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While short-range dependence is widely assumed in the literature for its simplicity, long-range dependence is a feature that has been observed in data from finance, hydrology, geophysics and economics. In this paper, we extend a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-20 Michele Nguyen , Almut E. D. Veraart

For $n$ equidistant observations of a L\'evy process at time distance $\Delta_n$ we consider the problem of testing hypotheses on the volatility, the jump measure and its Blumenthal-Getoor index in a non- or semiparametric manner.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-05 Markus Reiß

We propose to model multivariate volatility processes based on the newly defined conditionally uncorrelated components (CUCs). This model represents a parsimonious representation for matrix-valued processes. It is flexible in the sense that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Mingjin Wang , Qiwei Yao

The vast majority of market impact studies assess each product individually, and the interactions between the different order flows are disregarded. This strong approximation may lead to an underestimation of trading costs and possible…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-08 Michael Benzaquen , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Zoltan Eisler , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We introduce a class of Markov processes, called $m$-polynomial, for which the calculation of (mixed) moments up to order $m$ only requires the computation of matrix exponentials. This class contains affine processes, processes with…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-22 Christa Cuchiero , Martin Keller-Ressel , Josef Teichmann

We propose a flexible stochastic framework for modeling the market share dynamics over time in a multiple markets setting, where firms interact within and between markets. Firms undergo stochastic idiosyncratic shocks, which contract their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-06 Igor Prünster , Matteo Ruggiero

Constructing \Levy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes is a task closely related to the notion of self-decomposability. In particular, their transition laws are linked to the properties of what will be hereafter called the \emph{a-reminder}…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Nicola Cufaro Petroni , Piergiacomo Sabino

In this paper, we derive identities for the upward and downward exit problems and resolvents for a process whose motion changes between two L\'evy processes if it is above (or below) a barrier $b$ and coincides with a Poissonian arrival…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Noah Beelders , Lewis Ramsden , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

We consider a class of discrete time stochastic control problems motivated by some financial applications. We use a pathwise stochastic control approach to provide a dual formulation of the problem. This enables us to develop a numerical…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-20 Lajos Gergely Gyurko , Ben Hambly , Jan Hendrik Witte

We relax a number of assumptions in Alexeev and Tapon (2012) in order to account for non-normally distributed, skewed, multi-regime, and leptokurtic asset return distributions. We calibrate a Markov-modulated Levy process model to equity…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-29 Charles Shaw

Measuring model risk is required by regulators on financial and insurance markets. We separate model risk into parameter estimation risk and model specification risk, and we propose expected shortfall type model risk measures applied to…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-29 Emese Lazar , Shuyuan Qi , Radu Tunaru

This paper deals with the problem of clearing sequential electricity markets under uncertainty. We consider the European approach, where reserves are traded separately from energy to meet exogenous reserve requirements. Recently pro- posed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Vladimir Dvorkin , Stefanos Delikaraoglou , Juan M. Morales

The scaling properties of the time series of asset prices and trading volumes of stock markets are analysed. It is shown that similarly to the asset prices, the trading volume data obey multi-scaling length-distribution of low-variability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Robert Kitt , Jaan Kalda

Intraday electricity markets play an increasingly important role in balancing the intermittent generation of renewable energy resources, which creates a need for accurate probabilistic price forecasts. However, research to date has focused…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-15 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel

An important family of stochastic processes arising in many areas of applied probability is the class of L\'evy processes. Generally, such processes are not simulatable especially for those with infinite activity. In practice, it is common…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-06 M. Ben Alaya , K. Hajji , A. Kebaier

In this paper, we address rare-event simulation for heavy-tailed L\'evy processes with infinite activities. The presence of infinite activities poses a critical challenge, making it impractical to simulate or store the precise sample path…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

We provide a novel expression of the scale function for a L\'evy processes with negative phase-type jumps. It is in terms of a certain transition rate matrix which is explicit up to a single positive number. A monotone iterative scheme for…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Jevgenijs Ivanovs

Let $\mathbb{R}^N_+= [0,\infty)^N$. We here consider a class of random fields $(X_t)_{t\in \mathbb{R}^N_+}$ which are known as Multiparameter L\'evy processes. Related multiparameter semigroups of operators and their generators are…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Francesco Iafrate , Costantino Ricciuti

As Gaussian processes are used to answer increasingly complex questions, analytic solutions become scarcer and scarcer. Monte Carlo methods act as a convenient bridge for connecting intractable mathematical expressions with actionable…

The term noncentral moderate deviations is used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between the convergence in probability to a constant (governed by a reference large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Neha Gupta , Claudio Macci
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