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We consider the problem of detecting jumps in an otherwise smoothly evolving trend whilst the covariance and higher-order structures of the system can experience both smooth and abrupt changes over time. The number of jump points is allowed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

In this first of two papers, we present a new method for searching for oscillatory features in the primordial power spectrum. A wide variety of models predict these features in one of two different flavors: logarithmically spaced…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-04-02 P. Daniel Meerburg , David N. Spergel , Benjamin D. Wandelt

In this paper we investigate the problem of detecting dynamically evolving signals. We model the signal as an $n$ dimensional vector that is either zero or has $s$ non-zero components. At each time step $t\in \mathbb{N}$ the non-zero…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Rui M. Castro , Ervin Tánczos

The problem of detecting changes with multiple sensors has received significant attention in the literature. In many practical applications such as critical infrastructure monitoring and modeling of disease spread, a useful change…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Mehmet Necip Kurt , Xiaodong Wang

Changes in the statistical properties of a stochastic process are typically assumed to occur via change-points, which demark instantaneous moments of complete and total change in process behavior. In cases where these transitions occur…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Chris Browne

The objective of change-point detection is to discover abrupt property changes lying behind time-series data. In this paper, we present a novel statistical change-point detection algorithm based on non-parametric divergence estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-20 Song Liu , Makoto Yamada , Nigel Collier , Masashi Sugiyama

Living systems have time-evolving interactions that, until recently, could not be identified accurately from recorded time series in the presence of noise. Stankovski et al. (Phys. Rev. Lett. 109 024101, 2012) introduced a method based on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-14 Andrea Duggento , Tomislav Stankovski , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska

We propose a new, computationally efficient, sparsity adaptive changepoint estimator for detecting changes in unknown subsets of a high-dimensional data sequence. Assuming the data sequence is Gaussian, we prove that the new method…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Per August Jarval Moen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Tveten

The periodogram is a widely used tool to analyze second order stationary time series. An attractive feature of the periodogram is that the expectation of the periodogram is approximately equal to the underlying spectral density of the time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Sourav Das , Suhasini Subba Rao , Junho Yang

As contemporary software-intensive systems reach increasingly large scale, it is imperative that failure detection schemes be developed to help prevent costly system downtimes. A promising direction towards the construction of such schemes…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 Alexey Artemov , Evgeny Burnaev

Many studies of biomedical time series signals aim to measure the association between frequency-domain properties of time series and clinical and behavioral covariates. However, the time-varying dynamics of these associations are largely…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-05 Scott A. Bruce , Martica H. Hall , Daniel J. Buysse , Robert T. Krafty

Nonsinusoidal oscillatory signals are everywhere. In practice, the nonsinusoidal oscillatory pattern, modeled as a 1-periodic wave-shape function (WSF), might vary from cycle to cycle. When there are finite different WSFs, $s_1,\ldots,s_K$,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-12 Marcelo A. Colominas , Hau-Tieng Wu

In this paper we propose a novel machine-learning method for anomaly detection applicable to data with periodic characteristics where randomly varying period lengths are explicitly allowed. A multi-dimensional time series analysis is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-22 Lia Ahrens , Julian Ahrens , Hans D. Schotten

This work develops techniques for the sequential detection and location estimation of transient changes in the volatility (standard deviation) of time series data. In particular, we introduce a class of change detection algorithms based on…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-29 Alireza Ahrabian , Nazli Farajidavar , Clive Cheong-Took , Payam Barnaghi

Motivated by neuroscience applications, we introduce the concept of qualitative detection, that is, the problem of determining on-line the current qualitative dynamical behavior (e.g., resting, oscillating, bursting, spiking etc.) of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-10 Ying Tang , Alessio Franci , Romain Postoyan

While previous distribution shift detection approaches can identify if a shift has occurred, these approaches cannot localize which specific features have caused a distribution shift -- a critical step in diagnosing or fixing any underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Sean Kulinski , Saurabh Bagchi , David I. Inouye

The problem of identifying change points in high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) in an online fashion is of interest, due to new applications in biology, economics and social sciences. The offline version of the problem, where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis

We develop methodology and theory for the detection of a phase transition in a time-series of high-dimensional random matrices. In the model we study, at each time point \( t = 1,2,\ldots \), we observe a deformed Wigner matrix \(…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Nina Dörnemann , Piotr Kokoszka , Tim Kutta , Sunmin Lee

Branch-specific substitution models are popular for detecting evolutionary change-points, such as shifts in selective pressure. However, applying such models typically requires prior knowledge of change-point locations on the phylogeny or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-06 Xiang Ji , Benjamin Redelings , Shuo Su , Hongcun Bao , Wu-Min Deng , Samuel L. Hong , Guy Baele , Philippe Lemey , Marc A. Suchard

Detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a time series, so-called changepoints, is important for many applications. However, many procedures rely on the estimation of nuisance parameters (like long-run variance). Under the alternative (a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Michal Pešta , Martin Wendler
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