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Hybrid systems, and Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes in particular, are widely used to model and numerically study systems exhibiting multiple time scales in biochemical reaction kinetics and related areas. In this paper an almost…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-12-07 Martin G. Riedler

We consider a piecewise-deterministic Markov process governed by a jump intensity function, a rate function that determines the behaviour between jumps, and a stochastic kernel describing the conditional distribution of jump sizes. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-22 K. A. Borovkov , G. Last

This paper discusses the problem of estimating a stochastic signal from nonlinear uncertain observations with time-correlated additive noise described by a first-order Markov process. Random deception attacks are assumed to be launched by…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-09 R. Caballero-Águila , J. Hu , J. Linares-Pérez

We propose two nonparametric tests for investigating the pathwise properties of a signal modeled as the sum of a L\'{e}vy process and a Brownian semimartingale. Using a nonparametric threshold estimator for the continuous component of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-25 Rama Cont , Cecilia Mancini

In this paper, we study the estimation of drift and diffusion coefficients in a two dimensional system of N interacting particles modeled by a degenerate stochastic differential equation. We consider both complete and partial observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Chiara Amorino , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė

Advances in sampling schemes for Markov jump processes have recently enabled multiple inferential tasks. However, in statistical and machine learning applications, we often require that these continuous-time models find support on…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-08 Iker Perez , Lax Chan , Mercedes Torres Torres , James Goulding , Theodore Kypraios

We consider an optimal control problem, where a Brownian motion with drift is sequentially observed, and the sign of the drift coefficient changes at jump times of a symmetric two-state Markov process. The Markov process itself is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Alexey Muravlev , Mikhail Urusov , Mikhail Zhitlukhin

We investigate the existence of a robust, i.e., continuous, representation of the conditional distribution in a stochastic filtering model for multidimensional correlated jump-diffusions. Even in the absence of jumps, it is known that in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Andrew L. Allan , Jost Pieper , Josef Teichmann

We solve two long standing problems for stochastic descriptions of open quantum system dynamics. First, we find the classical stochastic processes corresponding to non-Markovian quantum state diffusion and non-Markovian quantum jumps in…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Kimmo Luoma , Walter T. Strunz , Jyrki Piilo

We revisit the problem of estimating the parameters of a partially observed diffusion process, consisting of a hidden state process and an observed process, with a continuous time parameter. The estimation is to be done online, i.e. the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Simone Carlo Surace , Jean-Pascal Pfister

We propose a new estimation scheme for estimation of the volatility parameters of a semimartingale with jumps based on a jump-detection filter. Our filter uses all of data to analyze the relative size of increments and to discriminate jumps…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-16 Haruhiko Inatsugu , Nakahiro Yoshida

In this paper we discuss weak convergence of continuous-time Markov chains to a non-symmetric pure jump process. We approach this problem using Dirichlet forms as well as semimartingales. As an application, we discuss how to approximate a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-23 Ante Mimica , Nikola Sandrić , René L. Schilling

In this paper we consider large state space continuous time Markov chains (MCs) arising in the field of systems biology. For density dependent families of MCs that represent the interaction of large groups of identical objects, Kurtz has…

Performance · Computer Science 2015-03-04 Alessio Angius , Gianfranco Balbo , Marco Beccuti , Enrico Bibbona , Andras Horvath , Roberta Sirovich

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

This paper studies a nonlinear filtering problem over an infinite time interval. The signal to be estimated is driven by a stochastic partial differential equation involves unknown parameters. Based on discrete observation, strongly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-12 Qizhu Liang , Jie Xiong , Xingqiu Zhao

In this paper, we study state-feedback control of Markov jump linear systems with partial information. In particular, we assume that the controller can only access the mode signals according to a hidden-Markov observation process. Our…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-19 Masaki Ogura , Ahmet Cetinkaya , Tomohisa Hayakawa , Victor M. Preciado

L\'evy stable (jump-type) processes are examples of intrinsically nonlocal random motions. This property becomes a serious obstacle if one attempts to model conditions under which a particular L\'evy process may be subject to physically…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-11-10 Piotr Garbaczewski , Mariusz Żaba

We present a new stochastic framework for studying ship capsize. It is a synthesis of two strands of transition state theory. The first is an extension of deterministic transition state theory to dissipative non-autonomous systems, together…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Manuela L. Bujorianu , Robert S. MacKay , Tobias Grafke , Shibabrat Naik , Evangelos Boulougouris

Diffusive approximations of Markov jump processes often fail to accurately capture large fluctuations. This is confounding, as the rare events triggered by these large fluctuations, such as the failure of electronic memories, are often the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 David Roberts , Trevor McCourt , Geremia Massarelli , Jeremy Rothschild , Nahuel Freitas

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska