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A crucial part of data analysis is the validation of the resulting estimators, in particular, if several competing estimators need to be compared. Whether an estimator can be objectively validated is not a trivial property. If there exists…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-17 Tino Werner

In a variety of applications it is important to extract information from a probability measure $\mu$ on an infinite dimensional space. Examples include the Bayesian approach to inverse problems and possibly conditioned) continuous time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Frank Pinski , Gideon Simpson , Andrew Stuart , Hendrik Weber

Non-parametric methods avoid the problem of having to specify a particular data generating mechanism, but can be computationally intensive, reducing their accessibility for large data problems. Empirical likelihood, a non-parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

Most of the existing classification methods are aimed at minimization of empirical risk (through some simple point-based error measured with loss function) with added regularization. We propose to approach this problem in a more information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-01-22 Wojciech Marian Czarnecki , Jacek Tabor

In this paper we prove the optimality of an aggregation procedure. We prove lower bounds for aggregation of model selection type of $M$ density estimators for the Kullback-Leiber divergence (KL), the Hellinger's distance and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Guillaume Lecué

In this contribution, we propose a generic online (also sometimes called adaptive or recursive) version of the Expectation-Maximisation (EM) algorithm applicable to latent variable models of independent observations. Compared to the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-02 Olivier Cappé , Eric Moulines

We propose a dimension reduction technique for Bayesian inverse problems with nonlinear forward operators, non-Gaussian priors, and non-Gaussian observation noise. The likelihood function is approximated by a ridge function, i.e., a map…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-31 Olivier Zahm , Tiangang Cui , Kody Law , Alessio Spantini , Youssef Marzouk

Recent years have seen a surge of interest in the algorithmic estimation of stochastic entropy production (EP) from trajectory data via machine learning. A crucial element of such algorithms is the identification of a loss function whose…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-22 Euijoon Kwon , Yongjoo Baek

The forward Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is a ubiquitous objective for fitting a parameterized distribution to samples due to its tractability and equivalence to maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). Its inherent asymmetry, however, may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Omri Ben-Dov , Luiz F. O. Chamon

This paper provides a detailed investigation of using the Kullback-Leibler (KL) Divergence as a way to compare and analyse game-levels, and hence to use the measure as the objective function of an evolutionary algorithm to evolve new…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Simon M. Lucas , Vanessa Volz

Measure transport underpins several recent algorithms for posterior approximation in the Bayesian context, wherein a transport map is sought to minimise the Kullback--Leibler divergence (KLD) from the posterior to the approximation. The KLD…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-27 Matthew A. Fisher , Tui Nolan , Matthew M. Graham , Dennis Prangle , Chris J. Oates

In real life, we frequently come across data sets that involve some independent explanatory variable(s) generating a set of ordinal responses. These ordinal responses may correspond to an underlying continuous latent variable, which is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-08 Arijit Pyne , Subhrajyoty Roy , Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

We develop a novel method of constructing confidence bands for nonparametric regression functions under shape constraints. This method can be implemented via a linear programming, and it is thus computationally appealing. We illustrate a…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-15 Harold D. Chiang , Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki , Takuya Ura

The practice of employing empirical likelihood (EL) components in place of parametric likelihood functions in the construction of Bayesian-type procedures has been well-addressed in the modern statistical literature. We rigorously derive…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-21 Albert Vexler , Li Zou , Alan D. Hutson

This paper questions the effectiveness of a modern predictive uncertainty quantification approach, called \emph{evidential deep learning} (EDL), in which a single neural network model is trained to learn a meta distribution over the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Maohao Shen , J. Jon Ryu , Soumya Ghosh , Yuheng Bu , Prasanna Sattigeri , Subhro Das , Gregory W. Wornell

Nonlinear kernels can be approximated using finite-dimensional feature maps for efficient risk minimization. Due to the inherent trade-off between the dimension of the (mapped) feature space and the approximation accuracy, the key problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Shahin Shahrampour , Vahid Tarokh

Growth in both size and complexity of modern data challenges the applicability of traditional likelihood-based inference. Composite likelihood (CL) methods address the difficulties related to model selection and computational intractability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-12 Zhendong Huang , Davide Ferrari

We introduce a data-based approach to estimating key quantities which arise in the study of nonlinear control systems and random nonlinear dynamical systems. Our approach hinges on the observation that much of the existing linear theory may…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-04-04 Jake Bouvrie , Boumediene Hamzi

Good robust estimators can be tuned to combine a high breakdown point and a specified asymptotic efficiency at a central model. This happens in regression with MM- and tau-estimators among others. However, the finite-sample efficiency of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Ricardo Maronna , Víctor Yohai

This paper addresses the problem of approximating an unknown probability distribution with density $f$ -- which can only be evaluated up to an unknown scaling factor -- with the help of a sequential algorithm that produces at each iteration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Pascal Bianchi , Bernard Delyon , Victor Priser , François Portier