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Global sensitivity analysis of complex numerical simulators is often limited by the small number of model evaluations that can be afforded. In such settings, surrogate models built from a limited set of simulations can substantially reduce…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Guerlain Lambert , Céline Helbert , Claire Lauvernet

Reliability analysis is a sub-field of uncertainty quantification that assesses the probability of a system performing as intended under various uncertainties. Traditionally, this analysis relies on deterministic models, where experiments…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Anderson V. Pires , Maliki Moustapha , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

The global sensitivity analysis of a complex numerical model often calls for the estimation of variance-based importance measures, named Sobol' indices. Metamodel-based techniques have been developed in order to replace the cpu…

Computation · Statistics 2011-04-22 Amandine Marrel , Bertrand Iooss , Michel Jullien , Beatrice Laurent , Elena Volkova

This article presents a general multivariate $f$-sensitivity index, rooted in the $f$-divergence between the unconditional and conditional probability measures of a stochastic response, for global sensitivity analysis. Unlike the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-12-09 Sharif Rahman

Stochastic simulators exhibit intrinsic stochasticity due to unobservable, uncontrollable, or unmodeled input variables, resulting in random outputs even at fixed input conditions. Such simulators are common across various scientific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-09 K. Giannoukou , X. Zhu , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

In the continual effort to improve product quality and decrease operations costs, computational modeling is increasingly being deployed to determine feasibility of product designs or configurations. Surrogate modeling of these computer…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Nathan Wycoff , Mickaël Binois , Robert B. Gramacy

Sensitivity analysis is routinely performed on simplified surrogate models as the cost of such analysis on the original model may be prohibitive. Little is known in general about the induced bias on the sensitivity results. Within the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Michael Merritt , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

The global sensitivity analysis of a numerical model aims to quantify, by means of sensitivity indices estimate, the contributions of each uncertain input variable to the model output uncertainty. The so-called Sobol' indices, which are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Bertrand Iooss , Clémentine Prieur

It is well-known that Sobol indices, which count among the most popular sensitivity indices, are based on the Sobol decomposition. Here we challenge this construction by redefining Sobol indices without the Sobol decomposition. In fact, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-23 Gildas Mazo

Every computer model depends on numerical input parameters that are chosen according to mostly conservative but rigorous numerical or empirical estimates. These parameters could for example be the step size for time integrators, a seed for…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-09-11 Matthias Frey , Andreas Adelmann

Variance based global sensitivity analysis measures the relevance of inputs to a single output using Sobol' indices. This paper extends the definition in a natural way to multiple outputs, directly measuring the relevance of inputs to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Robert A. Milton , Solomon F. Brown

Biomechanical models often need to describe very complex systems, organs or diseases, and hence also include a large number of parameters. One of the attractive features of physics-based models is that in those models (most) parameters have…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Barbara Wirthl , Sebastian Brandstaeter , Jonas Nitzler , Bernhard A. Schrefler , Wolfgang A. Wall

Many mathematical models involve input parameters, which are not precisely known. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the parameters whose uncertainty has the largest impact on the variability of a quantity of interest (output of…

In this paper we propose an extension of the classical Sobol' estimator for the estimation of variance based sensitivity indices. The approach assumes a linear correlation model between the input variables which is used to decompose the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-12 Thomas Most

Traditionally, the sensitivity analysis of a Bayesian network studies the impact of individually modifying the entries of its conditional probability tables in a one-at-a-time (OAT) fashion. However, this approach fails to give a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

In this paper, we consider a regression model built on dependent variables. This regression modelizes an input output relationship. Under boundedness assumptions on the joint distribution function of the input variables, we show that a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Gaëlle Chastaing , Fabrice Gamboa , Clémentine Prieur

When individuals participating in a randomized trial differ with respect to the distribution of effect modifiers compared compared with the target population where the trial results will be used, treatment effect estimates from the trial…

We show how to apply Sobol's method of global sensitivity analysis to measure the influence exerted by a set of nodes' evidence on a quantity of interest expressed by a Bayesian network. Our method exploits the network structure so as to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-11 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

Many mathematical models involve input parameters, which are not precisely known. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the parameters whose uncertainty has the largest impact on the variability of a quantity of interest (output of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-26 Alexandre Janon

Sobol' sensitivity indices allow to quantify the respective effects of random input variables and their combinations on the variance of mathematical model output. We focus on the problem of Sobol' indices estimation via a metamodeling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-07 Ivan I. Panin