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A hybrid data assimilation algorithm is developed for complex dynamical systems with partial observations. The method starts with applying a spectral decomposition to the entire spatiotemporal fields, followed by creating a machine learning…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-12-27 Changhong Mou , Leslie M. Smith , Nan Chen

The shallow water equations (SWE) model a variety of geophysical flows. Flows in channels with rectangular cross sections may be modelled with a simplified one-dimensional SWE with varying width. Among other model parameters, information…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-08 Miguel Angel Moreles , Gerardo Hernandez-Duenas , Pedro Gonzalez-Casanova

This paper presents a novel centralized, variational data assimilation approach for calibrating transient dynamic models in electrical power systems, focusing on load model parameters. With the increasing importance of inverter-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-15 Ahmed Attia , D. Adrian Maldonado , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

We adapt a previously introduced continuous in time data assimilation (downscaling) algorithm for the 2D Navier-Stokes equations to the more realistic case when the measurements are obtained discretely in time and may be contaminated by…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Ciprian Foias , Cecilia F. Mondaini , Edriss S. Titi

In this work we derive a second-order approach to bilevel optimization, a type of mathematical programming in which the solution to a parameterized optimization problem (the "lower" problem) is itself to be optimized (in the "upper"…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-06 Robert Dyro , Edward Schmerling , Nikos Arechiga , Marco Pavone

We study the problem of efficiently estimating the effect of an intervention on a single variable (atomic interventions) using observational samples in a causal Bayesian network. Our goal is to give algorithms that are efficient in both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-07 Arnab Bhattacharyya , Sutanu Gayen , Saravanan Kandasamy , Ashwin Maran , N. V. Vinodchandran

Recent scientific studies have suggested that, in certain physical configurations, the time-dependent behavior of earthquake rupture and seafloor (bathymetry) motion can leave observable near-field signatures in tsunami wave generation and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Thomas Melkior , Harsha S Bhat , Faisal Amlani

Data assimilation combines prior (or background) information with observations to estimate the initial state of a dynamical system over a given time-window. A common application is in numerical weather prediction where a previous forecast…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-27 Coralia Cartis , Maha H. Kaouri , Amos S. Lawless , Nancy K. Nichols

Variational data assimilation in ocean models depends on the ability to model general correlation operators in the presence of coastlines. Grid-point filters based on diffusion operators are widely used for this purpose, but come with a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-12-11 Folke K Skrunes , Mayeul Destouches , Anthony Weaver , Guillaume Coulaud , Olivier Goux , Corentin Lapeyre

The 4D-Var method for filtering partially observed nonlinear chaotic dynamical systems consists of finding the maximum a-posteriori (MAP) estimator of the initial condition of the system given observations over a time window, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Daniel Paulin , Ajay Jasra , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan

Data assimilation plays a crucial role in numerical modeling, enabling the integration of real-world observations into mathematical models to enhance the accuracy and predictive capabilities of simulations. This approach is widely applied…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Alexander Lobbe , Dan Crisan , Oana Lang

Owing to advances in data assimilation, notably Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), flood simulation and forecast capabilities have greatly improved in recent years. The motivation of the research work is to reduce comprehensively the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-25 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Sophie Ricci , Andrea Piacentini , Ehouarn Simon , Raquel Rodriguez Suquet , Santiago Peña Luque

We commonly refer to state-estimation theory in geosciences as data assimilation. This term encompasses the entire sequence of operations that, starting from the observations of a system, and from additional statistical and dynamical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-06-11 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino , Geir Evensen

This study proposes an anomaly-detection framework for monitoring exposure-length variations in submarine free-span cables using Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS), which is one of the distributed fiber-optic sensing technologies. To…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-29 Sakiko Mishima , Yoshiyuki Yajima , Noriyuki Tonami , Tomoyuki Hino , Shugo Aibe , Junichiro Saikawa , Koji Mizuguchi

In this paper, we develop a neural network-based approach for time-series prediction in unknown Hamiltonian dynamical systems. Our approach leverages a surrogate model and learns the system dynamics using generalized coordinates (positions)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Taehyeun Kim , Tae-Geun Kim , Anouck Girard , Ilya Kolmanovsky

Recent advances in data assimilation (DA) have focused on developing more flexible approaches that can better accommodate nonlinearities in models and observations. However, it remains unclear how the performance of these advanced methods…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-08 Zixiang Xiong , Siming Liang , Feng Bao , Guannan Zhang , Hristo G. Chipilski

Using a perturbation technique, we derive a new approximate filtering and smoothing methodology generalizing along different directions several existing approaches to robust filtering based on the score and the Hessian matrix of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 Giuseppe Buccheri , Giacomo Bormetti , Fulvio Corsi , Fabrizio Lillo

This survey paper is written with the intention of giving a mathematical introduction to filtering techniques for intermittent data assimilation, and to survey some recent advances in the field. The paper is divided into three parts. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-09-03 Colin J. Cotter , Sebastian Reich

We present an extension of local sensitivity analysis, also referred to as the perturbation approach for uncertainty quantification, to Bayesian inverse problems. More precisely, we show how moments of random variables with respect to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Jürgen Dölz , David Ebert

Accurate simulations of the oceans are crucial in understanding the Earth system. Despite their efficiency, simulations at lower resolutions must rely on various uncertain parameterizations to account for unresolved processes. However,…