Rachel C. Nethery

We propose an iterated version of the Gilbert model, which results in a sequence of random mosaics of the plane. We prove that under appropriate scaling, this sequence of mosaics converges to that obtained by a classical Poisson line…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-28 Francois Baccelli , Ngoc M. Tran

As industrial systems become more complex and monitoring sensors for everything from surveillance to our health become more ubiquitous, multivariate time series prediction is taking an important place in the smooth-running of our society. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Fan Jin , Ke Zhang , Yipan Huang , Yifei Zhu , Baiping Chen