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As Europe is experiencing a second violent CoVid-19 storm, with the PCR-based testing system deteriorating due to the high volumes of people to be tested daily, there is a general reconsideration of the mathematical theories at the basis of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-18 Marco Roccetti , Giovanni Delnevo

In this work, we simulate the COVID-19 pandemic dynamics in a population modeled as a network of groups wherein infection can propagate both via intra-group and via inter-group interactions. Our results emphasize the importance of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-24 Ioan Baldea

Group testing is a screening strategy that involves dividing a population into several disjointed groups of subjects. In its simplest implementation, each group is tested with a single test in the first phase, while in the second phase only…

We consider the problem of identifying infected individuals in a population of size N. We introduce a group testing approach that uses significantly fewer than N tests when infection prevalence is low. The most common approach to group…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-03 Paolo Bertolotti , Ali Jadbabaie

In order to slow the spread of the CoViD-19 pandemic, governments around the world have enacted a wide set of policies limiting the transmission of the disease. Initially, these focused on non-pharmaceutical interventions; more recently,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-24 Janoś Gabler , Tobias Raabe , Klara Röhrl , Hans-Martin von Gaudecker

Future SARS-CoV-2 virus outbreak COVID-XX might possibly occur during the next years. However the pathology in humans is so recent that many clinical aspects, like early detection of complications, side effects after recovery or early…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-29 D. Gil , K. Díaz-Chito , C. Sánchez , A. Hernández-Sabaté

After the blockade that many nations suffered to stop the growth of the incidence curve of COVID-19 during the first half of 2020, they face the challenge of resuming their social and economic activity. The rapid airborne transmissibility…

Given the urgent informational needs connected with the diffusion of infection with regard to the COVID-19 pandemic, in this paper, we propose a sampling design for building a continuous-time surveillance system. Compared with other…

Researchers across the globe are seeking to rapidly repurpose existing drugs or discover new drugs to counter the the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). One promising…

In this paper, we propose algorithms that leverage a known community structure to make group testing more efficient. We consider a population organized in disjoint communities: each individual participates in a community, and its infection…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-18 Pavlos Nikolopoulos , Tao Guo , Sundara Rajan Srinivasavaradhan , Christina Fragouli , Suhas Diggavi

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has spread rapidly across the world, leading to enormous amounts of human death and economic loss. Until definitive preventive or curative measures are developed, policies regarding testing,…

We are currently facing a highly critical case of a world-wide pandemic. The novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2, a.k.a. COVID-19) has proved to be extremely contagious and the original outbreak from Asia has now spread to all continents. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-26 Priyanka , Vicky Verma

COVID-19 has resulted in a global health crisis that may become even more acute over the upcoming months. One of the main reasons behind the current rapid growth of COVID-19 in the U.S. population is the limited availability of testing kits…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-13 Krishna R. Narayanan , Anoosheh Heidarzadeh , Ramanan Laxminarayan

A key public health problem during an outbreak is to reconstruct the disease cascade from a partial set of confirmed infections. This has been studied extensively under the Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) formulation, which reduces the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Ritwick Mishra , Abhijin Adiga , Anil Vullikanti

Long-term care facilities have been widely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Retirement homes are particularly vulnerable due to the higher mortality risk of infected elderly individuals. Once an outbreak occurs, suppressing the spread of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Mansoor Davoodi , Ana Batista , Abhishek Senapati , Weronika Schlechte-Welnicz , Birgit Wagner , Justin M. Calabrese

I study the economic effects of testing during the outbreak of a novel disease. I propose a model where testing permits isolation of the infected and provides agents with information about the prevalence and lethality of the disease.…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-08 Francesco Furno

Group testing can help maintain a widespread testing program using fewer resources amid a pandemic. In a group testing setup, we are given n samples, one per individual. Each individual is either infected or uninfected. These samples are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-19 Shu-Jie Cao , Ritesh Goenka , Chau-Wai Wong , Ajit Rajwade , Dror Baron

Large-scale testing is considered key to assess the state of the current COVID-19 pandemic. Yet, the link between the reported case numbers and the true state of the pandemic remains elusive. We develop mathematical models based on…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-04 Michel Besserve , Simon Buchholz , Bernhard Schölkopf

Rapid, sensitive detection of biomolecules is important for improved testing methods for viruses as well as biomarkers and environmental hormones. For example, testing for SARS-CoV-2 is essential in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic.…

SARS-CoV-2 is an upper respiratory system RNA virus that has caused over 3 million deaths and infecting over 150 million worldwide as of May 2021. With thousands of strains sequenced to date, SARS-CoV-2 mutations pose significant challenges…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-15 Yanyi Ding , Zhiyi Kuang , Yuxin Pei , Jeff Tan , Ziyu Zhang , Joseph Konan