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Related papers: Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control

200 papers

Pandemics involve the high transmission of a disease that impacts global and local health and economic patterns. The impact of a pandemic can be minimized by enforcing certain restrictions on a community. However, while minimizing infection…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Ishir Rao

Optimal strategies for epidemic containment are focused on dismantling the contact network through effective immunization with minimal costs. However, network fragmentation is seldom accessible in practice and may present extreme side…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-26 Guilherme S. Costa , Silvio C. Ferreira

Once an epidemic outbreak has been effectively contained through non-pharmaceutical interventions, a safe protocol is required for the subsequent release of social distancing restrictions to prevent a disastrous resurgence of the infection.…

We analyze equilibrium behavior and optimal policy within a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered epidemic model augmented with potentially undiagnosed agents who infer their health status and a social planner with imperfect enforcement of social…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-11-01 Thomas Phelan , Alexis Akira Toda

Nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPI) such as banning public events or instituting lockdowns have been widely applied around the world to control the current COVID-19 pandemic. Typically, this type of intervention is imposed when an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Carla Castillo-Laborde , Taco de Wolff , Pedro Gajardo , Rodrigo Lecaros , Gerard Olivar , Hector Ramirez C

Metapopulation epidemic models describe epidemic dynamics in networks of spatially distant patches connected with pathways for migration of individuals. In the present study, we deal with a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-22 Akari Matsuki , Gouhei Tanaka

Mathematical models are instrumental to forecast the spread of pathogens and to evaluate the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical measures. A plethora of optimal strategies has been recently developed to minimize either the infected peak…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-11 J. Sereno , A. L. Anderson , A. Ferramosca , E. A. Hernandez-Vargas , A. H. Gonzalez

Testing is a crucial control mechanism in the beginning phase of an epidemic when the vaccines are not yet available. It enables the public health authority to detect and isolate the infected cases from the population, thereby limiting the…

This paper introduces a spatiotemporal SEIQR epidemic model governed by a system of reaction-diffusion partial differential equations that incorporates optimal control strategies. The model captures the transmission dynamics of an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Achraf Zinihi , Matthias Ehrhardt , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi

This paper analyses the optimal control of infectious disease propagation using a classic susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model characterised by permanent immunity and the absence of available vaccines. The control is performed over a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-12 Rocío Balderrama , Mariana Inés Prieto , Constanza Sánchez de la Vega , Federico Vazquez

This study investigates the influence of different types of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on epidemic progression using SIR compartmental models. We analyze the optimization of two distinct targets: the final epidemic size and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-10 Eric Rozán , Marcelo N Kuperman , Sebastián Bouzat

We study the critical effect of an intermittent social distancing strategy on the propagation of epidemics in adaptive complex networks. We characterize the effect of our strategy in the framework of the susceptible-infected-recovered…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-04-02 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

We review the optimal control of systems modeling the dynamics of tuberculosis. Time dependent control functions are introduced in the mathematical models, representing strategies for the improvement of the treatment and cure of active…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-18 Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

We give the explicit solution of the optimal control problem which consists in minimizing the epidemic peak in the SIR model when the control is an attenuation factor of the infectious rate, subject to a L 1 budget constraint. The optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-14 Emilio Molina , Alain Rapaport

In this paper, we consider an optimal control problem for a prescription opioid epidemic model that describes the interaction between the regular prescription or addictive use of opioid drugs, and the process of rehabilitation and that of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Getachew K. Befekadu

It is recognized that social heterogeneities in terms of the contact distribution have a strong influence on the spread of infectious diseases. Nevertheless, few data are available on the group composition of social contacts, and their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-09 Jonathan Franceschi , Andrea Medaglia , Mattia Zanella

A heroin epidemic mathematical model with prevention information and treatment, as control interventions, is analyzed, assuming that an individual's behavioral response depends on the spreading of information about the effects of heroin.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Puthur Thangaraj Sowndarrajan , Lingeshwaran Shangerganesh , Amar Debbouche , Delfim F. M. Torres

A crucial aspect of managing a public health crisis is to effectively balance prevention and mitigation strategies, while taking their socio-economic impact into account. In particular, determining the influence of different…

In this research, we develop a framework to analyze the interaction between the economy and the Covid-19 pandemic using an extension of SIR epidemic model. At the outset, we assume there are two health related investments including general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-14 Zachariah Sinkala , Vajira Manathunga , Bichaka Fayissa

We propose and study a compartmental model for epidemiology with human behavioral effects. Specifically, our model incorporates governmental prevention measures aimed at lowering the disease infection rate, but we split the population into…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-16 Chloe Ngo , Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang