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A novel Coronavirus pandemic emerged in December of 2019, causing devastating public health impact across the world. In the absence of a safe and effective vaccine or antiviral, strategies for mitigating the burden of the pandemic are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-27 Calistus N. Ngonghala , Enahoro Iboi , Steffen Eikenberry , Matthew Scotch , Chandini Raina MacIntyre , Matthew H. Bonds , Abba B. Gumel

In response to the worldwide outbreak of the coronavirus disease COVID-19, a variety of nonpharmaceutical interventions such as face masks and social distancing have been implemented. A careful assessment of the effects of such containment…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-18 Michael te Vrugt , Jens Bickmann , Raphael Wittkowski

Within a short period of time, COVID-19 grew into a world-wide pandemic. Transmission by pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic viral carriers rendered intervention and containment of the disease extremely challenging. Based on reported infection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-24 Liang Tian , Xuefei Li , Fei Qi , Qian-Yuan Tang , Viola Tang , Jiang Liu , Zhiyuan Li , Xingye Cheng , Xuanxuan Li , Yingchen Shi , Haiguang Liu , Lei-Han Tang

By the end of 2021, COVID-19 had spread to over 230 countries, with over 5.4 million deaths. To contain its spread, many countries implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions, notably contact tracing and self-quarantine policies. However,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-14 Jungwoo Kim , Taesik Lee

As a common strategy of contagious disease containment, lockdowns will inevitably weaken the economy. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic underscores the trade-off arising from public health and economic cost. An optimal lockdown policy to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Qianqian Ma , Yang-Yu Liu , Alex Olshevsky

Ever since the first case of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) was confirmed in Wuhan, China, social distancing has been promoted worldwide, including the United States. It is one of the major community mitigation strategies, also…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Yixuan Pan , Aref Darzi , Aliakbar Kabiri , Guangchen Zhao , Weiyu Luo , Chenfeng Xiong , Lei Zhang

The ongoing Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a major crisis that has significantly affected the healthcare sector and global economies, which made it the main subject of various fields in scientific and technical research. To properly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Driss Kiouach , Salim El Azami El-idrissi , Yassine Sabbar

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has been ongoing for around 3 years, and has infected over 750 million people and caused over 6 million deaths worldwide at the time of writing. Throughout the pandemic, several strategies…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Mohamed Harmanani

The spread of diseases has been studied for many years, but it receives a particular focus recently due to the outbreak and spread of COVID-19. Studies show that the spread of COVID-19 can be characterized by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Xiaoxu Zhong , Yukun Ye

The 2019 Novel Corona virus infection (COVID 19) is an ongoing public health emergency of international focus. Significant gaps persist in our knowledge of COVID 19 epidemiology, transmission dynamics, investigation tools and management,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-01 Anca Radulescu , Cassandra Williams , Kieran Cavanagh

In this paper we propose a data-driven model for the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and use it to design optimal control strategies of human-mobility restrictions that both curb the epidemic and minimize the economic costs associated with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Mikhail Hayhoe , Francisco Barreras , Victor M. Preciado

Recent outbreak of the novel coronavirus COVID-19 has affected all of our lives in one way or the other. While medical researchers are working hard to find a cure and doctors/nurses to attend the affected individuals, measures such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-23 Arkaprava Roy , Sayar Karmakar

Almost every country in the world is battling to limit the spread of COVID-19. As the world strives to get an effective medication to control the disease, appropriate intervention measures, for now, remains one of the effective methods to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-13 Samuel Okyere , Joseph Ackora-Prah , Ebenezer Bonyah , Kwaku Forkuoh Darkwah

Since the recent introduction of several viable vaccines for SARS-CoV-2, vaccination uptake has become the key factor that will determine our success in containing the COVID-19 pandemic. We argue that game theory and social network models…

Governments across the world are currently facing the task of selecting suitable intervention strategies to cope with the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. This is a highly challenging task, since harsh measures may result in economic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Andreas Kasis , Stelios Timotheou , Nima Monshizadeh , Marios Polycarpou

Different countries -- and sometimes different regions within the same countries -- have adopted different strategies in trying to contain the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic; these mix in variable parts social confinement, early detection and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-17 Giuseppe Gaeta

Intent of this research is to explore how mathematical models, specifically Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, can be utilized to forecast peak outbreak timeline of COVID-19 epidemic amongst a population of interest starting from the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-14 Amit Tewari

Testing is a crucial control mechanism for an epidemic outbreak because it enables the health authority to detect and isolate the infected cases, thereby limiting the disease transmission to susceptible people, when no effective treatment…

For preventing the spread of epidemics such as the coronavirus disease COVID-19, social distancing and the isolation of infected persons are crucial. However, existing reaction-diffusion equations for epidemic spreading are incapable of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-18 Michael te Vrugt , Jens Bickmann , Raphael Wittkowski

The spread of COVID-19 during the initial phase of the first half of 2020 was curtailed to a larger or lesser extent through measures of social distancing imposed by most countries. In this work, we link directly, through machine learning…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-20 G. D. Barmparis , G. P. Tsironis
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