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Empirical likelihood serves as a powerful tool for constructing confidence intervals in nonparametric regression and regression discontinuity designs (RDD). The original empirical likelihood framework can be naturally extended to these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-03 Qin Fang , Shaojun Guo , Yang Hong , Xinghao Qiao

We establish a connection between distributionally robust optimization (DRO) and classical robust statistics. We demonstrate that this connection arises naturally in the context of estimation under data corruption, where the goal is to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-21 Gabriel Chan , Bart Van Parys , Amine Bennouna

This paper proposes a distributionally robust unit commitment approach for microgrids under net load and electricity market price uncertainty. The key thrust of the proposed approach is to leverage the Kullback-Leibler divergence to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Ogun Yurdakul , Fikret Sivrikaya , Sahin Albayrak

We investigate solving discrete optimisation problems using the estimation of distribution (EDA) approach via a novel combination of deep belief networks(DBN) and inductive logic programming (ILP).While DBNs are used to learn the structure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-01-01 Sarmimala Saikia , Lovekesh Vig , Ashwin Srinivasan , Gautam Shroff , Puneet Agarwal , Richa Rawat

We study the problem of model selection type aggregation with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence for various probabilistic models. Rather than considering a convex combination of the initial estimators $f_1, \ldots, f_N$, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

Estimating entropy and mutual information consistently is important for many machine learning applications. The Kozachenko-Leonenko (KL) estimator (Kozachenko & Leonenko, 1987) is a widely used nonparametric estimator for the entropy of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-22 Shashank Singh , Barnabás Póczos

We use the fitted Pareto law to construct an accompanying approximation of the excess distribution function. A selection rule of the location of the excess distribution function is proposed based on a stagewise lack-of-fit testing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-08 Ion Grama , Vladimir Spokoiny

Our interest in this paper is in optimisation problems that are intractable to solve by direct numerical optimisation, but nevertheless have significant amounts of relevant domain-specific knowledge. The category of heuristic search…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-14 Ashwin Srinivasan , Gautam Shroff , Lovekesh Vig , Sarmimala Saikia , Puneet Agarwal

Entropic Dynamics (ED) is a framework in which Quantum Mechanics is derived as an application of entropic methods of inference. In ED the dynamics of the probability distribution is driven by entropy subject to constraints that are codified…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-09-27 Ariel Caticha

Designing the sensing architecture for large-scale spatio-temporal systems is hard when accuracy requirements are specified but sensor models are uncertain or unavailable. Classical design treats sensor placement and estimation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Raktim Bhattacharya

Model selection is a central task in statistics, but standard methods are not robust in misspecified settings where the true data-generating process (DGP) is not in the set of candidate models. The key limitation is that existing methods --…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Jongwoo Choi , Neil A. Spencer , Jeffrey W. Miller

We consider the problem of defining the significance of an itemset. We say that the itemset is significant if we are surprised by its frequency when compared to the frequencies of its sub-itemsets. In other words, we estimate the frequency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Nikolaj Tatti

We propose Distributionally Balanced Designs (DBD), a new class of probability sampling designs that target representativeness at the level of the full auxiliary distribution rather than selected moments. In disciplines such as ecology,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Anton Grafström , Wilmer Prentius

In data assimilation, the model may be subject to uncertainties and errors. The weak-constraint data assimilation framework enables incorporating model uncertainty in the dynamics of the governing equations. We propose a new framework for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Alen Alexanderian , Hugo Díaz , Vishwas Rao , Arvind K. Saibaba

We introduce a framework for Bayesian experimental design (BED) with implicit models, where the data-generating distribution is intractable but sampling from it is still possible. In order to find optimal experimental designs for such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-11 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael U. Gutmann

We compute the expected value of the Kullback-Leibler divergence to various fundamental statistical models with respect to canonical priors on the probability simplex. We obtain closed formulas for the expected model approximation errors,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-18 Guido F. Montufar , Johannes Rauh

A novel, non-trivial, probabilistic upper bound on the entropy of an unknown one-dimensional distribution, given the support of the distribution and a sample from that distribution, is presented. No knowledge beyond the support of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Joseph DeStefano , Erik Learned-Miller

We develop a fully non-parametric, easy-to-use, and powerful test for the missing completely at random (MCAR) assumption on the missingness mechanism of a dataset. The test compares distributions of different missing patterns on random…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-01 Meta-Lina Spohn , Jeffrey Näf , Loris Michel , Nicolai Meinshausen

In this paper, we propose some estimators for the parameters of a statistical model based on Kullback-Leibler divergence of the survival function in continuous setting. We prove that the proposed estimators are subclass of "generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Yaser Mehrali , Majid Asadi

Random utility theory models an agent's preferences on alternatives by drawing a real-valued score on each alternative (typically independently) from a parameterized distribution, and then ranking the alternatives according to scores. A…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2012-11-13 Hossein Azari Soufiani , David C. Parkes , Lirong Xia