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This article presents factor copula approaches to model temporal dependency of non-Gaussian (continuous/discrete) longitudinal data. Factor copula models are canonical vine copulas which explain the underlying dependence structure of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

The first passage time process of a L\'evy subordinator with heavy-tailed L\'evy measure has long-range dependent paths. The random fluctuations that appear under two natural schemes of summation and time scaling of such stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-02 Ingemar Kaj , Anders Martin-Löf

Multivariate time series exhibit two types of dependence: across variables and across time points. Vine copulas are graphical models for the dependence and can conveniently capture both types of dependence in the same model. We derive the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-16 Thomas Nagler , Daniel Krüger , Aleksey Min

Cumulants linearize convolution of measures. We use a formula of Good to define noncommutative cumulants in a very general setting.It turns out that the essential property needed is exchangeability of random variables. Roughly speaking the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-12-06 Franz Lehner

We present a Monte Carlo approach to pairs trading on mean-reverting spreads modeled by L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. Specifically, we focus on using a variance gamma driving process, an infinite activity pure jump process to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-02 Tim Leung , Kevin W. Lu

In this paper, we introduce quantile coherency to measure general dependence structures emerging in the joint distribution in the frequency domain and argue that this type of dependence is natural for economic time series but remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Jozef Baruník , Tobias Kley

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

Graphical models are widely used in diverse application domains to model the conditional dependencies amongst a collection of random variables. In this paper, we consider settings where the graph structure is covariate-dependent, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-24 Jiahe Lin , Yikai Zhang , George Michailidis

In this paper, we develop a unified regression approach to model unconditional quantiles, M-quantiles and expectiles of multivariate dependent variables exploiting the multidimensional Huber's function. To assess the impact of changes in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella , Nicola Salvati , Nikos Tzavidis

Analysis of multivariate time series is a common problem in areas like finance and economics. The classical tool for this purpose are vector autoregressive models. These however are limited to the modeling of linear and symmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-05 Eike Christian Brechmann , Claudia Czado

We present an overview of the broad class of financial models in which the prices of assets are L\'evy-Ito processes driven by an $n$-dimensional Brownian motion and an independent Poisson random measure. The Poisson random measure is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-29 George Bouzianis , Lane P. Hughston , Sebastian Jaimungal , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

For open systems subjected to external magnetic fields, relations between the statistical cumulants of their fluctuating currents and their response coefficients are established at arbitrary orders in the deviations from equilibrium, as a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-22 Maximilien Barbier , Pierre Gaspard

The modeling and uncertainty quantification of closed curves is an important problem in the field of shape analysis, and can have significant ramifications for subsequent statistical tasks. Many of these tasks involve collections of closed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-15 Hengrui Luo , Justin D. Strait

We propose a dependence-aware predictive modeling framework for multivariate risks stemmed from an insurance contract with bundling features - an important type of policy increasingly offered by major insurance companies. The bundling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

We introduce a new nonlinear model for classification, in which we model the joint distribution of response variable, y, and covariates, x, non-parametrically using Dirichlet process mixtures. We keep the relationship between y and x linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Babak Shahbaba , Radford M. Neal

Financial markets based on L\'evy processes are typically incomplete and option prices depend on risk attitudes of individual agents. In this context, the notion of utility indifference price has gained popularity in the academic circles.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-24 Clément Ménassé , Peter Tankov

Exponential L\'evy processes can be used to model the evolution of various financial variables such as FX rates, stock prices, etc. Considerable efforts have been devoted to pricing derivatives written on underliers governed by such…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-29 Leif Andersen , Alexander Lipton

Factor analysis is a flexible technique for assessment of multivariate dependence and codependence. Besides being an exploratory tool used to reduce the dimensionality of multivariate data, it allows estimation of common factors that often…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-08 Vitor G. C. da Silva , Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , João B. M. Pereira

Partial ordinary Bell polynomials are used to formulate and prove a version of the Fa\`{a} di Bruno's formula which is convenient for handling nonlinear terms in the differential transformation. Applicability of the result is shown in two…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Josef Rebenda

We propose a discrete-time, finite-state stationary process that can possess long-range dependence. Among the interesting features of this process is that each state can have different long-term dependency, i.e., the indicator sequence can…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Jeonghwa Lee