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Background: Recently developed techniques to study the spread of infectious diseases through networks make assumptions that the initial proportion infected is infinitesimal and the population behavior is static throughout the epidemic. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-17 Joel C. Miller

The contact structure between hosts has a critical influence on disease spread. However, most networkbased models used in epidemiology tend to ignore heterogeneity in the weighting of contacts. This assumption is known to be at odds with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-09-03 Christel Kamp , Mathieu Moslonka-Lefebvre , Samuel Alizon

Despite the advanced stage of epidemic modeling, there is a major demand for methods to incorporate behavioral responses to the spread of a disease such as social distancing and adoption of prevention methods. Mobility plays an important…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-14 Paulo Cesar Ventura , Alberto Aleta , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Yamir Moreno

We investigate the containment of epidemic spreading in networks from a normative point of view. We consider a susceptible/infected model in which agents can invest in order to reduce the contagiousness of network links. In this setting, we…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-07-16 Geraldine Bouveret , Antoine Mandel

We investigate the time evolution of disease spread on a network by using the concept of generations. We derive a set of equations, which can be used to determine the average epidemic size. We find a very good agreement between the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-05-24 B. Davoudi , F. Brauer , B. Pourbohloul

The study of epidemic spreading on populations of networked individuals has seen recently a great deal of significant progresses. A common point of all past studies is, however, that there is only one peak of infected density in each single…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Muhua Zheng , Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Jie Zhou , S. Boccaletti , Zonghua Liu

Epidemic spreading often occurs in spatially heterogeneous environments, yet how quenched heterogeneity reshapes its onset and critical dynamics remains poorly understood. The diffusive epidemic process, a minimal reaction-diffusion model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-24 Valentin Anfray , Hong-Yan Shih

In this paper, we propose a mathematical framework that governs the evolution of epidemic dynamics, encompassing both intra-population dynamics and inter-population mobility within a metapopulation network. By linearizing this dynamical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-05 Yazdan Babazadeh , Amin Safaeesirat , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad

The spread of an infection on a real-world social network is determined by the interplay of two processes: the dynamics of the network, whose structure changes over time according to the encounters between individuals, and the dynamics on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-28 Lorenzo Coviello , Massimo Franceschetti , Manuel Garcia-Herranz , Iyad Rahwan

Using the notion of effective distance proposed by Brockmann and Helbing, complex spatiotemporal processes of epidemic spreading can be reduced to circular wave propagation patterns with well-defined wavefronts. This hidden homogeneity of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-13 Yifan Chen , Yu Zhou , Ross Murch , Tadashi Nakano

Infectious disease outbreaks recapitulate biology: they emerge from the multi-level interaction of hosts, pathogens, and their shared environment. As a result, predicting when, where, and how far diseases will spread requires a complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-11 Samuel V. Scarpino , Giovanni Petri

Epidemic models often reflect characteristic features of infectious spreading processes by coupled non-linear differential equations considering different states of health (such as Susceptible, Infected, or Recovered). This compartmental…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-01 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Dirk Helbing

The science of networks has revolutionised research into the dynamics of interacting elements. It could be argued that epidemiology in particular has embraced the potential of network theory more than any other discipline. Here we review…

Understanding the timing of the peak of a disease outbreak forms an important part of epidemic forecasting. In many cases, such information is essential for planning increased hospital bed demand and for designing of public health…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-27 Jacob Curran-Sebastian , Lorenzo Pellis , Ian Hall , Thomas House

Incorporating dynamic contact networks and delayed awareness into a contagion model with memory, we study the spreading patterns of infectious diseases in connected populations. It is found that the spread of an infectious disease is not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-20 Li-Xin Zhong , Tian Qiu , Fei Ren , Ping-Ping Li , Bi-Hui Chen

A model of the spread of viruses in selected city and in a network of cities is considered, taking into account the delay caused by the long incubation period of the virus. The effect of delay effects is shown in comparison with pandemics…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 P. A. Golovinski

Many real networks exhibit a layered structure in which links in each layer reflect the function of nodes on different environments. These multiple types of links are usually represented by a multiplex network in which each layer has a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-19 C. Buono , L. G. Alvarez Zuzek , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

Traditional mathematical models of epidemic disease had for decades conventionally considered static structure for contacts. Recently, an upsurge of theoretical inquiry has strived towards rendering the models more realistic by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-20 Babak Fotouhi , Mehrdad Khani Shirkoohi

In the past few decades, the frequency of pandemics has been increased due to the growth of urbanization and mobility among countries. Since a disease spreading in one country could become a pandemic with a potential worldwide humanitarian…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-01 L. D. Valdez , L. A. Braunstein , S. Havlin

In this paper, we study the dynamics of epidemic processes taking place in temporal and adaptive networks. Building on the activity-driven network model, we propose an adaptive model of epidemic processes, where the network topology…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado , Naoki Masuda