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Neural Posterior Estimation (NPE) enables rapid parameter inference for complex simulators with intractable likelihoods. NPE trains an inference network to estimate a probability density over parameters given data, typically assumed to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jan Boelts , Cornelius Schröder , Jonas Beck , Jakob H. Macke , Michael Deistler , Daniel Gedon

Several classical adaptive optimization algorithms, such as line search and trust region methods, have been recently extended to stochastic settings where function values, gradients, and Hessians in some cases, are estimated via stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-02 Billy Jin , Katya Scheinberg , Miaolan Xie

In this paper, I characterize the network formation process as a static game of incomplete information, where the latent payoff of forming a link between two individuals depends on the structure of the network, as well as private…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-22 Shaomin Wu

We introduce Multi-Iteration Stochastic Optimizers, a novel class of first-order stochastic methods that control the relative $L^2$ error using successive control variates along the iteration path. By exploiting correlations between…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Andre Carlon , Luis Espath , Rafael Lopez , Raul Tempone

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution function of the event time and a continuous mark variable based on censored data. More specifically, the event time is subject to current status censoring and the continuous mark…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-07 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed , Birgit Witte

We consider estimating the transition probability matrix of a finite-state finite-observation alphabet hidden Markov model with known observation probabilities. The main contribution is a two-step algorithm; a method of moments estimator…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Vikram Krishnamurthy , Bo Wahlberg

Density ratio estimation (DRE) is a useful tool for quantifying discrepancies between probability distributions, but existing approaches often involve a trade-off between estimation quality and computational efficiency. Classical direct DRE…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Wei Chen , Qibin Zhao , John Paisley , Junmei Yang , Delu Zeng

Large sectors of the recent optimization literature focused in the last decade on the development of optimal stochastic first order schemes for constrained convex models under progressively relaxed assumptions. Stochastic proximal point is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Andrei Patrascu

We propose a general and scalable approximate sampling strategy for probabilistic models with discrete variables. Our approach uses gradients of the likelihood function with respect to its discrete inputs to propose updates in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Will Grathwohl , Kevin Swersky , Milad Hashemi , David Duvenaud , Chris J. Maddison

The Gauss Markov theorem states that the weighted least squares estimator is a linear minimum variance unbiased estimation (MVUE) in linear models. In this paper, we take a first step towards extending this result to non linear settings via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Tzvi Diskin , Yonina C. Eldar , Ami Wiesel

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems. We prove consistency, asymptotic normality, and convergence of all scaled moments of an appropriately-constructed maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-16 Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Parameters defined via general estimating equations (GEE) can be estimated by maximizing the empirical likelihood (EL). Newey and Smith [Econometrica 72 (2004) 219--255] have recently shown that this EL estimator exhibits desirable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-19 Susanne M. Schennach

Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation is widely used in statistics. The h-likelihood has been proposed as an extension of Fisher's likelihood to statistical models including unobserved latent variables of recent interest. Its advantage is that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee , Jae Kwang Kim

This note studies a method for the efficient estimation of a finite number of unknown parameters from linear equations, which are perturbed by Gaussian noise. In case the unknown parameters have only few nonzero entries, the proposed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-05-27 Liang Dai , Kristiaan Pelckmans

We introduce a new approach to develop stochastic optimization algorithms for a class of stochastic composite and possibly nonconvex optimization problems. The main idea is to combine two stochastic estimators to create a new hybrid one. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Quoc Tran-Dinh , Nhan H. Pham , Dzung T. Phan , Lam M. Nguyen

In data science and machine learning, hierarchical parametric models, such as mixture models, are often used. They contain two kinds of variables: observable variables, which represent the parts of the data that can be directly measured,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-20 Keisuke Yamazaki

Oversampled adaptive sensing (OAS) is a recently proposed Bayesian framework which sequentially adapts the sensing basis. In OAS, estimation quality is, in each step, measured by conditional mean squared errors (MSEs), and the basis for the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Ralf R. Müller , Ali Bereyhi , Christoph F. Mecklenbräuker

In this paper we have considered the problem of estimating the population mean in systematic sampling using information on an auxiliary variable in presence of non response. Some modified ratio, product and difference type estimators in…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-06 Hemant K. Verma , R. D. Singh , Rajesh Singh

Applications of structural equation models (SEMs) are often restricted to linear associations between variables. Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in non-linear models may be complex and require numerical integration. Furthermore, ML…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-15 Klaus Kähler Holst , Esben Budtz-Jørgensen

We introduce a class of first-order methods for smooth constrained optimization that are based on an analogy to non-smooth dynamical systems. Two distinctive features of our approach are that (i) projections or optimizations over the entire…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Michael Muehlebach , Michael I. Jordan