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We investigate the maximum caliber variational principle as an inference algorithm used to predict dynamical properties of complex nonequilibrium, stationary, statistical systems in the presence of incomplete information. Specifically, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-28 Carlo Cafaro , Sean Alan Ali

Markov models are widely used to describe processes of stochastic dynamics. Here, we show that Markov models are a natural consequence of the dynamical principle of Maximum Caliber. First, we show that when there are different possible…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Hao Ge , Steve Presse , Kingshuk Ghosh , Ken Dill

Adaptive systems -- such as a biological organism gaining survival advantage, an autonomous robot executing a functional task, or a motor protein transporting intracellular nutrients -- must model the regularities and stochasticity in their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-13 A. B. Boyd , J. P. Crutchfield , M. Gu

Hierarchies are of fundamental interest in both stochastic optimal control and biological control due to their facilitation of a range of desirable computational traits in a control algorithm and the possibility that they may form a core…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-01-09 Daniel McNamee

G\'acs' coarse-grained algorithmic entropy leverages universal computation to quantify the information content of any given physical state. Unlike the Boltzmann and Gibbs-Shannon entropies, it requires no prior commitment to macrovariables…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-03 Aram Ebtekar , Marcus Hutter

After the justification of the maximum entropy approach for equilibrium thermodynamic system, and of a maximum path entropy algorithm for nonequilibrium thermodynamic systems by virtue of the principle of virtual work, we present in this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-12-18 Qiuping A. Wang

The study of intelligent systems explains behaviour in terms of economic rationality. This results in an optimization principle involving a function or utility, which states that the system will evolve until the configuration of maximum…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Pedro Hack

Algorithmic approach is based on the assumption that any quantum evolution of many particle system can be simulated on a classical computer with the polynomial time and memory cost. Algorithms play the central role here but not the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Yuri Ozhigov

We present a principled approach for estimating the matrix of microscopic rates among states of a Markov process, given only its stationary state population distribution and a single average global kinetic observable. We adapt Maximum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-17 Purushottam D. Dixit , Ken A. Dill

The article is devoted to the problem of applying the maximum principle for finding optimal control parameters in simulation tasks of interest for a variety of engineering and industrial systems and processes. Especially important is the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Ivan V. Kazachkov

Algorithmic idealism represents a transformative approach to understanding reality, emphasizing the informational structure of self-states and their algorithmic transitions over traditional notions of an external, objective universe. Rooted…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2024-12-31 Krzysztof Sienicki

Many learning algorithms can be represented as Markov processes, and understanding their generalization error is a central topic in learning theory. For specific continuous-time noisy algorithms, a prominent analysis technique relies on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-06 Benjamin Dupuis , Maxime Haddouche , George Deligiannidis , Umut Simsekli

Markov decision processes continue to gain in popularity for modeling a wide range of applications ranging from analysis of supply chains and queuing networks to cognitive science and control of autonomous vehicles. Nonetheless, they tend…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Ali Eshragh

We develop a physics-based model for classical computation based on autonomous quantum thermal machines. These machines consist of few interacting quantum bits (qubits) connected to several environments at different temperatures. Heat flows…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-03-06 Patryk Lipka-Bartosik , Martí Perarnau-Llobet , Nicolas Brunner

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

As artificial intelligence (AI) systems become increasingly integrated into various domains, ensuring that they align with human values becomes critical. This paper introduces a novel formalism to quantify the alignment between AI systems…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Fazl Barez , Philip Torr

We review here {\it Maximum Caliber} (Max Cal), a general variational principle for inferring distributions of paths in dynamical processes and networks. Max Cal is to dynamical trajectories what the principle of {\it Maximum Entropy} (Max…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-17 Purushottam D. Dixit , Jason Wagoner , Corey Weistuch , Steve Pressé , Kingshuk Ghosh , Ken A. Dill

We consider the problem of approximating the reachability probabilities in Markov decision processes (MDP) with uncountable (continuous) state and action spaces. While there are algorithms that, for special classes of such MDP, provide a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-13 Kush Grover , Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer , Maximilian Weininger

We present a probabilistic model for stochastic iterative algorithms with the use case of optimization algorithms in mind. Based on this model, we present PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds for functions that are defined on the trajectory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Michael Sucker , Peter Ochs

The purpose of this paper is to introduce a notion of causality in Markov decision processes based on the probability-raising principle and to analyze its algorithmic properties. The latter includes algorithms for checking cause-effect…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-01-24 Christel Baier , Florian Funke , Jakob Piribauer , Robin Ziemek
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