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Causally identifying the effect of digital advertising is challenging, because experimentation is expensive, and observational data lacks random variation. This paper identifies a pervasive source of naturally occurring, quasi-experimental…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-18 George Gui , Harikesh Nair , Fengshi Niu

Retention campaigns in customer relationship management often rely on churn prediction models evaluated using traditional metrics such as AUC and F1-score. However, these metrics fail to reflect financial outcomes and may mislead strategic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Awais Manzoor , M. Atif Qureshi , Etain Kidney , Luca Longo

Problem definition: Mining for heterogeneous responses to an intervention is a crucial step for data-driven operations, for instance to personalize treatment or pricing. We investigate how to estimate price sensitivity from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Jean Pauphilet

When making treatment selection decisions, it is essential to include a causal effect estimation analysis to compare potential outcomes under different treatments or controls, assisting in optimal selection. However, merely estimating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-08 Sherly Alfonso-Sánchez , Kristina P. Sendova , Cristián Bravo

Real-Time Bidding is nowadays one of the most promising systems in the online advertising ecosystem. In the presented study, the performance of RTB campaigns is improved by optimising the parameters of the users' profiles and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Luis Miralles , M. Atif Qureshi , Brian Mac Namee

It is of high interest for a company to identify customers expected to bring the largest profit in the upcoming period. Knowing as much as possible about each customer is crucial for such predictions. However, their demographic data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-30 Jelena Stojanovic , Djordje Gligorijevic , Zoran Obradovic

We consider the problem of learning from revealed preferences in an online setting. In our framework, each period a consumer buys an optimal bundle of goods from a merchant according to her (linear) utility function and current prices,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Kareem Amin , Rachel Cummings , Lili Dworkin , Michael Kearns , Aaron Roth

There is increasing interest in allocating treatments based on observed individual characteristics: examples include targeted marketing, individualized credit offers, and heterogeneous pricing. Treatment personalization introduces…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-06 Evan Munro

For a successful business, engaging in an effective campaign is a key task for marketers. Most previous studies used various mathematical models to segment customers without considering the correlation between customer segmentation and a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Kunal Sawarkar , Sanket Jain

We investigate the optimal pricing strategy in a service-providing framework, where customers can leave the system prior to service completion. In this setting, a price is quoted to an incoming customer based on the current number of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Jieqi Di , Sigrún Andradóttir , Hayriye Ayhan

We consider an optimal control problem for a non-autonomous model of ODEs that describes the evolution of the number of customers in some firm. Namely we study the best marketing strategy. Considering a $L^2$ cost functional, we establish…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-16 S. Rosa , P. Rebelo , C. M. Silva , H. Alves , P. G. Carvalho

We introduce a strategic decision-making problem faced by logistics providers (LPs) seeking facility location decisions that lead to profitable operations. The profitability depends on the revenue generated through agreements with shippers,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-13 David Pinzon , Emma Frejinger , Bernard Gendron

Online advertising has been the major monetization approach for Internet companies. Advertisers invest budgets to bid for real-time impressions to gain direct and indirect returns. Existing works have been concentrating on optimizing direct…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Hao Liu , Yunze Li , Qinyu Cao , Guang Qiu , Jiming Chen

We consider a profit maximization problem in an urban mobility on-demand service, of which the operator owns a fleet, provides both exclusive and shared trip services, and dynamically determines prices of offers. With knowledge of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Han Qiu , Ruimin Li , Jinhua Zhao

With advances in estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, firms can personalize and target individuals at a granular level. However, feasibility constraints limit full personalization. In practice, firms choose segments of individuals…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-02 Walter W. Zhang , Sanjog Misra

Marketing is an important mechanism to increase user engagement and improve platform revenue, and heterogeneous causal learning can help develop more effective strategies. Most decision-making problems in marketing can be formulated as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Hao Zhou , Shaoming Li , Guibin Jiang , Jiaqi Zheng , Dong Wang

When online sellers use AI learning algorithms to automatically compete on e-commerce platforms, there is concern that they will learn to coordinate on higher than competitive prices. However, this concern was primarily raised in…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-03 Hangcheng Zhao , Ron Berman

Finding an effective medical treatment often requires a search by trial and error. Making this search more efficient by minimizing the number of unnecessary trials could lower both costs and patient suffering. We formalize this problem as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-18 Samuel Håkansson , Viktor Lindblom , Omer Gottesman , Fredrik D. Johansson

We study a single risky financial asset model subject to price impact and transaction cost over an finite time horizon. An investor needs to execute a long position in the asset affecting the price of the asset and possibly incurring in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Mauricio Junca

Motivated by the dynamic assortment offerings and item pricings occurring in e-commerce, we study a general problem of allocating finite inventories to heterogeneous customers arriving sequentially. We analyze this problem under the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Will Ma , David Simchi-Levi