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Survivors of childhood cancer need lifelong monitoring for side effects from radiotherapy. However, longitudinal data from routine monitoring is often infrequently and irregularly sampled, and subject to inaccuracies. Due to this,…

Determining subgroups that respond especially well (or poorly) to specific interventions (medical or policy) requires new supervised learning methods tailored specifically for causal inference. Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF) is a recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-16 Nikolay Krantsevich , Jingyu He , P. Richard Hahn

McCullagh and Yang (2006) suggest a family of classification algorithms based on Cox processes. We further investigate the log Gaussian variant which has a number of appealing properties. Conditioned on the covariates, the distribution over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-23 Alexander G. de. G Matthews , Zoubin Ghahramani

In this paper, we construct a hierarchical model for spatial compositional data, which is used to reconstruct past land-cover compositions (in terms of coniferous forest, broadleaved forest, and unforested/open land) for five time periods…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-03 Behnaz Pirzamanbein , Johan Lindström , Anneli Poska , Marie-José Gaillard

A Gaussian process is proposed as a model for the posterior distribution of the local predictive ability of a model or expert, conditional on a vector of covariates, from historical predictions in the form of log predictive scores. Assuming…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Oscar Oelrich , Mattias Villani

Due to climate change and human activity, wildfires are expected to become more frequent and extreme worldwide, causing economic and ecological disasters. The deployment of preventive measures and operational forecasts can be aided by…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-28 Thomas Opitz , Florent Bonneu , Edith Gabriel

Dendritic spines, which are small protrusions on the dendrites of a neuron, are of interest in neuroscience as they are related to cognitive processes such as learning and memory. We analyse the distribution of spine locations on six…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Heidi S. Christensen , Jesper Møller

We address the problem of finding influential training samples for a particular case of tree ensemble-based models, e.g., Random Forest (RF) or Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT). A natural way of formalizing this problem is studying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-14 Boris Sharchilev , Yury Ustinovsky , Pavel Serdyukov , Maarten de Rijke

Gaussian processes (GPs) are non-parametric, flexible, models that work well in many tasks. Combining GPs with deep learning methods via deep kernel learning (DKL) is especially compelling due to the strong representational power induced by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Idan Achituve , Aviv Navon , Yochai Yemini , Gal Chechik , Ethan Fetaya

The Cox regression model is a commonly used model in survival analysis. In public health studies, clinical data are often collected from medical service providers of different locations. There are large geographical variations in the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-30 Jinjian Mu , Qingyang Liu , Lynn Kuo , Guanyu Hu

For planar landmark based shapes, taking into account the non-Euclidean geometry of the shape space, a statistical test for a common mean first geodesic principal component (GPC) is devised. It rests on one of two asymptotic scenarios, both…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-09-17 Stephan Huckemann

Standard Gaussian Process (GP) regression, a powerful machine learning tool, is computationally expensive when it is applied to large datasets, and potentially inaccurate when data points are sparsely distributed in a high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-08 Z. Zhang , K. Duraisamy , N. A. Gumerov

This paper considers maximum likelihood inference for a functional marked point process - the stochastic growth-interaction process - which is an extension of the spatio-temporal growth-interaction process to the stochastic mark setting. As…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-09 Ottmar Cronie

We propose a method for detecting significant interactions in very large multivariate spatial point patterns. This methodology develops high dimensional data understanding in the point process setting. The method is based on modelling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-25 Tuomas Rajala , David Murrell , Sofia Olhede

Standard GPs offer a flexible modelling tool for well-behaved processes. However, deviations from Gaussianity are expected to appear in real world datasets, with structural outliers and shocks routinely observed. In these cases GPs can fail…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-08 Yaman Kındap , Simon Godsill

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric generative models that provide interpretability of hyperparameters, admit closed-form expressions for training and inference, and are able to accurately represent uncertainty. To model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-21 Gonzalo Rios , Felipe Tobar

In the present study it is shown that significant impacts on forests can lead to large climate fluctuations at global level. This research takes into account various scenarios for the reconstruction of forest areas using the geo-ecological…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-09-26 Costas A. Varotsos , Vladimir F. Krapivin

We present a novel Bayesian method for the joint reconstruction of cosmological matter density fields, peculiar velocities and power-spectra in the quasi-nonlinear regime. We study its applicability to the Ly-alpha forest based on multiple…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 Francisco-Shu Kitaura , Simona Gallerani , Andrea Ferrara

Sequential model-based optimization sequentially selects a candidate point by constructing a surrogate model with the history of evaluations, to solve a black-box optimization problem. Gaussian process (GP) regression is a popular choice as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-23 Jungtaek Kim , Seungjin Choi

A Bayesian approach is developed to analyze change points in multivariate time series and space-time data. The methodology is used to assess the impact of extended inundation on the ecosystem of the Gulf Plains bioregion in northern…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-21 Chris Strickland , Robert Burdett , Robert Denham , Robert Kohn , Kerrie Mengersen