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In this paper we consider the limiting distribution of KPZ growth models with random but not stationary initial conditions introduced in [Chhita-Ferrari-Spohn 2018]. The one-point distribution of the limit is given in terms of a variational…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Patrik L. Ferrari , Bálint Vető

We prove a limit theorem on the convergence of the distributions of the scaled last exit time over a slowly moving nonlinear boundary for a class of Gaussian stationary processes. The limit is a double exponential (Gumbel) distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Nikita Karagodin

We study the upper tail of the number of arithmetic progressions of a given length in a random subset of {1,...,n}, establishing exponential bounds which are best possible up to constant factors in the exponent. The proof also extends to…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Lutz Warnke

Consider first passage percolation with identical and independent weight distributions and first passage time ${\rm T}$. In this paper, we study the upper tail large deviations $\mathbb{P}({\rm T}(0,nx)>n(\mu+\xi))$, for $\xi>0$ and $x\neq…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Clément Cosco , Shuta Nakajima

In this paper, we establish the first large deviation bounds for the Airy point process. The proof is based on a novel approach which relies upon the approximation of the Airy point process using the Gaussian unitary ensemble (GUE) up to an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-23 Chenyang Zhong

For first passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ with i.i.d. bounded edge weights, we consider the upper tail large deviation event; i.e., the rare situation where the first passage time between two points at distance $n$, is macroscopically…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Riddhipratim Basu , Shirshendu Ganguly , Allan Sly

This is the second, and last paper in which we address the behavior of oriented first passage percolation on the hypercube in the limit of large dimensions. We prove here that the extremal process converges to a Cox process with exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-16 Nicola Kistler , Adrien Schertzer , Marius A. Schmidt

For the last passage percolation (LPP) on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ with exponential passage times, let $T_{n}$ denote the passage time from $(1,1)$ to $(n,n)$. We investigate the law of iterated logarithm of the sequence $\{T_{n}\}_{n\geq 1}$; we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Riddhipratim Basu , Shirshendu Ganguly , Milind Hegde , Manjunath Krishnapur

We consider i.i.d. last-passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ with weights having distribution $F$ and time-constant $g_F$. We provide an explicit condition on the large deviation rate function for independent sums of $F$ that determines…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-15 Ian Alevy , Arjun Krishnan

We consider the exactly solvable model of exponential directed last passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ in the large deviation regime. Conditional on the upper tail large deviation event $\mathcal{U}_{\delta}:=\{T_{n}\geq (4+\delta)n\}$…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Riddhipratim Basu , Shirshendu Ganguly

We prove $\sqrt{\log n}$ lower bounds on the order of growth fluctuations in three planar growth models (first-passage percolation, last-passage percolation, and directed polymers) under no assumptions on the distribution of vertex or edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Erik Bates , Sourav Chatterjee

In this paper non-asymptotic exponential and moment estimates are derived for tail of distribution for discrete time martingale and martingale transform by means of martingale differences in the terms of moments and tails of distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-22 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

This paper establishes the functional convergence of the Extreme Nelson--Aalen and Extreme Kaplan--Meier estimators, which are designed to capture the heavy-tailed behaviour of censored losses. The resulting limit representations can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Martin Bladt , Christoffer Øhlenschlæger

We present explicit estimates of right and left tails and exact (up to universal, multiplicative constants) estimates of tails and moments of hitting times of Bessel processes. The latter estimates are obtained from more general estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-12 W. M. Bednorz , R. M. Łochowski

In exponential last passage percolation, we consider the rescaled Busemann process $x\mapsto N^{-1/3}B^\rho_{0,[xN^{2/3}]e_1} \,\, (x\in\mathbb{R})$, as a process parametrized by the scaled density $\rho=1/2+\frac{\mu}{4} N^{-1/3}$, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Ofer Busani

We consider a last passage percolation model in dimension $1+1$ with potential given by the product of a spatial i.i.d. potential with symmetric bounded distribution and an independent i.i.d. in time sequence of signs. We assume that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Yuri Bakhtin , Konstantin Khanin , András Mészáros , Jeremy Voltz

In a general class of one dimensional random differential equation the convergence of the distribution function of the solution to stationary state distribution is studied. In particular it is proved the boundedness respectively the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-07 Gyorgy Steinbrecher , Xavier Garbet , Boris Weyssow

We study the one-dimensional branching random walk in the case when the step size distribution has a stretched exponential tail, and, in particular, no finite exponential moments. The tail of the step size $X$ decays as $\mathbb{P}[X \geq…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Piotr Dyszewski , Nina Gantert , Thomas Höfelsauer

In this paper we prove a duality relation between coalescence times and exit points in last-passage percolation models with exponential weights. As a consequence, we get lower bounds for coalescence times with scaling exponent 3/2, and we…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Leandro P. R. Pimentel

Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-20 J. L. Wadsworth , J. A. Tawn