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The power prior is a class of informative priors designed to incorporate historical data alongside current data in a Bayesian framework. It includes a power parameter that controls the influence of historical data, providing flexibility and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-23 Masanari Kimura , Howard Bondell

In this paper, we present an innovative method for constructing proper priors for the skewness (shape) parameter in the skew-symmetric family of distributions. The proposed method is based on assigning a prior distribution on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-28 Holger Dette , Christophe Ley , Francisco Javier Rubio

We develop simple methods for constructing likelihoods and parameter priors for learning about the parameters and structure of a Bayesian network. In particular, we introduce several assumptions that permit the construction of likelihoods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-01 David Heckerman , Dan Geiger

Using instruments comprising ordered responses to items are ubiquitous for studying many constructs of interest. However, using such an item response format may lead to items with response categories infrequently endorsed or unendorsed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-02 R. Noah Padgett , Grant B. Morgan , Tim Lomas

Objective probabilistic forecasts of future climate that include parameter uncertainty can be made by using the Bayesian prediction integral with the prior set to Jeffreys' Prior. The calculations involved in determining the prior can then…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-05-24 Stephen Jewson , Dan Rowlands , Myles Allen

Estimating the difference between two binomial proportions will be investigated, where Bayesian, frequentist and fiducial (BFF) methods will be considered. Three vague priors will be used, the Jeffreys prior, a divergence prior and the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-17 Lizanne Raubenheimer

This paper develops some objective priors for certain parameters of the bivariate normal distribution. The parameters considered are the regression coefficient, the generalized variance, and the ratio of the conditional variance of one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Malay Ghosh , Upasana Santra , Dalho Kim

Standard Bayesian analyses can be difficult to perform when the full likelihood, and consequently the full posterior distribution, is too complex and difficult to specify or if robustness with respect to data or to model misspecifications…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-08 Federica Giummolè , Valentina Mameli , Erlis Ruli , Laura Ventura

We study the Jeffreys prior of the skewness parameter of a general class of scalar skew--symmetric models. It is shown that this prior is symmetric about 0, proper, and with tails $O(\lambda^{-3/2})$ under mild regularity conditions. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-22 F. J. Rubio , B. Liseo

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi

We propose a family of variational approximations to Bayesian posterior distributions, called $\alpha$-VB, with provable statistical guarantees. The standard variational approximation is a special case of $\alpha$-VB with $\alpha=1$. When…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-09 Yun Yang , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

Weyl geometry is a natural extension of conformal geometry with Weyl covariance mediated by a Weyl connection. We generalize the Fefferman-Graham (FG) ambient construction for conformal manifolds to a corresponding construction for Weyl…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2025-11-26 Weizhen Jia , Manthos Karydas , Robert G. Leigh

We propose a novel Riemannian geometric framework for variational inference in Bayesian models based on the nonparametric Fisher-Rao metric on the manifold of probability density functions. Under the square-root density representation, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-29 Abhijoy Saha , Karthik Bharath , Sebastian Kurtek

A Bayesian nonparametric approach to the study of species diversity based on choosing a random discrete distribution as a prior model for the unknown relative abundances of species has been recently introduced in Lijoi et al. (2007, 2008).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-09 Annalisa Cerquetti

Loss-based priors assign probability mass to parameter values according to the inferential loss incurred when they are excluded from the parameter space, and provide a general solution for discrete parameters. Extending this idea to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Cristiano Villa

We introduce a new Bayesian network (BN) scoring metric called the Global Uniform (GU) metric. This metric is based on a particular type of default parameter prior. Such priors may be useful when a BN developer is not willing or able to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Mehmet Kayaalp , Gregory F. Cooper

We propose a methodology for modeling and comparing probability distributions within a Bayesian nonparametric framework. Building on dependent normalized random measures, we consider a prior distribution for a collection of discrete random…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Mario Beraha , Jim E. Griffin

In this work, we develop an objective Bayesian framework for the Dhillon probability distribution. We explicitly derive three objective priors: the Jeffreys prior, the overall reference prior, and the maximal data information prior. We show…

We consider a class of non-conjugate priors as a mixing family of distributions for a parameter (e.g., Poisson or gamma rate, inverse scale or precision of an inverse-gamma, inverse variance of a normal distribution) of an exponential…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-25 Dexter Cahoy , Joseph Sedransk

In the Bayesian stochastic search variable selection framework, a common prior distribution for the regression coefficients is the g-prior of Zellner (1986). However, there are two standard cases in which the associated covariance matrix…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-30 Meili Baragatti , Denys Pommeret