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Organizations increasingly rely on predictive models to decide who should be targeted for interventions, such as marketing campaigns, customer retention offers, or medical treatments. Yet these models are usually built to predict outcomes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-24 Carlos Fernández-Loría , Yanfang Hou , Foster Provost , Jennifer Hill

Temporally dense single-person "small data" have become widely available thanks to mobile apps and wearable sensors. Many caregivers and self-trackers want to use these data to help a specific person change their behavior to achieve desired…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Eric J. Daza , Igor Matias , Logan Schneider

The maintenance of big cities public transport service quality requires constant monitoring, which may become an expensive and time-consuming practice. The perception of quality, from the users point of view is an important aspect of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-05-11 Vasco Furtado , Carlos Caminha , Elizabeth Furtado , André Lopes , Victor Dantas , Caio Ponte , Sofia Cavalcante

Multiple randomization designs (MRDs) are a class of experimental designs used to handle interference in two-sided marketplaces. We investigate regression adjustment strategies for estimating total, spillover, and direct effects in MRDs. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Timothy Sudijono , Lihua Lei , Lorenzo Masoero , Suhas Vijaykumar , Guido Imbens , James McQueen

Evaluations often inform future program implementation decisions. However, the implementation context may differ, sometimes substantially, from the evaluation study context. This difference leads to uncertainty regarding the relevance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-14 Irina Degtiar , Mariel Finucane

The rapidly advancing fields of statistical modeling and machine learning have significantly enhanced data-driven design and optimization. This paper focuses on leveraging these design algorithms to optimize a medical walker, an integral…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Advaith Narayanan

Covariate adjustment is an approach to improve the precision of trial analyses by adjusting for baseline variables that are prognostic of the primary endpoint. Motivated by the SEARCH Universal HIV Test-and-Treat Trial (2013-2017), we tell…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Laura B. Balzer , Mark J. van der Laan , Maya L. Petersen

Real world observational data, together with causal inference, allow the estimation of causal effects when randomized controlled trials are not available. To be accepted into practice, such predictive models must be validated for the…

The random walk Metropolis (RWM) is one of the most common Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms in practical use today. Its theoretical properties have been extensively explored for certain classes of target, and a number of results with…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-30 Chris Sherlock , Paul Fearnhead , Gareth O. Roberts

Delayed-acceptance Metropolis-Hastings and delayed-acceptance pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings algorithms can be applied when it is computationally expensive to calculate the true posterior or an unbiased stochastic approximation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-24 Chris Sherlock , Alexandre Thiery , Andrew Golightly

Using big data to analyze consumer behavior can provide effective decision-making tools for preventing customer attrition (churn) in customer relationship management (CRM). Focusing on a CRM dataset with several different categories of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-14 Petra Posedel Šimović , Davor Horvatic , Edward W. Sun

Stepped wedge cluster-randomized trial (CRTs) designs randomize clusters of individuals to intervention sequences, ensuring that every cluster eventually transitions from a control period to receive the intervention under study by the end…

Building classification models that predict a binary class label on the basis of high dimensional multi-omics datasets poses several challenges, due to the typically widely differing characteristics of the data layers in terms of number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Alessandra Cabassi , Denis Seyres , Mattia Frontini , Paul D. W. Kirk

This paper introduces a new data analysis method for big data using a newly defined regression model named multiple model linear regression(MMLR), which separates input datasets into subsets and construct local linear regression models of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Bohan Lyu , Jianzhong Li

Knowing the effect of an intervention is critical for human decision-making, but current approaches for causal effect estimation rely on manual data collection and structuring, regardless of the causal assumptions. This increases both the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Nikita Dhawan , Leonardo Cotta , Karen Ullrich , Rahul G. Krishnan , Chris J. Maddison

Real-World Data (RWD), with its large sample sizes and rich clinical detail, offers a compelling alternative to randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for studying treatment effects in diverse and complex patient populations. However, its…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-26 Yifei Xu , Hwiyoung Lee , Zhenyao Ye , Yezhi Pan , Jingsong Zhou , Yun Yang , Chixiang Chen , Shuo Chen

This article provides an overview on the statistical modeling of complex data as increasingly encountered in modern data analysis. It is argued that such data can often be described as elements of a metric space that satisfies certain…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-28 Paromita Dubey , Yaqing Chen , Hans-Georg Müller

As machine learning (ML)-based decision support tools proliferate in clinical practice, understanding how clinicians integrate personalized ML predictions alongside randomized controlled trial (RCT) evidence is critical. We designed a…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Zeshan Hussain , Barbara D. Lam , Fernando A. Acosta-Perez , Irbaz Bin Riaz , Maia Jacobs , Andrew J. Yee , David Sontag

As the connectivity of consumer devices is rapidly growing and cloud computing technologies are becoming more widespread, cloud-aided techniques for parameter estimation can be designed to exploit the theoretically unlimited storage memory…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Valentina Breschi , Ilya Kolmanovsky , Alberto Bemporad

The Causal Roadmap outlines a systematic approach to asking and answering questions of cause-and-effect: define the quantity of interest, evaluate needed assumptions, conduct statistical estimation, and carefully interpret results. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-30 Nerissa Nance , Maya L. Petersen , Mark van der Laan , Laura B. Balzer