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This paper discusses causal independence models and a generalization of these models called causal interaction models. Causal interaction models are models that have independent mechanisms where a mechanism can have several causes. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Christopher Meek , David Heckerman

Load-sharing systems arise in many different reliability applications, for instance, when modeling tensile strength of fibrous composites in textile industry or lifetimes of redundant technical systems in engineering. Sequential order…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Stefan Bedbur , Johann Köhne , Fabian Mies

Multi-phase materials, such as composite materials, exhibit multiple competing failure mechanisms during the growth of a macroscopic defect. For the simulation of the overall fracture process in such materials, we develop a two-phase spring…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-12-15 Rajat Pratap Singh Parihar , Dhiwakar V. Mani , Anuradha Banerjee , R. Rajesh

A multi-fidelity simulator is a numerical model, in which one of the inputs controls a trade-off between the realism and the computational cost of the simulation. Our goal is to estimate the probability of exceeding a given threshold on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-31 Rémi Stroh , Julien Bect , Séverine Demeyer , Nicolas Fischer , Emmanuel Vazquez

Complex systems in science and engineering sometimes exhibit behavior that changes across different regimes. Traditional global models struggle to capture the full range of this complex behavior, limiting their ability to accurately…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-24 Okezzi F. Ukorigho , Opeoluwa Owoyele

We introduce an approach which allows detecting causal relationships between variables for which the time evolution is available. Causality is assessed by a variational scheme based on the Information Imbalance of distance ranks, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-07 Vittorio Del Tatto , Gianfranco Fortunato , Domenica Bueti , Alessandro Laio

This paper studies nonparametric identification in market level demand models for differentiated products with heterogeneous consumers. We consider a general class of models that allows for the individual specific coefficients to vary…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-19 Fabian Dunker , Stefan Hoderlein , Hiroaki Kaido

In recent years, mixture cure models have gained increasing popularity in survival analysis as an alternative to the Cox proportional hazards model, particularly in settings where a subset of patients is considered cured. The proportional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Fatih Kızılaslan , Valeria Vitelli

Nested nonparametric processes are vectors of random probability measures widely used in the Bayesian literature to model the dependence across distinct, though related, groups of observations. These processes allow a two-level clustering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Federico Camerlenghi , Riccardo Corradin , Andrea Ongaro

This paper studies the problems of identifiability and estimation in high-dimensional nonparametric latent structure models. We introduce an identifiability theorem that generalizes existing conditions, establishing a unified framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Yichen Lyu , Pengkun Yang

We introduce a nonresponse mechanism for multivariate missing data in which each study variable and its nonresponse indicator are conditionally independent given the remaining variables and their nonresponse indicators. This is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-05 Mauricio Sadinle , Jerome P. Reiter

Compartmental models, especially the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, have long been used to understand the behaviour of various diseases. Allowing parameters, such as the transmission rate, to be time-dependent functions makes it…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-27 Son Luu , Edward Susko , Lam Si Tung Ho

We study the multiplicative hazards model with intermittently observed longitudinal covariates and time-varying coefficients. For such models, the existing ad hoc approach, such as the last value carried forward, is biased. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-13 Zhuowei Sun , Hongyuan Cao

We consider variable selection in competing risks regression for multi-center data. Our research is motivated by deceased donor kidney transplants, from which recipients would experience graft failure, death with functioning graft (DWFG),…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-20 Zhixuan Fu , Shuangge Ma , Haiqun Lin , Chirag R Parikh , Bingqing Zhou

In studies of recurrent events, joint modeling approaches are often needed to allow for potential dependent censoring by a terminal event such as death. Joint frailty models for recurrent events and death with an additional dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-25 Marie Böhnstedt , Jutta Gampe , Monique A. A. Caljouw , Hein Putter

We present neural frailty machine (NFM), a powerful and flexible neural modeling framework for survival regressions. The NFM framework utilizes the classical idea of multiplicative frailty in survival analysis to capture unobserved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Ruofan Wu , Jiawei Qiao , Mingzhe Wu , Wen Yu , Ming Zheng , Tengfei Liu , Tianyi Zhang , Weiqiang Wang

Parameter inference and uncertainty quantification are important steps when relating mathematical models to real-world observations, and when estimating uncertainty in model predictions. However, methods for doing this can be…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-27 Michael J. Plank , Matthew J. Simpson

In this article, a general family of bivariate distributions is used to model competing risks data with dependent factors. The general structure of competing risks data considered here includes ties. A comprehensive inferential framework…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Aakash Agrawal , Ayon Ganguly , Debanjan Mitra

Discrete random structures are important tools in Bayesian nonparametrics and the resulting models have proven effective in density estimation, clustering, topic modeling and prediction, among others. In this paper, we consider nested…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Federico Camerlenghi , David B. Dunson , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Abel Rodríguez

In this paper an efficient model based diagnostic process is described for systems whose components possess a causal relation between their inputs and their outputs. In this diagnostic process, firstly, a set of focuses on likely broken…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Nico Roos