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A non-intrusive data assimilation methodology is developed to improve the statistical predictions of large-eddy simulations (LES). The ensemble-variational (EnVar) approach aims to minimize a cost function that is defined as the discrepancy…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-09-28 Vincent Mons , Yifan Du , Tamer A. Zaki

Data assimilation is a fundamental task in updating forecasting models upon observing new data, with applications ranging from weather prediction to online reinforcement learning. Deep generative forecasting models (DGFMs) have shown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Shreya Sinha-Roy , Richard G. Everitt , Christian P. Robert , Ritabrata Dutta

Data assimilation algorithms integrate prior information from numerical model simulations with observed data. Ensemble-based filters, regarded as state-of-the-art, are widely employed for large-scale estimation tasks in disciplines such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Iris Rammelmüller , Gottfried Hastermann , Jana de Wiljes

This report develops several modular, 2-step realizations (inspired by Kalman filter algorithms) of nudging-based data assimilation $$Step \ 1 \quad \frac{\widetilde {v}^{n+1}-v^{n}}{k}+v^{n}\cdot \nabla \widetilde {v}^{n+1}-\nu \triangle…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Aytekin Çıbık , Rui Fang , William Layton

We propose, analyze, and test a novel continuous data assimilation two-phase flow algorithm for reservoir simulation. We show that the solutions of the algorithm, constructed using coarse mesh observations, converge at an exponential rate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Yat Tin Chow , Wing Tat Leung , Ali Pakzad

Analytical formulas are derived to compute the first-order effects produced by plane inhomogeneities on the point source seismic response of a fluid-filled stratified porous medium. The derivation is achieved by a perturbation analysis of…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Louis De Barros , M. Dietrich

Integration of renewable power sources into grids remains an active research and development area, particularly for less developed renewable energy technologies such as wave energy converters (WECs). WECs are projected to have strong early…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-03 Mohammad Khalil , Carlos Michelén Ströfer , Kaustubha Raghukumar , Ann Dallman

Near-field tsunami early warning in the Cascadia Subduction Zone is limited by sparse offshore observations. We investigate whether a hypothetical network of 175 ocean-bottom pressure sensors can support real-time Bayesian inference of the…

In a previous work \citep{luo2016sparse2d_spej}, the authors proposed an ensemble-based 4D seismic history matching (SHM) framework, which has some relatively new ingredients, in terms of the type of seismic data in choice, the way to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-03-13 Xiaodong Luo , Tuhin Bhakta , Morten Jakobsen , Geir Nævdal

These notes introduce the theory of susceptibilities as developed in [arXiv:2504.18274, arXiv:2601.12703] for interpreting neural networks. The susceptibility of an observable $\phi$ to a data perturbation is defined as a derivative of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Chris Elliott , Daniel Murfet

We calculate the second order viscous correction to the kinetic distribution, $\delta f_{(2)}$, and use this result in a hydrodynamic simulation of heavy ion collisions to determine the complete second order correction to the harmonic…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2014-01-15 Derek Teaney , Li Yan

This paper studies the problem of recursively estimating the weighted adjacency matrix of a network out of a temporal sequence of binary-valued observations. The observation sequence is generated from nonlinear networked dynamics in which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-06 Yu Xing , Xingkang He , Haitao Fang , Karl Henrik Johansson

Recently, Stochastic Variational Inference (SVI) has been increasingly attractive thanks to its ability to find good posterior approximations of probabilistic models. It optimizes the variational objective with stochastic optimization,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Minta Liu , Suliang Bu

This study evaluates the effectiveness of three-dimensional variational (3D-Var) data assimilation coupled with a Rapid Update Cycle (RUC) framework for improving short-range precipitation forecasts over the Indonesian Maritime Continent…

Seismic data are commonly modeled by a high-frequency single scattering approximation. This amounts to a linearization in the medium coefficient about a smooth background. The discontinuities are contained in the medium perturbation. The…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-09-25 Christiaan C. Stolk , Maarten V. de Hoop

Complex systems are often described with competing models. Such divergence of interpretation on the system may stem from model fidelity, mathematical simplicity, and more generally, our limited knowledge of the underlying processes.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Lun Yang , Akil Narayan , Peng Wang

Data Assimilation (DA) is a computational tool that uses value from the model and the real measurement to arrive to an optimally acceptable value. Rather, this technique relies on the idea of Kalman gain. We point out that DA has two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Mohammad N. Murshed , Zarin Subah , M. Monir Uddin

Data assimilation (DA) in the geophysical sciences remains the cornerstone of robust forecasts from numerical models. Indeed, DA plays a crucial role in the quality of numerical weather prediction, and is a crucial building block that has…

Data Assimilation is the process in which we improve the representation of the state of a physical system by combining information coming from a numerical model, real-world observations, and some prior modelling. It is widely used to model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Victor Trappler , Arthur Vidard

Data assimilation of observational data into full atmospheric states is essential for weather forecast model initialization. Recently, methods for deep generative data assimilation have been proposed which allow for using new input data…