A mathematical model is proposed for quantitative description of the outbreak of novel coronavirus COVID-19 in China. Although the model is relatively simple, the comparison with the public data shows that an exact solution solution of the model (with the correctly-specified parameters) leads to the results, which are in good agreement with the measured data. Prediction of the total number of the COVID-19 cases is discussed and an example is presented using the measured data in Austria.
@article{arxiv.2004.01487,
title = {A mathematical model for the coronavirus COVID-19 outbreak},
author = {Roman Cherniha and Vasyl' Davydovych},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.01487},
year = {2020}
}