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We analyse a multilevel Monte Carlo method for the approximation of distribution functions of univariate random variables. Since, by assumption, the target distribution is not known explicitly, approximations have to be used. We provide an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-22 Mike B. Giles , Tigran Nagapetyan , Klaus Ritter

The important application of semi-static hedging in financial markets naturally leads to the notion of quasi self-dual processes. The focus of our study is to give new characterizations of quasi self-duality for exponential L\'evy processes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-26 Thorsten Rheinländer , Michael Schmutz

I overview recent research advances in Bayesian state-space modeling of multivariate time series. A main focus is on the decouple/recouple concept that enables application of state-space models to increasingly large-scale data, applying to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Mike West

We investigate an approximate sampling scheme that can significantly reduce the cost scaling of variational Monte Carlo when it is employed to predict the energy differences associated with local chemical changes. Inspired by side-chaining…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-03-13 Sonja Bumann , Eric Neuscamman

Metropolis Monte Carlo simulation is a powerful tool for studying the equilibrium properties of matter. In complex condensed-phase systems, however, it is difficult to design Monte Carlo moves with high acceptance probabilities that also…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-05-27 Jerome P. Nilmeier , Gavin E. Crooks , David D. L. Minh , John D. Chodera

We consider a class of assets whose risk-neutral pricing dynamics are described by an exponential L\'evy-type process subject to default. The class of processes we consider features locally-dependent drift, diffusion and default-intensity…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-19 Antoine Jacquier , Matthew Lorig

Mounting empirical evidence suggests that the observed extreme prices within a trading period can provide valuable information about the volatility of the process within that period. In this paper we define a class of stochastic volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-12 Abel Rodriguez , Henryk Gzyl , German Molina , Enrique ter Horst

In this paper we develop a framework for discretely compounding interest rates which is based on the forward price process approach. This approach has a number of advantages, in particular in the current market environment. Compared to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-08 Ernst Eberlein , Christoph Gerhart , Zorana Grbac

We present several applications of the bias-variance decomposition, beginning with straightforward Monte Carlo estimation of integrals, but progressing to the more complex problem of Monte Carlo Optimization (MCO), which involves finding a…

Applications · Statistics 2008-10-07 Dev Rajnarayan , David Wolpert

We develop a Monte-Carlo based numerical method for solving discrete-time stochastic optimal control problems with inventory. These are optimal control problems in which the control affects only a deterministically evolving inventory…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Alessandro Balata , Jan Palczewski

To model subsurface flow in uncertain heterogeneous\ fractured media an elliptic equation with a discontinuous stochastic diffusion coefficient - also called random field - may be used. In case of a one-dimensional parameter space, L\'evy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-26 Andrea Barth , Robin Merkle

We study a class of Markov processes that combine local dynamics, arising from a fixed Markov process, with regenerations arising at a state-dependent rate. We give conditions under which such processes possess a given target distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Andi Q. Wang , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts , David Steinsaltz

We model the logarithm of the price (log-price) of a financial asset as a random variable obtained by projecting an operator stable random vector with a scaling index matrix $\underline{\underline{E}}$ onto a non-random vector. The scaling…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Przemysław Repetowicz , Peter Richmond

A self-organized model with social percolation process is proposed to describe the propagations of information for different trading ways across a social system and the automatic formation of various groups within market traders. Based on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Zhi-Feng Huang

Market-based coordination of demand side assets has gained great interests in recent years. In spite of its efficiency, there is a risk that the interaction between the dynamic assets through the price signal could result in an unstable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-04 Lin Zhao , Wei Zhang

Given a spectrally negative L\'evy process and independent Poisson observation times, we consider a periodic barrier strategy that pushes the process down to a certain level whenever it is above it. We also consider the versions with…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-11 José-Luis Pérez , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We consider a L\'evy process $Y(t)$ that is not permanently observed, but rather inspected at Poisson($\omega$) moments only, over an exponentially distributed time $T_\beta$ with parameter $\beta$. The focus lies on the analysis of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Onno Boxma , Michel Mandjes

This study presents contemporaneous modeling of asset return and price range within the framework of stochastic volatility with leverage. A new representation of the probability density function for the price range is provided, and its…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-28 Yuta Kurose

Recent developments on financial markets have revealed the limits of Brownian motion pricing models when they are applied to actual markets. L\'evy processes, that admit jumps over time, have been found more useful for applications. Thus,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-16 Rui Sá Pereira , Evelina Shamarova

In this paper we consider storage and inventory systems. Our aim is to apply and review main results of the fluctuation theory of stochastic processes in the context of storage and inventory modeling. We describe systems where the inflow is…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-16 Zbigniew Michna , Wojciech Bombała , Peter Nielsen