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Stochastic simulation models are generative models that mimic complex systems to help with decision-making. The reliability of these models heavily depends on well-calibrated input model parameters. However, in many practical scenarios,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-11 Ziwei Su , Diego Klabjan

We study the phenomenon of spatiotemporal stochastic resonance (STSR) in a chain of diffusively coupled bistable oscillators. In particular, we examine the situation in which the \textit{global} STSR response is controlled by a…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Samoletov , M. Chaplain , V. Levi

As a physical fact, randomness is an inherent and ineliminable aspect in all physical measurements and engineering production. As a consequence, material parameters, serving as input data, are only known in a stochastic sense and thus, also…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Hendrik Geisler , Cem Erdogan , Jan Nagel , Philipp Junker

We present two analytical formulae for estimating the sensitivity -- namely, the gradient or Jacobian -- at given realizations of an arbitrary-dimensional random vector with respect to its distributional parameters. The first formula…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-14 Pi-Yueh Chuang , Ahmed Attia , Emil Constantinescu

In this paper, we analyze the finite sample complexity of stochastic system identification using modern tools from machine learning and statistics. An unknown discrete-time linear system evolves over time under Gaussian noise without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-22 Anastasios Tsiamis , George J. Pappas

One-dimensional Poincare inequalities are used in Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) to provide derivative-based upper bounds and approximations of Sobol indices. We add new perspectives by investigating weighted Poincare inequalities. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-09 David Heredia , Aldéric Joulin , Olivier Roustant

The Doyle-Fuller-Newman model is arguably the most ubiquitous electrochemical model in lithium-ion battery research. Since it is a highly nonlinear model, its input-output relations are still poorly understood. Researchers therefore often…

Following up on the success of the analysis of variance (ANOVA) decomposition and the Sobol indices (SI) for global sensitivity analysis, various related quantities of interest have been defined in the literature including the effective and…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2017-12-06 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Enrique G. Paredes , Renato Pajarola

Procedures in assessing the impact of serial dependency on performance analysis are usually built on parametrically specified models. In this paper, we propose a robust, nonparametric approach to carry out this assessment, by computing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-22 Henry Lam

We propose a new statistical estimation framework for a large family of global sensitivity analysis indices. Our approach is based on rank statistics and uses an empirical correlation coefficient recently introduced by Chatterjee [9]. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-25 Fabrice Gamboa , Pierre Gremaud , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux

Surrogate models are often used as computationally efficient approximations to complex simulation models, enabling tasks such as solving inverse problems, sensitivity analysis, and probabilistic forward predictions, which would otherwise be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Philipp Reiser , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Anneli Guthke

Surrogate modeling is of great practical significance for parametric differential equation systems. In contrast to classical numerical methods, using physics-informed deep learning methods to construct simulators for such systems is a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Xili Wang , Kejun Tang , Jiayu Zhai , Xiaoliang Wan , Chao Yang

By their very nature, rare event probabilities are expensive to compute; they are also delicate to estimate as their value strongly depends on distributional assumptions on the model parameters. Hence, understanding the sensitivity of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-28 Michael Merritt , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre Gremaud

We consider the problem of estimating parameter sensitivity for Markovian models of reaction networks. Sensitivity values measure the responsiveness of an output to the model parameters. They help in analyzing the network, understanding its…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-18 Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

Reaction-diffusion models are widely used to study spatially-extended chemical reaction systems. In order to understand how the dynamics of a reaction-diffusion model are affected by changes in its input parameters, efficient methods for…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-08 Christopher Lester , Christian A. Yates , Ruth E. Baker

Nowadays, the numerical models of real-world structures are more precise, more complex and, of course, more time-consuming. Despite the growth of a computational effort, the exploration of model behaviour remains a complex task. The…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-10-17 Eliska Janouchova , Anna Kucerova

We study statistical inference and distributionally robust solution methods for stochastic optimization problems, focusing on confidence intervals for optimal values and solutions that achieve exact coverage asymptotically. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 John Duchi , Peter Glynn , Hongseok Namkoong

In this paper, we study sensitivity indices for independent groups of variables and we look at the particular case of block-additive models. We show in this case that most of the Sobol indices are equal to zero and that Shapley effects can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Baptiste Broto , François Bachoc , Marine Depecker , Jean-Marc Martinez

This paper investigates variable-selection procedures in regression that make use of global sensitivity analysis. The approach is combined with existing algorithms and it is applied to the time series regression designs proposed by Hoover…

Computation · Statistics 2014-01-23 William Becker , Paolo Paruolo , Andrea Saltelli

We present an exact approach to analyze and quantify the sensitivity of higher moments of probabilistic loops with symbolic parameters, polynomial arithmetic and potentially uncountable state spaces. Our approach integrates methods from…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Marcel Moosbrugger , Julian Müllner , Laura Kovács
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