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Although ambulance call data typically come in the form of spatio-temporal point patterns, point process-based modelling approaches presented in the literature are scarce. In this paper, we study a unique set of Swedish spatio-temporal…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-15 Fekadu L. Bayisa , Markus Ådahl , Patrik Rydén , Ottmar Cronie

A method was developed for Bayesian inference of species phylogeny using the multi-species coalescent model. To improve the mixing properties of the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm that traverses the space of species trees, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-15 Bruce Rannala , Ziheng Yang

We model the spatial dynamics of a forest stand by using a special class of spatio-temporal point processes, the sequential spatial point process, where the spatial dimension is parameterized and the time component is atomic. The sequential…

Gaussian latent tree models, or more generally, Gaussian latent forest models have Fisher-information matrices that become singular along interesting submodels, namely, models that correspond to subforests. For these singularities, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-24 Mathias Drton , Shaowei Lin , Luca Weihs , Piotr Zwiernik

There is a lack of point process models on linear networks. For an arbitrary linear network, we consider new models for a Cox process with an isotropic pair correlation function obtained in various ways by transforming an isotropic Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Jesper Møller , Jakob G. Rasmussen

Multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGPs) have been introduced to deal with multiple tasks by exploiting the correlations between different outputs. Generally, MOGPs models assume a flat correlation structure between the outputs. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-01 Chunchao Ma , Arthur Leroy , Mauricio Alvarez

Clustering observations across partially exchangeable groups of data is a routine task in Bayesian nonparametrics. Previously proposed models allow for clustering across groups by sharing atoms in the group-specific mixing measures.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Alessandro Carminati , Mario Beraha , Federico Camerlenghi , Alessandra Guglielmi

We consider latent Gaussian fields for modelling spatial dependence in the context of both spatial point patterns and areal data, providing two different applications. The inhomogeneous Log-Gaussian Cox Process model is specified to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-01 Nicoletta D'Angelo , Antonino Abbruzzo , Giada Adelfio

Consider an arbitrary large population at the present time, originated at an unspecified arbitrary large time in the past, where individuals in the same generation reproduce independently, forward in time, with the same offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Airam Blancas , Sandra Palau

We consider the analysis of sets of categorical sequences consisting of piecewise homogeneous Markov segments. The sequences are assumed to be governed by a common underlying process with segments occurring in the same order for each…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-08 Petter Arnesen , Tracy Holsclaw , Padhraic Smyth

A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Leen Alawieh , Jonathan Goodman , John B. Bell

A Gaussian Cox process is a popular model for point process data, in which the intensity function is a transformation of a Gaussian process. Posterior inference of this intensity function involves an intractable integral (i.e., the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Bingjing Tang , Julia Palacios

This paper introduces a new modelling framework for multivariate anisotropic Cox processes. Building on recent innovations in multivariate spatial statistics, we propose a new family of multivariate anisotropic random fields and construct a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 James S. Martin , David J. Murrell , Sofia C. Olhede

Survival models are used to analyze time-to-event data in a variety of disciplines. Proportional hazard models provide interpretable parameter estimates, but proportional hazards assumptions are not always appropriate. Non-parametric models…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-08 Richard D. Payne , Nilabja Guha , Bani K. Mallick

We propose a novel tree-based ensemble method, named XGBoostPP, to nonparametrically estimate the intensity of a point process as a function of covariates. It extends the use of gradient-boosted regression trees (Chen & Guestrin, 2016) to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 C. Lu , Y. Guan , M. N. M. van Lieshout , G. Xu

We propose a computationally efficient alternative to generalized random forests (GRFs) for estimating heterogeneous effects in large dimensions. While GRFs rely on a gradient-based splitting criterion, which in large dimensions is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-18 David Fleischer , David A. Stephens , Archer Y. Yang

Accurate spatiotemporal modeling of conditions leading to moderate and large wildfires provides better understanding of mechanisms driving fire-prone ecosystems and improves risk management. We here develop a joint model for the occurrence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Jonathan Koh , François Pimont , Jean-Luc Dupuy , Thomas Opitz

Ecological spatial patterns reflect the underlying processes that shape the structure of species and communities. Mechanisms like inter and intra species competition, dispersal and host-pathogen interactions are believed to act over a wide…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Efrat Seri , Elad Shtilerman , Nadav M. Shnerb

Species tree estimation is a complex problem, due to the fact that different parts of the genome can have different evolutionary histories than the genome itself. One of the causes for this discord is incomplete lineage sorting (also called…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-09 Erin Molloy , Tandy Warnow

An important task in the statistical analysis of inhomogeneous point processes is to investigate the influence of a set of covariates on the point-generating mechanism. In this article, we consider the nonparametric Bayesian approach to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano