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This study describes the dynamics of COVID-19 deaths and infections via a Monte Carlo approach. The analyses include death's data from USA, Brazil, Mexico, UK, India and Russia, which comprise the four countries with the highest number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-04 Tulio Rodrigues , Otaviano Helene

We analyse the temporal and regional structure in mortality rates related to COVID-19 infections. We relate the fatality date of each deceased patient to the corresponding day of registration of the infection, leading to a nowcasting model…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-30 Marc Schneble , Giacomo De Nicola , Göran Kauermann , Ursula Berger

COVID-19 pandemic is severely impacting the lives of billions across the globe. Even after taking massive protective measures like nation-wide lockdowns, discontinuation of international flight services, rigorous testing etc., the infection…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-28 Sayantari Ghosh , Saumik Bhattacharya

Corona VIrus Disease abbreviated as COVID-19 is a novel virus which is initially identified in Wuhan of China in December of 2019 and now this deadly disease has spread all over the world. According to World Health Organization (WHO), a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Mamata Das , P. J. A. Alphonse , Selvakumar K

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

When pandemics like COVID-19 spread around the world, the rapidly evolving situation compels officials and executives to take prompt decisions and adapt policies depending on the current state of the disease. In this context, it is crucial…

In many clustering scenes, data samples' attribute values change over time. For such data, we are often interested in obtaining a partition for each time step and tracking the dynamic change of partitions. Normally, a smooth change is…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Qi Zhao , Bai Yan , Yuhui Shi

Over the past two decades there has been a number of global outbreaks of viral diseases. This has accelerated the efforts to model and forecast the disease spreading, in order to find ways to confine the spreading regionally and between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-22 Rafael A. Barrio , Kimmo K. Kaski , Gudmundur G. Haraldsson , Thor Aspelund , Tzipe Govezensky

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all countries of the world producing a substantial number of fatalities accompanied by a major disruption in their social, financial, and educational organization. The strict disciplinary measures…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-28 G. D. Barmparis , G. P. Tsironis

The global pandemic of COVID-19 over the last 2.5 years have produced an enormous amount of epidemic/public health datasets, which may also be useful for studying the underlying structure of our globally connected world. Here we used the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Hiroki Sayama

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a public health emergency of international concern affecting 201 countries and territories around the globe. As of April 4, 2020, it has caused a pandemic outbreak with more than 11,16,643…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-18 Tanujit Chakraborty , Indrajit Ghosh

We have devised a data-driven framework for uncovering hidden control strategies used by an evolutionary system described by an evolutionary probability distribution. This innovative framework enables deciphering of the concealed mechanisms…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-28 Nourddine Azzaoui , Tomoko Matsui , Daisuke Murakami

Subsequence clustering of multivariate time series is a useful tool for discovering repeated patterns in temporal data. Once these patterns have been discovered, seemingly complicated datasets can be interpreted as a temporal sequence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-16 David Hallac , Sagar Vare , Stephen Boyd , Jure Leskovec

Because of the rapid spread of COVID-19 to almost every part of the globe, huge volumes of data and case studies have been made available, providing researchers with a unique opportunity to find trends and make discoveries like never…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Sarwan Ali , Yijing Zhou , Murray Patterson

When COVID-19 first started spreading and quarantine was implemented, the Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (SIAM) Student Chapter at the University of Minnesota-Twin Cities began a collaboration with Ecolab to use our skills…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-22 Cora Brown , Sarah Milstein , Tianyi Sun , Cooper Zhao

To combat the recent coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), academician and clinician are in search of new approaches to predict the COVID-19 outbreak dynamic trends that may slow down or stop the pandemic. Epidemiological models like…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-01 Hanuman Verma , Saurav Mandal , Akshansh Gupta

We investigate the mechanisms behind the quasi-periodic outbursts on the Covid-19 epidemics. Data for France and Germany show that the patterns of outbursts exhibit a qualitative change in early 2022, which appears in a change in their…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-04 Michel Peyrard

A new coronavirus disease, called COVID-19, appeared in the Chinese region of Wuhan at the end of last year; since then the virus spread to other countries, including most of Europe. We propose a differential equation governing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-15 Giorgio Sonnino , Pasquale Nardone

In social sciences, studies are often based on questionnaires asking participants to express ordered responses several times over a study period. We present a model-based clustering algorithm for such longitudinal ordinal data. Assuming…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Francesco Amato , Julien Jacques , Isabelle Prim-Allaz

The widespread availability of large amounts of genomic data on the SARS-CoV-2 virus, as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, has created an opportunity for researchers to analyze the disease at a level of detail unlike any virus before it.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Zahra Tayebi , Sarwan Ali , Murray Patterson