English
Related papers

Related papers: Robust Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals

200 papers

We overview Bayesian estimation, hypothesis testing, and model-averaging and illustrate how they benefit parametric survival analysis. We contrast the Bayesian framework to the currently dominant frequentist approach and highlight…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 František Bartoš , Frederik Aust , Julia M. Haaf

We investigate Bayesian non-parametric inference of the $\Lambda$-measure of $\Lambda$-coalescent processes with recurrent mutation, parametrised by probability measures on the unit interval. We give verifiable criteria on the prior for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Jere Koskela , Paul A. Jenkins , Dario Spanò

Consider a linear regression model with independent and identically normally distributed random errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is a specified linear combination of the regression parameters. We prove that the usual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri , Hannes Leeb

When aggregating information from conflicting sources, one's goal is to find the truth. Most real-value \emph{truth discovery} (TD) algorithms try to achieve this goal by estimating the competence of each source and then aggregating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-13 Tsviel Ben Shabat , Reshef Meir , David Azriel

Multivariate Bayesian error-in-variable (EIV) linear regression is considered to account for additional additive Gaussian error in the features and response. A 3-variable deterministic scan Gibbs samplers is constructed for multivariate EIV…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-21 Austin Brown

We consider signals that follow a parametric distribution where the parameter values are unknown. To estimate such signals from noisy measurements in scalar channels, we study the empirical performance of an empirical Bayes (EB) approach…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-05-12 Yanting Ma , Jin Tan , Nikhil Krishnan , Dror Baron

Bayesian optimal experimental design is a principled framework for conducting experiments that leverages Bayesian inference to quantify how much information one can expect to gain from selecting a certain design. However, accurate Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-12 Yasir Zubayr Barlas , Sabina J. Sloman , Samuel Kaski

We discuss the use of empirical Bayes for data integration, in the sense of transfer learning. Our main interest is in settings where one wishes to learn structure (e.g. feature selection) and one only has access to incomplete data from…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-06 Paul Rognon-Vael , David Rossell

We propose using a Bayes procedure with uniform improper prior to determine credible belts for the mean of a Poisson distribution in the presence of background and for the continuous problem of measuring a non-negative quantity $\theta$…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-10-31 Byron P. Roe , Michael B. Woodroofe

Counterfactual explanations (CFEs) are essential for interpreting black-box models, yet they often become invalid when models are slightly changed. Existing methods for generating robust CFEs are often limited to specific types of models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Marcin Kostrzewa , Maciej Zięba , Jerzy Stefanowski

Starting from considerations about meaning and subsequent use of asymmetric uncertainty intervals of experimental results, we review the issue of uncertainty propagation. We show that, using a probabilistic approach (the so-called Bayesian…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini , M. Raso

A common task in high-throughput biology is to screen for associations across thousands of units of interest, e.g., genes or proteins. Often, the data for each unit are modeled as Gaussian measurements with unknown mean and variance and are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Bodhisattva Sen

The entropic risk measure is widely used in high-stakes decision-making across economics, management science, finance, and safety-critical control systems because it captures tail risks associated with uncertain losses. However, when data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Utsav Sadana , Erick Delage , Angelos Georghiou

Confidence intervals are assessed according to two criteria, namely expected length and coverage probability. In an attempt to apply the decision-theoretic method to finding a good confidence interval, a loss function that is a linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila

This paper is concerned with Bayesian inferential methods for data from controlled branching processes that account for model robustness through the use of disparities. Under regularity conditions, we establish that estimators built on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-19 M. González , C. Minuesa , I. del Puerto , A. N. Vidyashankar

This paper characterizes the conditions under which the observed beliefs of a group of agents are consistent with Bayesian updating. Beliefs are consistent with Bayesianism if they arise from the application of Bayes' rule given some…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-01-19 Pooya Molavi

An empirical Bayes approach to the estimation of possibly sparse sequences observed in Gaussian white noise is set out and investigated. The prior considered is a mixture of an atom of probability at zero and a heavy-tailed density \gamma,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Iain M. Johnstone , Bernard W. Silverman

Finite sample bounds on the estimation error of the mean by the empirical mean, uniform over a class of functions, can often be conveniently obtained in terms of Rademacher or Gaussian averages of the class. If a function of n variables has…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-10 Andreas Maurer

Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled probabilistic approach to study and rank competing models. In standard BMC, we construct a discrete probability distribution over the set of possible models, conditional on the observed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-22 Marvin Schmitt , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

We marshall the arguments for preferring Bayesian hypothesis testing and confidence sets to frequentist ones. We define admissible solutions to inference problems, noting that Bayesian solutions are admissible. We give seven weaker…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-22 Roger Sewell