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For long term investments, model portfolios are defined at the level of indexes, a setup known as Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA). The possible outcomes at a scale of a few decades can be obtained by Monte Carlo simulations, resulting in a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-25 Gilles Zumbach

Different methods are used to determine the scaling exponents associated with a time series describing a complex dynamical process, such as those observed in geophysical systems. Many of these methods are based on the numerical evaluation…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Nicola Scafetta , Bruce J. West

Modeling counterparty risk is computationally challenging because it requires the simultaneous evaluation of all the trades with each counterparty under both market and credit risk. We present a multi-Gaussian process regression approach,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-18 Stéphane Crépey , Matthew Dixon

In this paper, we derive comparison results for terminal values of $d$-dimensional special semimartingales and also for finite-dimensional distributions of multivariate L\'{e}vy processes. The comparison is with respect to nondecreasing,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Jan Bergenthum , Ludger Rüschendorf

When is it possible to interpret a given Markov process as a L\'evy-like process? Since the class of L\'evy processes can be defined by the relation between transition probabilities and convolutions, the answer to this question lies in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Rúben Sousa , Manuel Guerra , Semyon Yakubovich

This paper considers the modelling of collateralized debt obligations (CDOs). We propose a top-down model via forward rates generalizing Filipovi\'c, Overbeck and Schmidt (2009) to the case where the forward rates are driven by a finite…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-21 Thorsten Schmidt , Jerzy Zabczyk

In this paper, we adopt the least squares Monte Carlo (LSMC) method to price time-capped American options. The aforementioned cap can be an independent random variable or dependent on asset price at random time. We allow various time caps.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-04 Paweł Stȩpniak , Zbigniew Palmowski

We present a satisfactory definition of the important class of L\'evy processes indexed by a general collection of sets. We use a new definition for increment stationarity of set-indexed processes to obtain different characterizations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-25 Erick Herbin , Ely Merzbach

We propose a new model for electricity pricing based on the price cap principle. The particularity of the model is that the asset price is an exponential functional of a jump L\'evy process. This model can capture both mean reversion and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-27 Martin Kegnenlezom , Patrice Takam Soh , Antoine-Marie Bogso , Yves Emvudu Wono

Stochastic optimal control problems have a long tradition in applied probability, with the questions addressed being of high relevance in a multitude of fields. Even though theoretical solutions are well understood in many scenarios, their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Sören Christensen , Claudia Strauch , Lukas Trottner

We present an econometric framework that adapts tools for scenario analysis, such as variants of conditional forecasts and generalized impulse responses, for use with dynamic nonparametric models. The proposed algorithms are based on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-01 Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

Over the past years, distributed energy resources (DER) have been the object of many studies, which recognise and establish their emerging role in the future of power systems. However, the implementation of many scenarios and mechanism are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-20 Jaysson Guerrero , Archie Chapman , Gregor Verbic

We explore a decomposition in which returns on a large class of portfolios relative to the market depend on a smooth non-negative drift and changes in the asset price distribution. This decomposition is obtained using general continuous…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-31 Ricardo T. Fernholz , Caleb Stroup

Elastic systems that are spatially heterogeneous in their mechanical response pose special challenges for molecular simulations. Standard methods for sampling thermal fluctuations of a system's size and shape proceed through a series of…

Materials Science · Physics 2015-05-13 Sander Pronk , Phillip L. Geissler

In this paper, we develop a method to model and estimate several, _dependent_ count processes, using granular data. Specifically, we develop a multivariate Cox process with shot noise intensities to jointly model the arrival process of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-19 Benjamin Avanzi , Gregory Clive Taylor , Bernard Wong , Xinda Yang

A $\theta$ term, which couples to topological charge, is added to the two-dimensional lattice CP^3 model and U(1) gauge theory. Monte Carlo simulations are performed and compared to strong-coupling character expansions. In certain…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-10-30 Jan C. Plefka , Stuart Samuel

The concepts of probability, statistics and stochastic theory are being successfully used in structural engineering. Markov Chain modelling is a simple stochastic process model that has found its application in both describing stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2007-08-14 K. Balaji Rao

Motivated by the construction of the It\^o stochastic integral, we consider a step function method to discretize and simulate volatility modulated L\'evy semistationary processes. Moreover, we assess the accuracy of the method with a…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-11 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Existing results for the estimation of the L\'evy measure are mostly limited to the onedimensional setting. We apply the spectral method to multidimensional L\'evy processes in order to construct a nonparametric estimator for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Maximilian F. Steffen

We propose a multilevel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for the Bayesian inference of random field parameters in PDEs using high-resolution data. Compared to existing multilevel MCMC methods, we additionally consider level-dependent…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Pieter Vanmechelen , Geert Lombaert , Giovanni Samaey