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We study the problem of detecting change points (CPs) that are characterized by a subset of dimensions in a multi-dimensional sequence. A method for detecting those CPs can be formulated as a two-stage method: one for selecting relevant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-05 Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

Automated event detection has emerged as one of the fundamental practices to monitor the behavior of technical systems by means of sensor data. In the automotive industry, these methods are in high demand for tracing events in time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Bahareh Medghalchi , Andreas Vogel

For oscillating time series, the prediction is often focused on the turning points. In order to predict the turning point magnitudes and times it is proposed to form the state space reconstruction only from the turning points and modify the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Kugiumtzis

This work delves into presenting a probabilistic method for analyzing linear process data with weakly dependent innovations, focusing on detecting change-points in the mean and estimating its spectral density. We develop a test for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Ramkrishna Jyoti Samanta

High dimensional piecewise stationary graphical models represent a versatile class for modelling time varying networks arising in diverse application areas, including biology, economics, and social sciences. There has been recent work in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-21 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis , Yves Atchade

Astrophysical time series often contain periodic signals. The large and growing volume of time series data from photometric surveys demands computationally efficient methods for detecting and characterizing such signals. The most efficient…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-09 John Hoffman , Jacob Vanderplas , Joel Hartman , Gaspar Bakos

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

In high-dimensional time series, the component processes are often assembled into a matrix to display their interrelationship. We focus on detecting mean shifts with unknown change point locations in these matrix time series. Series that…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-16 Xinyu Zhang , Kung-Sik Chan

In many change point problems it is reasonable to assume that compared to a benchmark at a given time point $t_0$ the properties of the observed stochastic process change gradually over time for $t >t_0$. Often, these gradual changes are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Patrick Bastian , Holger Dette

We propose a two-stage approach Spec PC-CP to identify change points in multivariate time series. In the first stage, we obtain a low-dimensional summary of the high-dimensional time series by Spectral Principal Component Analysis…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-13 Shuhao Jiao , Tong Shen , Zhaoxia Yu , Hernando Ombao

Given nonstationary data, one generally wants to extract the trend from the noise by smoothing or filtering. However, it is often important to delineate a third intermediate category, that we call high frequency (HF) features: this is the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-02 Mathieu Mezache , Marc Hoffmann , Human Rezaei , Marie Doumic

This article introduces a novel Bayesian method for asynchronous change-point detection in multivariate time series. This method allows for change-points to occur earlier in some (leading) series followed, after a short delay, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Carson McKee , Maria Kalli

Changepoint detection is commonly formulated by minimizing the sum of in-sample losses to quantify the model's overall fit. However, for flexible modeling procedures -- especially those involving high-dimensional parameter spaces or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Chengde Qian , Guanghui Wang , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

This paper deals with the problem of asymptotically optimal detection of changes in regime-switching stochastic models. We need to divide the whole obtained sample of data into several sub-samples with observations belonging to different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-25 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

We propose a change-point detection method for large scale multiple testing problems with data having clustered signals. Unlike the classic change-point setup, the signals can vary in size within a cluster. The clustering structure on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Hongyuan Cao , Wei Biao Wu

Large-scale sequential data is often exposed to some degree of inhomogeneity in the form of sudden changes in the parameters of the data-generating process. We consider the problem of detecting such structural changes in a high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-15 Florencia Leonardi , Peter Bühlmann

Multiple change point (MCP) detection in non-stationary time series is challenging due to the variety of underlying patterns. To address these challenges, we propose a novel algorithm that integrates Active Learning (AL) with Deep Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Hao Zhao , Rong Pan

The ordinal patterns of a fixed number of consecutive values in a time series is the spatial ordering of these values. Counting how often a specific ordinal pattern occurs in a time series provides important insights into the properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Annika Betken , Giorgio Micali , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Given a heterogeneous time-series sample, the objective is to find points in time (called change points) where the probability distribution generating the data has changed. The data are assumed to have been generated by arbitrary unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-13 Azadeh Khaleghi , Daniil Ryabko

Business processes are continuously evolving in order to adapt to changes due to various factors. One type of process changes are branching frequency changes, which are related to changes in frequencies between different options when there…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Yang Lu , Qifan Chen , Simon Poon