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Since the end of 2019 an outbreak of a new strain of coronavirus, called 2019--nCoV, is reported from China and later other parts of the world. Since January 21, WHO reports daily data on confirmed cases and deaths from both China and other…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-11 Thomas Götz

We recently described a dynamic causal model of a COVID-19 outbreak within a single region. Here, we combine several of these (epidemic) models to create a (pandemic) model of viral spread among regions. Our focus is on a second wave of new…

The outbreak of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China has caused a viral epidemic affecting tens of thousands of persons. Though the danger of this epidemic is evident, the statistical analysis of data offered in this paper indicates that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-19 Javier Gamero , Juan A. Tamayo , Juan A. Martinez-Roman

A mathematical model is proposed for quantitative description of the outbreak of novel coronavirus COVID-19 in China. Although the model is relatively simple, the comparison with the public data shows that an exact solution solution of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-10 Roman Cherniha , Vasyl' Davydovych

The crisis caused by COVID-19 revealed the global unpreparedness to handle the impact of a pandemic. In this paper, we present a statistical analysis of the data related to the COVID-19 outbreak in China, specifically the infection speed,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-13 S. Sahin , M. C. Boado-Penas , C. Constantinescu , J. Eisenberg , K. Henshaw , M. Hu , J. Wang , W. Zhu

In this note, we discuss the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak from the perspective of the market-structure. We observe that the US market-structure has dramatically changed during the past four weeks and that the level of change has followed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-25 Pier Francesco Procacci , Carolyn E. Phelan , Tomaso Aste

The phenomenological mathematical model of COVID-19 spreading is proposed for large countries with geographical differentiation of population density. According to the model COVID-19 spreading takes the form of several spatio-temporal waves…

Biological Physics · Physics 2020-12-14 P. S. Grinchuk , S. P. Fisenko

As of May 2022, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) still has a severe global impact on people's lives. Previous studies have reported that COVID-19 decreased the electricity demand in early 2020. However, our study found that the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-07 Yasunobu Wakashiro

A novel parametric regression model is proposed to fit incidence data typically collected during epidemics. The proposal is motivated by real-time monitoring and short-term forecasting of the main epidemiological indicators within the first…

The world evolution of the Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-Cov2 or simply COVID-19) led the World Health Organization to declare it a pandemic. The disease appeared in China in December 2019, and it has spread fast…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-22 Nuno Crokidakis

In this study, we propose a clustering-based approach on time-series data to capture COVID-19 spread patterns in the early period of the pandemic. We analyze the spread dynamics based on the early and post stages of COVID-19 for different…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-05 Mehedi Hassan , Md Enamul Haque , Mehmet Engin Tozal

We consider the pandemic spreading of COVID-19 in India after the outbreak of the coronavirus in Wuhan city, China. We estimate the transmission rate of the initial infecting individuals of COVID-19 in India by using the officially reported…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-09 R. Gopal , V. K. Chandrasekar , M. Lakshmanan

The COVID-19 global pandemic starting in January 2020 disrupted international collaborations in scholarly exchange, reducing mobility and connections across the globe. An examination of Web of Science-indexed publications from China, the…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2022-02-14 Caroline S. Wagner , Xiaojing Cai

COVID 19 is an acute disease that started spreading throughout the world, beginning in December 2019. It has spread worldwide and has affected more than 7 million people, and 200 thousand people have died due to this infection as of Oct…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-04-26 Shradha Shinde , Jay Joshi , Sowmya Mareedu , Yeon Pyo Kim , Jongwook Woo

We study the reported data from the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak in January - May 2020 in 119 countries. We observe that the time series of active cases in individual countries (the difference of the total number of confirmed infections and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-15 Katarina Bodova , Richard Kollar

The global crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, in conjunction with the economic consequences and the collapse of health systems, has raised serious concerns in Europe, which is the most affected continent by the pandemic since it…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-26 Konstantinos Demertzis , Lykourgos Magafas , Dimitrios Tsiotas

In this paper, we investigate the ongoing dynamics of COVID-19 in India after its emergence in Wuhan, China in December 2019. We discuss the effect of nationwide lockdown implemented in India on March 25, 2020 to prevent the spread of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-15 Chintamani Pai , Ankush Bhaskar , Vaibhav Rawoot

In this paper, a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model has been used to track the evolution of the spread of the COVID-19 virus in four countries of interest. In particular, the epidemic model, that depends on some basic characteristics,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-28 Ian Cooper , Argha Mondal , Chris G. Antonopoulos

The main objective of this study is to check short term stress of COVID-19 on the American, European, Asian, and Pacific stock market indices, furthermore, the correlation between all the stock markets during the pandemic. Secondary data of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-17 Muhammad Rehan , Jahanzaib Alvi , Suleyman Serdar Karaca

Since the end of 2019, the SARS-CoV-2 virus known as COVID-19 has spread rapidly around the world, forcing many governments to impose restrictive blocking or lockdown to combat the pandemic. With locomotion restriction of people in almost…