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We describe here a framework for a certain class of multiscale likelihood factorizations wherein, in analogy to a wavelet decomposition of an L^2 function, a given likelihood function has an alternative representation as a product of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eric D. Kolaczyk , Robert D. Nowak

We use partial class memberships in soft classification to model uncertain labelling and mixtures of classes. Partial class memberships are not restricted to predictions, but may also occur in reference labels (ground truth, gold standard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-08-23 Claudia Beleites , Reiner Salzer , Valter Sergo

In this paper, we investigate the problem of classifying feature vectors with mutually independent but non-identically distributed elements. First, we show the importance of this problem. Next, we propose a classifier and derive an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-01 Farzad Shahrivari , Nikola Zlatanov

Recently, there has been significant progress in understanding reinforcement learning in discounted infinite-horizon Markov decision processes (MDPs) by deriving tight sample complexity bounds. However, in many real-world applications, an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-12 Christoph Dann , Emma Brunskill

Many versions of cross-validation (CV) exist in the literature; and each version though has different variants. All are used interchangeably by many practitioners; yet, without explanation to the connection or difference among them. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-31 Waleed A. Yousef

The objective of the paper is to study accuracy of multi-class classification in high-dimensional setting, where the number of classes is also large ("large $L$, large $p$, small $n$" model). While this problem arises in many practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Felix Abramovich , Marianna Pensky

The ability of likelihood-based probabilistic models to generalize to unseen data is central to many machine learning applications such as lossless compression. In this work, we study the generalization of a popular class of probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-18 Mingtian Zhang , Peter Hayes , David Barber

We consider multichannel deconvolution in a periodic setting with long-memory errors under three different scenarios for the convolution operators, i.e., super-smooth, regular-smooth and box-car convolutions. We investigate global…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-07 Rafal Kulik , Theofanis Sapatinas , Justin Rory Wishart

Post-hoc multi-class calibration is a common approach for providing high-quality confidence estimates of deep neural network predictions. Recent work has shown that widely used scaling methods underestimate their calibration error, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Kanil Patel , William Beluch , Bin Yang , Michael Pfeiffer , Dan Zhang

A typical desideratum for quantifying the uncertainty from a classification model as a prediction set is class-conditional singleton set calibration. That is, such sets should map to the output of well-calibrated selective classifiers,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Allen Schmaltz , Danielle Rasooly

Support vector machines (SVMs) naturally embody sparseness due to their use of hinge loss functions. However, SVMs can not directly estimate conditional class probabilities. In this paper we propose and study a family of coherence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-04-11 Zhihua Zhang , Guang Dai , Michael I. Jordan

We prove risk bounds for binary classification in high-dimensional settings when the sample size is allowed to be smaller than the dimensionality of the training set observations. In particular, we prove upper bounds for both 'compressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-29 Ata Kaban , Robert J. Durrant

Leave-one-out (LOO) prediction provides a principled, data-dependent measure of generalization, yet guarantees in fully transductive settings remain poorly understood beyond specialized models. We introduce Median of Level-Set Aggregation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Jian Qian , Jiachen Xu

Given a presentably symmetric monoidal $\infty$-category $\mathcal{C}$ and an $\mathbb{E}_{\infty}$-monoid $M$, we introduce and classify twisted graded categories, which generalize the Day convolution structure on $\mathrm{Fun}(M,…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Shai Keidar , Shaul Ragimov

Can we learn a multi-class classifier from only data of a single class? We show that without any assumptions on the loss functions, models, and optimizers, we can successfully learn a multi-class classifier from only data of a single class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Yuzhou Cao , Lei Feng , Senlin Shu , Yitian Xu , Bo An , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama

In this paper, we study randomized methods for feedback design of uncertain systems. The first contribution is to derive the sample complexity of various constrained control problems. In particular, we show the key role played by the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-22 T. Alamo , R. Tempo , A. Luque , D. R. Ramirez

Applications such as weather forecasting and personalized medicine demand models that output calibrated probability estimates---those representative of the true likelihood of a prediction. Most models are not calibrated out of the box but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-03 Ananya Kumar , Percy Liang , Tengyu Ma

Classification with imbalanced data is a common challenge in data analysis, where certain classes (minority classes) account for a small fraction of the training data compared with other classes (majority classes). Classical statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Jingyang Lyu , Kangjie Zhou , Yiqiao Zhong

Recent progress in deep latent variable models has largely been driven by the development of flexible and scalable variational inference methods. Variational training of this type involves maximizing a lower bound on the log-likelihood,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-02 Andriy Mnih , Danilo J. Rezende

This paper generalizes an important result from the PAC-Bayesian literature for binary classification to the case of ensemble methods for structured outputs. We prove a generic version of the \Cbound, an upper bound over the risk of models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-16 François Laviolette , Emilie Morvant , Liva Ralaivola , Jean-Francis Roy