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This paper re-examines the problem of estimating risk premia in linear factor pricing models. Typically, the data used in the empirical literature are characterized by weakness of some pricing factors, strong cross-sectional dependence in…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-04-09 Stanislav Anatolyev , Anna Mikusheva

Neural Networks are being integrated into safety critical systems, e.g., perception systems for autonomous vehicles, which require trained networks to perform safely in novel scenarios. It is challenging to verify neural networks because…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-23 Molly O'Brien , William Goble , Greg Hager , Julia Bukowski

To model and quantify the variability in plasticity and failure of additively manufactured metals due to imperfections in their microstructure, we have developed uncertainty quantification methodology based on pseudo marginal likelihood and…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-01-08 M. Khalil , G. H. Teichert , C. Alleman , N. M. Heckman , R. E. Jones , K. Garikipati , B. L. Boyce

This paper develops a flexible and computationally efficient multivariate volatility model, which allows for dynamic conditional correlations and volatility spillover effects among financial assets. The new model has desirable properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Wenyu Li , Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li

This article introduces a sensitivity analysis method for Multiple Testing Procedures (MTPs) using marginal $p$-values. The method is based on the Dirichlet process (DP) prior distribution, specified to support the entire space of MTPs,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 George Karabatsos

Latent feature models (LFM)s are widely employed for extracting latent structures of data. While offering high, parameter estimation is difficult with LFMs because of the combinational nature of latent features, and non-identifiability is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-27 Ryota Suzuki , Shingo Takahashi , Murtuza Petladwala , Shigeru Kohmoto

Recently, a growing amount interest is quite evident in modelling dependent competing risks in life time prognosis problem. In this work, we propose to model the dependent competing risks by Marshal-Olkin bivariate exponential distribution.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-13 Shuvashree Mondal , Shanya Baghel

We consider a competing risks model, in which system failures are due to one out of two mutually exclusive causes, formulated within the framework of shock models driven by bivariate Poisson process. We obtain the failure densities and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-02 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Maria Longobardi

Single-index models or time-to-event models are frequently applied in empirical research. These models are non-identifiable in presence of unknown (dependent) censoring or competing risks and do not give informative results in empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Jia-Han Shih , Simon M. S. Lo , Ralf A. Wilke

Dynamical phenomena such as infectious diseases are often investigated by following up subjects longitudinally, thus generating time to event data. The spatial aspect of such data is also of primordial importance, as many infectious…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Ajmal Oodally , Estelle Kuhn , Klara Goethals , Luc Duchateau

Causal inference has recently gained notable attention across various fields like biology, healthcare, and environmental science, especially within explainable artificial intelligence (xAI) systems, for uncovering the causal relationships…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Xiaofeng Xiao , Khawlah Alharbi , Pengyu Zhang , Hantang Qin , Xubo Yue

Resiliency has garnered attention in the management of critical infrastructure as a metric of system performance, but there are significant roadblocks to its implementation in a realistic decision-making framework. Contrasted to risk and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-08 Vincent P. Paglioni , Graeme Troxell , Aaron Brown , Steve Conrad , Mazdak Arabi

Machine learning models used in financial decision systems operate in nonstationary economic environments, yet adversarial robustness is typically evaluated under static assumptions. This work introduces Conditional Adversarial Fragility, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Samruddhi Baviskar

We argue for the use of separate exchangeability as a modeling principle in Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) inference. Separate exchangeability is de facto widely applied in the Bayesian parametric case, e.g., it naturally arises in simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Giovanni Rebaudo , Qiaohui Lin , Peter Mueller

In reliability-based design, the estimation of the failure probability is a crucial objective. However, focusing only on the occurrence of the failure event may be insufficient to entirely characterize the reliability of the considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-08 Pierre Derennes , Jerome Morio , Florian Simatos

Researchers and practitioners in the field of reliability engineering and optimization frequently use active redundancy techniques to intensify the performance of systems. In this article, we study allocation strategies of non-matching…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-18 Bidhan Modok , Shovan Chowdhury , Amarjit Kundu

The article is focused on studying how to predict the failure times of coherent systems from the early failure times of their components. Both the cases of independent and dependent components are considered by assuming that they are…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-30 Jorge Navarro , Antonio Arriaza , Alfonso Suárez-Llorens

-Complex manufacturing systems are subject to high levels of variability that decrease productivity, increase cycle times and severely impact the systems tractability. As accurate modelling of the sources of variability is a cornerstone to…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-20 Kean Dequeant , Pierre Lemaire , Marie-Laure Espinouse , Philippe Vialletelle

Survival models incorporating random effects to account for unmeasured heterogeneity are being increasingly used in biostatistical and applied research. Specifically, unmeasured covariates whose lack of inclusion in the model would lead to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-06 Alessandro Gasparini , Mark S. Clements , Keith R. Abrams , Michael J. Crowther

Analysis of competing risks data plays an important role in the lifetime data analysis. Recently Feizjavadian and Hashemi (Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, vol. 82, 19-34, 2015) provided a classical inference of a competing risks…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-04 Debashis Samanta , Debasis Kundu