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The fundamental relationship of traffic flow is empirically estimated by fitting a regression curve to a cloud of observations of traffic variables. Such estimates, however, may suffer from the confounding/endogeneity bias due to omitted…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-07 Anupriya , Daniel J. Graham , Daniel Hörcher , Prateek Bansal

Both evaluating the service quality of a public transport system and understanding how passengers choose between modes or routes is imperative for public transport operators, providers of competing mobility services and policy makers.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-27 Rolf Nelson van Lieshout , Kevin Dalmeijer

Urban metro systems move vast numbers of passengers with a high level of efficiency in resource use, but frequently experience disruptions that result in delays, crowding, and deterioration in passenger satisfaction and patronage. To…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-29 Nan Zhang , Daniel Hörcher , Prateek Bansal , Daniel J. Graham

Multi-step passenger demand forecasting is a crucial task in on-demand vehicle sharing services. However, predicting passenger demand over multiple time horizons is generally challenging due to the nonlinear and dynamic spatial-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-27 Lei Bai , Lina Yao , Salil. S Kanhere , Xianzhi Wang , Quan. Z Sheng

Transportation planning plays a critical role in shaping urban development, economic mobility, and infrastructure sustainability. However, traditional planning methods often struggle to accurately predict long-term urban growth and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Eugene Denteh , Andrews Danyo , Joshua Kofi Asamoah , Blessing Agyei Kyem , Twitchell Addai , Armstrong Aboah

Accurate forecasting of bus travel time and its uncertainty is critical to service quality and operation of transit systems; for example, it can help passengers make better decisions on departure time, route choice, and even transport mode…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-15 Xiaoxu Chen , Zhanhong Cheng , Jian Gang Jin , Martin Trepanier , Lijun Sun

Potential crowd flow prediction for new planned transportation sites is a fundamental task for urban planners and administrators. Intuitively, the potential crowd flow of the new coming site can be implied by exploring the nearby sites.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Qiang Zhou , Jingjing Gu , Xinjiang Lu , Fuzhen Zhuang , Yanchao Zhao , Qiuhong Wang , Xiao Zhang

This paper presents a novel approach to pedestrian trajectory prediction for on-board camera systems, which utilizes behavioral features of pedestrians that can be inferred from visual observations. Our proposed method, called…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Phillip Czech , Markus Braun , Ulrich Kreßel , Bin Yang

Time-dependent Origin-Destination (OD) demand flows are fundamental inputs for Dynamic Traffic Assignment (DTA) systems and real-time traffic management. This work introduces a novel state-space framework to estimate these demand flows in…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Guido Cantelmo , Moeid Qurashi , A. Arun Prakash , Constantinos Antoniou , Francesco Viti

Time series generation is critical for a wide range of applications, which greatly supports downstream analytical and decision-making tasks. However, the inherent temporal heterogeneous induced by localized perturbations present significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Jintao Zhang , Mingyue Cheng , Zirui Liu , Xianquan Wang , Yitong Zhou , Qi Liu

Learning behavioral patterns from observational data has been a de-facto approach to motion forecasting. Yet, the current paradigm suffers from two shortcomings: brittle under distribution shifts and inefficient for knowledge transfer. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Yuejiang Liu , Riccardo Cadei , Jonas Schweizer , Sherwin Bahmani , Alexandre Alahi

This research introduces a mathematical framework to comprehending human mobility patterns, integrating mathematical modeling and economic analysis. The study focuses on latent-variable networks, investigating the dynamics of human mobility…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-27 Fabio Vanni

This paper presents a bibliometric analysis of the field of short-term passenger flow forecasting within local public transit, covering 814 publications that span from 1984 to 2024. In addition to common bibliometric analysis tools, a…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Jonathan Hecht , Weilian Li , Ziyue Li , Youness Dehbi

Couplings in complex real-world systems are often nonlinear and scale-dependent. In many cases, it is crucial to consider a multitude of interlinked variables and the strengths of their correlations to adequately fathom the dynamics of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-10-26 Tobias Braun , K. Hauke Kraemer , Norbert Marwan

To uncover the city's fundamental functioning mechanisms, it is important to acquire a deep understanding of complicated relationships among citizens, location, and mobility behaviors. Previous research studies have applied direct…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Tao Feng , Yunke Zhang , Xiaochen Fan , Huandong Wang , Yong Li

This paper analyzes the role of time-series clustering in traffic matrix (TM) prediction. Traffic flows within a TM often exhibit heterogeneous behavior, which can reduce the effectiveness of global forecasting models that predict all flows…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Martha Cash , Charlotte Fowler , Alexander M. Wyglinski

Modeling of urban traffic flows is required due to the complexity of their successful forecasting, as well as due to the impact of various random factors on them, and the complexity of transport systems in modern cities. Forecasting of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-02 Yekimov Sergiy

Traffic speed forecasting is an important task in intelligent transportation system management. The objective of much of the current computational research is to minimize the difference between predicted and actual speeds, but information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Yuanjie Lu , Amarda Shehu , David Lattanzi

The results of transportation infrastructure network analyses have been used to analyze complex networks in a topological context. However, most modeling approaches, including those based on complex network theory, do not fully account for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-20 Qi Xu , Baohua Mao , Yun Bai

This paper analyzes the time-dependent relationship between the mean and variance of travel time on a single corridor under rush hour like congestion patterns. To model this phenomenon, we apply the LWR ((Lighthill & Whitham, 1955),…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-28 Alexander Hammerl , Ravi Seshadri , Thomas Kjær Rasmussen , Otto Anker Nielsen