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We consider inference (filtering) problems over probabilistic graphical models with aggregate data generated by a large population of individuals. We propose a new efficient belief propagation type algorithm over tree-structured graphs with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Rahul Singh , Isabel Haasler , Qinsheng Zhang , Johan Karlsson , Yongxin Chen

With people constantly migrating to different urban areas, our mobility needs for work, services and leisure are transforming rapidly. The changing urban demographics pose several challenges for the efficient management of transit services.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-08 Trivik Verma , Mikhail Sirenko , Itto Kornecki , Scott Cunningham , Nuno AM Araújo

This paper proposes exploiting the spatial correlation of wireless channel statistics beyond the conventional received signal strength maps by constructing statistical radio maps to predict any relevant channel statistics to assist…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-17 Tobias Kallehauge , Pablo Ramìrez-Espinosa , Anders E. Kalør , Christophe Biscio , Petar Popovski

Transportation companies and organizations routinely collect huge volumes of passenger transportation data. By aggregating these data (e.g., counting the number of passengers going from a place to another in every 30 minute interval), it…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Chrysanthi Kosyfaki , Nikos Mamoulis , Reynold Cheng , Ben Kao

Next location prediction is of great importance for many location-based applications and provides essential intelligence to business and governments. In existing studies, a common approach to next location prediction is to learn the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Qingjie Liu , Yixuan Zuo , Xiaohui Yu , Meng Chen

The effects of real-time provision of travel-time information on the behaviour of drivers are considered. The model of Marecek et al. [arXiv:1406.7639, Int. J. Control 88(10), 2015] is extended to consider uncertainty in the response of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-26 Jakub Marecek , Robert Shorten , Jia Yuan Yu

Predicting future bus trip chains for an existing user is of great significance for operators of public transit systems. Existing methods always treat this task as a time-series prediction problem, but the 1-dimensional time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Xiannan Huang , Yixin Chen , Quan Yuan , Chao Yang

Accurate prediction of travel time is an essential feature to support Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). The non-linearity of traffic states, however, makes this prediction a challenging task. Here we propose to use dynamic linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Semin Kwak , Nikolas Geroliminis

A key measure of performance and comfort in a road traffic network is the travel time that the users of the network experience to complete their journeys. Travel times on road traffic networks are stochastic, highly variable, and dependent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-08-18 Nadir Farhi , Habib Haj-Salem , Jean-Patrick Lebacque

Getting good statistical models of traffic on network links is a well-known, often-studied problem. A lot of attention has been given to correlation patterns and flow duration. The distribution of the amount of traffic per unit time is an…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Mohammed Alasmar , Richard Clegg , Nickolay Zakhleniuk , George Parisis

Estimating the travel time for a given path is a fundamental problem in many urban transportation systems. However, prior works fail to well capture moving behaviors embedded in paths and thus do not estimate the travel time accurately. To…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-13 Tao-yang Fu , Wang-Chien Lee

Discrete optimal transportation problems arise in various contexts in engineering, the sciences and the social sciences. Often the underlying cost criterion is unknown, or only partly known, and the observed optimal solutions are corrupted…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-13 Andrew M. Stuart , Marie-Therese Wolfram

Trajectory and intention prediction of traffic participants is an important task in automated driving and crucial for safe interaction with the environment. In this paper, we present a new approach to vehicle trajectory prediction based on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-06-15 Jannik Quehl , Haohao Hu , Sascha Wirges , Martin Lauer

Safety is a critical concern for the success of urban air mobility, especially in dynamic and uncertain environments. This paper proposes a path planning algorithm based on RRT in conjunction with chance constraints in the presence of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Pengcheng Wu , Lin Li , Junfei Xie , Jun Chen

Current research on robust trajectory planning for autonomous agents aims to mitigate uncertainties arising from disturbances and modeling errors while ensuring guaranteed safety. Existing methods primarily utilize stochastic optimal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-13 Christian Vitale , Savvas Papaioannou , Panayiotis Kolios , Georgios Ellinas

Accurate travel time estimation is paramount for providing transit users with reliable schedules and dependable real-time information. This paper is the first to utilize roadside urban imagery for direct transit travel time prediction. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Awad Abdelhalim , Jinhua Zhao

Assigning passenger trips to specific network paths using automatic fare collection (AFC) data is a fundamental application in urban transit analysis. The task is a difficult inverse problem: the only available information consists of each…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-31 Xiaoxu Chen , Alexandra M. Schmidt , Zhenliang Ma , Lijun Sun

Modern transportation planning relies heavily on accurate predictions of person and vehicle trips. However, traditional planning models often fail to account for the intricacies and dynamics of travel behavior, leading to less-than-optimal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Kojo Adu-Gyamfi , Sharma Anuj

This paper presents two novel approaches for uncertainty estimation adapted and extended for the multi-link bus travel time problem. The uncertainty is modeled directly as part of recurrent artificial neural networks, but using two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Niklas Christoffer Petersen , Anders Parslov , Filipe Rodrigues

This work provides two statistical Gaussian forecasting methods for predicting First Daily Departure Times (FDDTs) of everyday use electric vehicles. This is important in smart grid applications to understand disconnection times of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-17 Nicholas H. Kirk , Ilya Dianov
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