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Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

For a given homogeneous Poisson point process in $\mathbb{R}^d$ two points are connected by an edge if their distance is bounded by a prescribed distance parameter. The behaviour of the resulting random graph, the Gilbert graph or random…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-06 Matthias Reitzner , Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

We study mixture of linear regression (random coefficient) models, which capture population heterogeneity by allowing the regression coefficients to follow an unknown distribution $G^*$. In contrast to common parametric methods that fix the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Hansheng Jiang , Adityanand Guntuboyina

Negative probabilities arise primarily in physics, statistical quantum mechanics and quantum computing. Negative probabilities arise as mixing distributions of unobserved latent variables in Bayesian modeling. Our goal is to provide a link…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-09-06 Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov

The extreme event statistics plays a very important role in the theory and practice of time series analysis. The reassembly of classical theoretical results is often undermined by non-stationarity and dependence between increments.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-28 Mauro Politi , Nicolas Millot , Anirban Chakraborti

Any limiting point process for the time normalized exceedances of high levels by a stationary sequence is necessarily compound Poisson under appropriate long range dependence conditions. Typically exceedances appear in clusters. The…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-03 Christian Y. Robert

It is well known that a binomial $(n,p)$ can be approximated by a Poisson distribution with parameter $np$. The typical approach in undergraduate probability texts is to show a convergence result for the distribution of the binomial as $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We use a Poisson point process approach to prove distributional convergence to a stable law for non square-integrable observables $\phi: [0,1]\to R$, mostly of the form $\phi (x) = d(x,x_0)^{-\frac{1}{\alpha}}$,$0<\alpha\le 2$, on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-24 An Chen , Matthew Nicol , Andrew Török

This paper is devoted to the multivariate estimation of a vector of Poisson means. A novel loss function that penalises bad estimates of each of the parameters and the sum (or equivalently the mean) of the parameters is introduced. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Emil Aas Stoltenberg , Nils Lid Hjort

Within the framework of probability models for overdispersed count data, we propose the generalized fractional Poisson distribution (gfPd), which is a natural generalization of the fractional Poisson distribution (fPd), and the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Dexter Cahoy , Elvira Di Nardo , Federico Polito

We provide an inequality which is a useful tool in studying both large deviation results and limit theorems for sums of random fields with "negligible" small values. In particular, the inequality covers cases of stable limits for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-06 Adam Jakubowski , Jan Rosiński

Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Parametric distributions are an important part of statistics. There is now a voluminous literature on different fascinating formulations of flexible distributions. We present a selective and brief overview of a small subset of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Sharon X. Lee , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

In the present paper we demonstrate the results of a statistical analysis of some characteristics of precipitation events and propose a kind of a theoretical explanation of the proposed models in terms of mixed Poisson and mixed exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-28 V. Yu. Korolev , A. K. Gorshenin , S. K. Gulev , K. P. Belyaev , A. A. Grusho

Max-stable processes provide natural models for the modelling of spatial extreme values observed at a set of spatial sites. Full likelihood inference for max-stable data is, however, complicated by the form of the likelihood function as it…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-15 Patrik Andersson , Alexander Engberg

We obtain optimal moment bounds for Birkhoff sums, and optimal concentration inequalities, for a large class of slowly mixing dynamical systems, including those that admit anomalous diffusion in the form of a stable law or a central limit…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-09-01 Sébastien Gouëzel , Ian Melbourne

We study sums of independent random variables that take values $0$, $1/2$, or $1$. We show that the probability mass function of the sum splits into two interleaved parts: one supported on the integers and the other supported on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Mark Broadie , Ina Petkova

Bivariate partial-sums discrete probability distributions are defined. The question of the existence of a limit distribution for iterated partial summations is solved for finite-support bivariate distributions which satisfy conditions under…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-11 Lívia Leššova , Ján Mačutek

We provide finite-sample distribution approximations, that are uniform in the parameter, for inference in linear mixed models. Focus is on variances and covariances of random effects in cases where existing theory fails because their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

The methods of statistical physics are widely used for modelling complex networks. Building on the recently proposed Equilibrium Expectation approach, we derive a simple and efficient algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-12 Alexander Borisenko , Maksym Byshkin , Alessandro Lomi
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