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Arrival flow profiles enable precise assessment of urban arterial dynamics, aiding signal control optimization. License Plate Recognition (LPR) data, with its comprehensive coverage and event-based detection, is promising for reconstructing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-02-28 Hao Wu , Jiarong Yao , Peize Kang , Chaopeng Tan , Yang Cai , Junjie Zhou , Edward Chung , Keshuang Tang

Persuasive scholarship presents how individual daily travel habits implicate congestion, environmental pollution, and the travel experience. However, the empirical characteristics and dynamics of travel habits remain poorly understood.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-07 Jiwon Kim , Jonathan Corcoran

Accurate prediction of metro passenger volume (number of passengers) is valuable to realize real-time metro system management, which is a pivotal yet challenging task in intelligent transportation. Due to the complex spatial correlation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-03 Fuchen Gao , Zhanquan Wang , Zhenguang Liu

Accurate short-term forecasts of passenger flow in metro systems under delay conditions are crucial for emergency response and service recovery, which pose significant challenges and are currently under-researched. Due to the rare…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Ping Huang , Yuxin He , Hao Wang , Jingjing Chen , Qin Luo

We introduce a new method for forecasting emergency call arrival rates that combines integer-valued time series models with a dynamic latent factor structure. Covariate information is captured via simple constraints on the factor loadings.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-07-26 David S. Matteson , Mathew W. McLean , Dawn B. Woodard , Shane G. Henderson

Due to the significance of transportation planning, traffic management, and dispatch optimization, predicting passenger origin-destination has emerged as a crucial requirement for intelligent transportation systems management. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Pouria Golshanrad , Hamid Mahini , Behnam Bahrak

The interest in developing smart cities has increased dramatically in recent years. In this context an intelligent transportation system depicts a major topic. The forecast of traffic flow is indispensable for an efficient intelligent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Ralf Rüther , Andreas Klos , Marius Rosenbaum , Wolfram Schiffmann

Activity generation plays an important role in activity-based demand modelling systems. While machine learning, especially deep learning, has been increasingly used for mode choice and traffic flow prediction, much less research exploiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Danh T. Phan , Hai L. Vu

Urban metro and tram networks are regularly subject to planned disruptions, including closures, resulting from the need to maintain and renew infrastructure. In this study, we first empirically analyse the passenger demand response to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-09 Menno Yap , Oded Cats

Ride-pooling remains a promising emerging mode with a potential to contribute towards urban sustainability and emission reductions. Recent studies revealed complexity and diversity among travellers' ride-pooling aptitudes. So far,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-21 Michal Bujak , Rafal Kucharski

Overcrowding in emergency departments (ED) remains a persistent operational challenge worldwide, causing delays in care delivery and downstream congestion. ED boarding time, defined as the duration admitted patients remain in the ED while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Orhun Vural , Abdulaziz Ahmed , Ferhat Zengul , James Booth , Bunyamin Ozaydin

In the metro intelligent transportation system, accurate transfer passenger flow prediction is a key link in optimizing operation plans and improving transportation efficiency. To further improve the theory of metro internal transfer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Zijie Zhou , Huichen Ma

Spatiotemporal data is very common in many applications, such as manufacturing systems and transportation systems. It is typically difficult to be accurately predicted given intrinsic complex spatial and temporal correlations. Most of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-24 Ziyue Li , Hao Yan , Chen Zhang , Fugee Tsung

Metro operation management relies on accurate predictions of passenger flow in the future. This study begins by integrating cross-city (including source and target city) knowledge and developing a short-term passenger flow prediction…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Wenbo Lu , Jinhua Xu , Peikun Li , Ting Wang , Yong Zhang

Understanding network flows such as commuter traffic in large transportation networks is an ongoing challenge due to the complex nature of the transportation infrastructure and of human mobility. Here we show a first-principles based method…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-10-21 Yihui Ren , Mária Ercsey-Ravasz , Pu Wang , Marta C. González , Zoltán Toroczkai

Denied boarding in congested transit systems induces queuing delays and departure-time shifts that can reshape passenger flows. Correctly modeling these responses in transit assignment hinges on the enforcement of two priority rules:…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Liyang Feng , Hanlin Sun , Yu Marco Nie , Jun Xie , Jiayang Li

The dynamic monitoring of commuting flows is crucial for improving transit systems in fast-developing cities around the world. However, existing methodology to infer commuting originations and destinations have to either rely on large-scale…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Yan Leng , Haris Koutsopoulos , Jinhua Zhao

Human mobility regularity is crucial for understanding urban dynamics and informing decision-making processes. This study first quantifies the periodicity in complex human mobility data as a sparse identification of dominant positive…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Xinyu Chen , Qi Wang , Yunhan Zheng , Nina Cao , HanQin Cai , Jinhua Zhao

Crowd flow forecasting, which aims to predict the crowds entering or leaving certain regions, is a fundamental task in smart cities. One of the key properties of crowd flow data is periodicity: a pattern that occurs at regular time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Chengxin Wang , Yuxuan Liang , Gary Tan

Flow matching has recently emerged as a powerful paradigm for generative modeling and has been extended to probabilistic time series forecasting in latent spaces. However, the impact of the specific choice of probability path model on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-19 Soon Hoe Lim , Yijin Wang , Annan Yu , Emma Hart , Michael W. Mahoney , Xiaoye S. Li , N. Benjamin Erichson