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Deep learning methods achieve remarkable predictive performance in modeling complex, large-scale data. However, assessing the quality of derived models has become increasingly challenging, as more classical statistical assumptions may no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-02 Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

Outstanding achievements of graph neural networks for spatiotemporal time series analysis show that relational constraints introduce an effective inductive bias into neural forecasting architectures. Often, however, the relational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Andrea Cini , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

We show how to construct the optimum superstatistical dynamical model for a given experimentally measured time series. For this purpose we generalise the superstatistics concept and study a Langevin equation with a memory kernel whose…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-01-10 Erik Van der Straeten , Christian Beck

The study of correlated time-series is ubiquitous in statistical analysis, and the matrix decomposition of the cross-correlations between time series is a universal tool to extract the principal patterns of behavior in a wide range of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-28 Paolo Barucca , Mario Kieburg , Alexander Ossipov

Temporal graphs represent graph evolution over time, and have been receiving considerable research attention. Work on expressing temporal graph patterns or discovering temporal motifs typically assumes relatively simple temporal…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Amir Pouya Aghasadeghi , Jan Van den Bussche , Julia Stoyanovich

In multivariate time series systems, lead-lag relationships reveal dependencies between time series when they are shifted in time relative to each other. Uncovering such relationships is valuable in downstream tasks, such as control,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-19 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren

The search for patterns in time series is a very common task when dealing with complex systems. This is usually accomplished by employing a complexity measure such as entropies and fractal dimensions. However, such measures usually only…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-06-13 Haroldo V. Ribeiro , Max Jauregui , Luciano Zunino , Ervin K. Lenzi

In many complex systems, elements interact via time-varying network topologies. Recent research shows that temporal correlations in the chronological ordering of interactions crucially influence network properties and dynamical processes.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-01 Yan Zhang , Antonios Garas , Ingo Scholtes

A Spartan random process (SRP) is used to estimate the correlation structure of time series and to predict (extrapolate) the data values. SRP's are motivated from statistical physics, and they can be viewed as Ginzburg-Landau models. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-24 M. Zukovic , D. T. Hristopulos

Recent state-of-the-art forecasting methods are trained on collections of time series. These methods, often referred to as global models, can capture common patterns in different time series to improve their generalization performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Vitor Cerqueira , Nuno Moniz , Ricardo Inácio , Carlos Soares

A statistical, path-dependent framework to describe time-dependent macroscopic theories using the Principle of Maximum Caliber is presented. By means of this procedure, it is possible to infer predictive non-equilibrium statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-20 Ignacio Tapia , Gonzalo Gutiérrez , Sergio Davis

Control synthesis from temporal logic specifications has gained popularity in recent years. In this paper, we use a model predictive approach to control discrete time linear systems with additive bounded disturbances subject to constraints…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-05-24 Sadra Sadraddini , Calin Belta

Temporal networks model how the interaction between elements in a complex system evolve over time. Just like complex systems display collective dynamics, here we interpret temporal networks as trajectories performing a collective motion in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Lucas Lacasa , Jorge P. Rodriguez , Victor M. Eguiluz

Many scientific areas, from computer science to the environmental sciences and finance, give rise to multivariate time series which exhibit long memory, or loosely put, a slow decay in their autocorrelation structure. Efficient modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Chiara Boetti , Matthew A. Nunes , Marina I. Knight

We consider a setting where multiple entities inter-act with each other over time and the time-varying statuses of the entities are represented as multiple correlated time series. For example, speed sensors are deployed in different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Concurrent time series commonly arise in various applications, including when monitoring the environment such as in air quality measurement networks, weather stations, oceanographic buoys, or in paleo form such as lake sediments, tree…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-20 Matz A. Haugen , Bala Rajaratnam , Paul Switzer

Systems with stochastic time delay between the input and output present a number of unique challenges. Time domain noise leads to irregular alignments, obfuscates relationships and attenuates inferred coefficients. To handle these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-15 Juan Camilo Orduz , Aaron Pickering

We investigate quantum correlations in time in different approaches. We assume that temporal correlations should be treated in an even-handed manner with spatial correlations. We compare the pseudo-density matrix formalism with several…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-12-23 Tian Zhang , Oscar Dahlsten , Vlatko Vedral

Graphical interaction models have become an important tool for analysing multivariate time series. In these models, the interrelationships among the components of a time series are described by undirected graphs in which the vertices depict…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Michael Eichler

We propose a novel family of entanglement measures for time-separated subsystems. Our definitions are applicable to any quantum system, continuous or discrete. To illustrate their utility, we derive upper and lower bounds on time-separated…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-16 Alexey Milekhin , Zofia Adamska , John Preskill