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Motivated by COVID-19, we develop and analyze a simple stochastic model for a disease spread in human population. We track how the number of infected and critically ill people develops over time in order to estimate the demand that is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-10 Jakub Svoboda , Josef Tkadlec , Andreas Pavlogiannis , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin A. Nowak

The current COVID-19 global pandemic caused by the SARS-CoV-2 betacoronavirus has resulted in over a million deaths and is having a grave socio-economic impact, hence there is an urgency to find solutions to key research challenges. Much of…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Jamie J Alnasir

The discovery of SARS-CoV-2, the responsible virus for the Covid-19 epidemic, has sparked a global health concern with many countries affected. Developing models that can interpret the epidemic and give common trend parameters are useful…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-21 Milad Radiom , Jean-Franccois Berret

The emergence of infectious disease COVID-19 has challenged and changed the world in an unprecedented manner. The integration of wireless networks with edge computing (namely wireless edge networks) brings opportunities to address this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-10-06 Xuran Li , Shuaishuai Guo , Hong-Ning Dai , Dengwang Li

State government-mandated social distancing measures have helped to slow down the growth of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. Current predictive models of the development of COVID-19, especially after mitigation efforts, are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-27 Ka-Ming Tam , Nicholas Walker , Juana Moreno

We study the epidemic spreading on spatial networks where the probability that two nodes are connected decays with their distance as a power law. As the exponent of the distance dependence grows, model networks smoothly transition from the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Matúš Medo

COVID-19 pandemic has an unprecedented impact all over the world since early 2020. During this public health crisis, reliable forecasting of the disease becomes critical for resource allocation and administrative planning. The results from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Xiaoyong Jin , Yu-Xiang Wang , Xifeng Yan

Social contact patterns are key drivers of infectious disease transmission. During the COVID-19 pandemic, differences between pre-COVID and COVID-era contact rates were widely attributed to non-pharmaceutical interventions such as…

Motivated by the rapid spread of COVID-19 all across the globe, we have performed simulations of a system dynamic epidemic spread model in different possible situations. The simulation, not only captures the model dynamic of the spread of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-02 Kashif Zia , Umar Farooq

The COVID-19 pandemic has, worldwide and up to December 2020, caused over 1.7 million deaths, and put the world's most advanced healthcare systems under heavy stress. In many countries, drastic restrictive measures adopted by political…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-18 Giovanni Soldi , Nicola Forti , Domenico Gaglione , Paolo Braca , Leonardo M. Millefiori , Stefano Marano , Peter Willett , Krishna Pattipati

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused ~ 2 million fatalities. Significant progress has been made in advancing our understanding of the disease process, one of the unanswered questions, however, is the anomaly in the case/mortality ratio with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-13 Behzad Javaheri

The scope of this work is to serve as a guiding tool against subjective estimations on real pandemic situations (mainly due to the inability to acquire objective real data over whole populations). The previously introduced model of closed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-18 Y. Contoyiannis , S. G. Stavrinides , M. P. Hanias , M. Kampitakis , P. Papadopoulos , S. Potirakis

The world is suffering from a pandemic called COVID-19, caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. National governments have problems evaluating the reach of the epidemic, due to having limited resources and tests at their disposal. This problem is…

At the beginning of 2020 the world has seen the initial outbreak of COVID-19, a disease caused by SARS-CoV2 virus in China. The World Health Organization (WHO) declared this disease as a pandemic on March 11 2020. As the disease spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-17 Pitoyo Hartono

With the severity of the COVID-19 outbreak, we characterize the nature of the growth trajectories of counties in the United States using a novel combination of spectral clustering and the correlation matrix. As the U.S. and the rest of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Francesca Tang , Yang Feng , Hamza Chiheb , Jianqing Fan

Recent re-opening policies in the US, following a period of social distancing measures, introduced a significant increase in daily COVID-19 infections, calling for a roll-back or substantial revisiting of these policies in many states. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-30 Chaoqi Yang , Ruijie Wang , Fangwei Gao , Dachun Sun , Jiawei Tang , Tarek Abdelzaher

With the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, various studies have focused on predicting the trajectory and risk factors of the virus and its variants. Building on previous work that addressed this problem using genetic and epidemiological…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-25 Catherine Li , Daniel Lazarev

The COVID-19 pandemic, like many of the disease outbreaks that have preceded it, is likely to have a profound effect on mental health. Understanding its impact can inform strategies for mitigating negative consequences. In this work, we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Laura Biester , Katie Matton , Janarthanan Rajendran , Emily Mower Provost , Rada Mihalcea

Our recent experience with the COVID-19 pandemic amply shows that spatial effects like the mobility of agents and average interpersonal distance, together with the adaptation of agents, are very important in deciding the outcome of epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-13 Akhil Panicker , V Sasidevan

The global pandemic of COVID-19 over the last 2.5 years have produced an enormous amount of epidemic/public health datasets, which may also be useful for studying the underlying structure of our globally connected world. Here we used the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Hiroki Sayama