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A method is developed to estimate the parameters of a Levy copula of a discretely observed bivariate compound Poisson process without knowledge of common shocks. The method is tested in a small sample simulation study. Also, the method is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-04 J. L. van Velsen

We develop a method that relates the truncated cumulant-function of the fourth order with the L\'evian cumulant-function. This gives us explicit formulas for the L\'evy-parameters, which allow a real-time analysis of the state of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-04 Alexander Jurisch

This paper is concerned with stability analysis of nonlinear time-varying systems by using Lyapunov function based approach. The classical Lyapunov stability theorems are generalized in the sense that the time-derivative of the Lyapunov…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-08-18 Bin Zhou

In this work the system of agents is applied to establish a model of the nonlinear distributed signal processing. The evolution of the system of the agents - by the prediction time scale diversified trend followers, has been studied for the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-13 Tomáš Tokár , Denis Horváth , Michal Hnatich

This paper develops a Bayesian procedure for estimation and forecasting of the volatility of multivariate time series. The foundation of this work is the matrix-variate dynamic linear model, for the volatility of which we adopt a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 K. Triantafyllopoulos

We start by defining a subordinator by means of the lower-incomplete gamma function. It can be considered as an approximation of the stable subordinator, easier to be handled thank to its finite activity. A tempered version is also…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Luisa Beghin , Costantino Ricciuti

We propose a multivariate framework for modeling dependent default times that extends the classical Cox process by incorporating both common and idiosyncratic shocks. Our construction uses c\`adl\`ag, increasing processes to model…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-08 Djibril Gueye , Alejandra Quintos

We present a non-parametric Bayesian latent variable model capable of learning dependency structures across dimensions in a multivariate setting. Our approach is based on flexible Gaussian process priors for the generative mappings and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-16 Andrew R. Lawrence , Carl Henrik Ek , Neill D. F. Campbell

Estimating covariances between financial assets plays an important role in risk management. In practice, when the sample size is small compared to the number of variables, the empirical estimate is known to be very unstable. Here, we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-19 Rajbir-Singh Nirwan , Nils Bertschinger

We study a stochastic multiplicative system composed of finite asynchronous elements to describe the wealth evolution in financial markets. We find that the wealth fluctuations or returns of this system can be described by a walk with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Zhi-Feng Huang , Sorin Solomon

Multivariate functions emerge naturally in a wide variety of data-driven models. Popular choices are expressions in the form of basis expansions or neural networks. While highly effective, the resulting functions tend to be hard to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-15 Jan Decuyper , Koen Tiels , Siep Weiland , Mark C. Runacres , Johan Schoukens

Levy copulas are the most general concept to capture jump dependence in multivariate Levy processes. They translate the intuition and many features of the copula concept into a time series setting. A challenge faced by both, distributional…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2012-09-21 Oliver Grothe , Stephan Nicklas

The interpretation of coefficients from multivariate linear regression relies on the assumption that the conditional expectation function is linear in the variables. However, in many cases the underlying data generating process is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-16 Nadav Kunievsky

We consider a mixed moving average (MMA) process X driven by a L\'evy basis and prove that it is weakly dependent with rates computable in terms of the moving average kernel and the characteristic quadruple of the L\'evy basis. Using this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-19 Imma Valentina Curato , Robert Stelzer

Using monotonicity theory we investigate the continuous dependence on parameters for the discrete BVPs which can be written in a form of a nonlinear system.

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2012-12-07 Marek Galewski

We consider a model for multivariate data with heavy-tailed marginal distributions and a Gaussian dependence structure. The different marginals in the model are allowed to have non-identical tail behavior in contrast to most popular…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-23 Bikramjit Das

We propose a recursive method for the computation of the cumulants of self-exciting point processes of Hawkes type, based on standard combinatorial tools such as Bell polynomials. This closed-form approach is easier to implement on…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Nicolas Privault

In this paper, a systematic approach is developed to embed the dynamical description of a nonlinear system into a linear parameter-varying (LPV) system representation. Initially, the nonlinear functions in the model representation are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-09 Arash Sadeghzadeh , Roland Toth

Multivariate volatility modeling and forecasting are crucial in financial economics. This paper develops a copula-based approach to model and forecast realized volatility matrices. The proposed copula-based time series models can capture…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-21 Wenjing Wang , Minjing Tao

The Multiplicative Error Model (Engle (2002)) for nonnegative valued processes is specified as the product of a (conditionally autoregressive) scale factor and an innovation process with nonnegative support. A multivariate extension allows…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-06 Fabrizio Cipollini , Robert F. Engle , Giampiero M. Gallo