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A Monte Carlo algorithm is said to be adaptive if it automatically calibrates its current proposal distribution using past simulations. The choice of the parametric family that defines the set of proposal distributions is critical for good…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-11 Christian Schäfer , Nicolas Chopin

Monte Carlo simulations are an essential tool in particle physics data analysis. Events are typically generated alongside weights that redistribute the cross section of the simulated process across the phase space. These weights can be…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-05-13 Benjamin Nachman , Dennis Noll

This paper presents a seamless algorithm for the application of the multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method to the ensemble transform particle filter (ETPF). The algorithm uses a combination of optimal coupling transformations between coarse…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-15 Alastair Gregory , Colin Cotter

1. Temporal trends in species distributions are necessary for monitoring changes in biodiversity, which aids policymakers and conservationists in making informed decisions. Dynamic species distribution models are often fitted to ecological…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-15 Kwaku Peprah Adjei , Rob Cooke , Nick Isaac , Robert B. O'Hara

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods represent a classical set of techniques to simulate a sequence of probability measures through a simple selection/mutation mechanism. However, the associated selection functions and mutation kernels…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Qiming Du , Arnaud Guyader

The estimation of normalizing constants is a fundamental step in probabilistic model comparison. Sequential Monte Carlo methods may be used for this task and have the advantage of being inherently parallelizable. However, the standard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-16 Marco Fraccaro , Ulrich Paquet , Ole Winther

Segmenting images of low quality or with missing data is a challenging problem. Integrating statistical prior information about the shapes to be segmented can improve the segmentation results significantly. Most shape-based segmentation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-11-14 Ertunc Erdil , Sinan Yıldırım , Müjdat Çetin , Tolga Taşdizen

Novel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have enabled the generation of large ensembles of redistricting plans through graph partitioning. However, existing algorithms such as Reversible Recombination (RevReCom) and Metropolized Forest…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Atticus McWhorter , Daryl DeFord

We present approximate algorithms for performing smoothing in a class of high-dimensional state-space models via sequential Monte Carlo methods ("particle filters"). In high dimensions, a prohibitively large number of Monte Carlo samples…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-21 Axel Finke , Sumeetpal S. Singh

Langevin algorithms are popular Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for large-scale sampling problems that often arise in data science. We propose Monte Carlo algorithms based on the discretizations of $P$-th order Langevin dynamics for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Thanh Dang , Mert Gurbuzbalaban , Mohammad Rafiqul Islam , Nian Yao , Lingjiong Zhu

We propose Continual Repeated Annealed Flow Transport Monte Carlo (CRAFT), a method that combines a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) sampler (itself a generalization of Annealed Importance Sampling) with variational inference using normalizing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-07 Alexander G. D. G. Matthews , Michael Arbel , Danilo J. Rezende , Arnaud Doucet

We introduce an approach for efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for challenging high-dimensional distributions in sparse Bayesian learning (SBL). The core innovation involves using hierarchical prior-normalizing transport…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Jan Glaubitz , Youssef Marzouk

Leveraging planning during learning and decision-making is central to the long-term development of intelligent agents. Recent works have successfully combined tree-based search methods and self-play learning mechanisms to this end. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Matthew V Macfarlane , Edan Toledo , Donal Byrne , Paul Duckworth , Alexandre Laterre

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are indispensable when sampling from a complex, high-dimensional distribution by a conventional method is intractable. Even though MCMC is a powerful tool, it is also hard to control and tune in…

Graphics · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Sascha Holl , Gurprit Singh , Hans-Peter Seidel

Decision tree learning is a popular approach for classification and regression in machine learning and statistics, and Bayesian formulations---which introduce a prior distribution over decision trees, and formulate learning as posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-08-26 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Daniel M. Roy , Yee Whye Teh

In classification problems, sampling bias between training data and testing data is critical to the ranking performance of classification scores. Such bias can be both unintentionally introduced by data collection and intentionally…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-02 Chandler Zuo

A standard way to move particles in a SMC sampler is to apply several steps of a MCMC (Markov chain Monte Carlo) kernel. Unfortunately, it is not clear how many steps need to be performed for optimal performance. In addition, the output of…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-24 Hai-Dang Dau , Nicolas Chopin

Langevin diffusion processes and their discretizations are often used for sampling from a target density. The most convenient framework for assessing the quality of such a sampling scheme corresponds to smooth and strongly log-concave…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Lionel Riou-Durand

It was recently shown that under smoothness conditions, the squared Wasserstein distance between two distributions could be efficiently computed with appealing statistical error upper bounds. However, rather than the distance itself, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-30 Boris Muzellec , Adrien Vacher , Francis Bach , François-Xavier Vialard , Alessandro Rudi

We propose a unifying view of two different Bayesian inference algorithms, Stochastic Gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SG-MCMC) and Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD), leading to improved and efficient novel sampling schemes. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Victor Gallego , David Rios Insua
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