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The correct evaluation of the reproductive number $R$ for COVID-19 -- which characterizes the average number of secondary cases generated by each typical primary case -- is central in the quantification of the potential scope of the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-15 Claire Donnat , Susan Holmes

As 2021 dawns, the COVID-19 pandemic is still raging strongly as vaccines finally appear and hopes for a return to normalcy start to materialize. There is much to be learned from the pandemic's first year data that will likely remain…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-12 Monique Chyba , Alice Koniges , Prateek Kunwar , Winnie Lau , Yuriy Mileyko , Alan Tong

A novel coronavirus disease has emerged (later named COVID-19) and caused the world to enter a new reality, with many direct and indirect factors influencing it. Some are human-controllable (e.g. interventional policies, mobility and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Haonan Wu , Rajarshi Banerjee , Indhumathi Venkatachalam , Daniel Percy-Hughes , Praveen Chougale

This paper is an exploratory study of two epidemiological questions on a worldwide basis. How fast is the disease spreading? Are the restrictions (especially mobility restrictions) for people bring the expected effect? To answer the first…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Tatiana Petrova , Dmitri Soshnikov , Andrey Grunin

To mitigate the spread of COVID-19 pandemic, decision-makers and public authorities have announced various non-pharmaceutical policies. Analyzing the causal impact of these policies in reducing the spread of COVID-19 is important for future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Jing Ma , Yushun Dong , Zheng Huang , Daniel Mietchen , Jundong Li

The constrained outbreak of COVID-19 in Mainland China has recently been regarded as a successful example of fighting this highly contagious virus. Both the short period (in about three months) of transmission and the sub-exponential…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-22 Jizhou Huang , Haifeng Wang , Miao Fan , An Zhuo , Yibo Sun , Ying Li

In this study, we propose a clustering-based approach on time-series data to capture COVID-19 spread patterns in the early period of the pandemic. We analyze the spread dynamics based on the early and post stages of COVID-19 for different…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-05 Mehedi Hassan , Md Enamul Haque , Mehmet Engin Tozal

The sudden outbreak of COVID-19 resulted in large volumes of data shared on different social media platforms. Analyzing and visualizing these data is doubtlessly essential to having a deep understanding of the pandemic's impacts on people's…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Omar Abdel Wahab , Ali Mustafa , André Bertrand Abisseck Bamatakina

COVID-19 has been devastating the world since the end of 2019 and has continued to play a significant role in major national and worldwide events, and consequently, the news. In its wake, it has left no life unaffected. Having earned the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Shayan Fazeli , Davina Zamanzadeh , Anaelia Ovalle , Thu Nguyen , Gilbert Gee , Majid Sarrafzadeh

The potential tradeoff between health outcomes and economic impact has been a major challenge in the policy making process during the COVID-19 pandemic. Epidemic-economic models designed to address this issue are either too aggregate to…

Recently, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has worked with other federal agencies to identify counties with increasing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) incidence (hotspots) and offers support to local health…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-04 Shixiang Zhu , Alexander Bukharin , Liyan Xie , Khurram Yamin , Shihao Yang , Pinar Keskinocak , Yao Xie

As a highly infectious respiratory disease, COVID-19 has become a pandemic that threatens global health. Without an effective treatment, non-pharmaceutical interventions, such as travel restrictions, have been widely promoted to mitigate…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Qianqian Sun , Yixuan Pan , Weiyi Zhou , Chenfeng Xiong , Lei Zhang

Measures to reduce the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic require a mix of logistic, political and social capacity. Depending on the country, different approaches to increase hospitalization capacity or to properly apply lock-downs are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-12 Tomas Veloz , Pedro Maldonado , Samuel Ropert , Cesar Ravello , Soraya Mora , Alejandra Barrios , Tomas Villaseca , Cesar Valdenegro , Tomas Perez-Acle

Spatiotemporal modelling of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 involves using a variety of epidemiological metrics such as regional proportion of cases or regional positivity rates. Although observing their changes over time is critical…

In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a rapid response from governments and researchers worldwide. As of late 2023, over millions have died as a result of COVID-19, with many COVID-19 survivors going on to experience long-term effects…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Yo Yehudi , Lukas Hughes-Noehrer , Carole Goble , Caroline Jay

The recent COVID-19 pandemic has shown that when the reproduction number is high and there are no proper measurements in place, the number of infected people can increase dramatically in a short time, producing a phenomenon that many…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-20 Jonathan A. Chávez Casillas

In a world being hit by waves of COVID-19, vaccination is a light on the horizon. However, the roll-out of vaccination strategies and their influence on the pandemic are still open problems. In order to compare the effect of various…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-23 N. L. Barreiro , C. I. Ventura , T. Govezensky , M. Núñez , P. G. Bolcatto , R. A. Barrio

Latin America is experiencing severe impacts of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, but poverty and weak public health institutions hamper gathering the kind of refined data needed to inform classical SEIR models of epidemics. We present an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-25 José Miguel Ponciano , Juan Adolfo Ponciano , Juan Pablo Gómez , Robert D. Holt , Jason K. Blackburn

COVID-19 pandemic has brought the whole world to a stand-still over the last few months. In particular the pace at which pandemic has spread has taken everybody off-guard. The Governments across the world have responded by imposing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Shreekanth M. Prabhu , Natarajan Subramaniam

Pandemics can cause immense disruption and damage to communities and societies. Thus far, modeling of pandemics has focused on either large-scale difference equation models like the SIR and the SEIR models, or detailed micro-level…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2010-07-27 Teruhiko Yoneyama , Sanmay Das , Mukkai Krishnamoorthy